This Saturday’s free pick comes out of the Big Ten as #3 Ohio State (4-0) takes on Illinois (2-3). Ohio State is coming off of their biggest win of the season, taking down #9 Indiana 42-35. Illinois is on a two-game win streak after starting their season 0-3.

### Ohio State Betting Analysis

Ohio State is one of the best teams in the country and certainly the best team in the Big Ten. Justin Fields is likely a Heisman finalist and his offense is full of other weapons that include running back Master Teague and receivers Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson.

We are used to seeing an elite defense at Ohio State but this year that really isn’t the case. They rank a respectable 45th in points allowed per game, far from what you would expect this defense to be like. However, when you lose most of your top talent guys to the NFL, it’s understandable to expect a dip the following season.

### Illinois Betting Analysis

Illinois is good at one thing and that’s about it. The Fighting Illini can run the ball and they like to do it a lot. Illinois ranks 20th in the country in rushing yards per game. Although, they rank just 113th in passing offense and as a result are 100th in points scored per game. 

The Illinois defense isn’t very good. They rank 92nd against the pass and 96th against the rush. By their standards, ranking 82nd in points allowed per game isn’t as terrible as it could be. 

##Ohio State vs Illinois Free Pick and Prediction

Ohio State is coming off of their biggest win of the season and their schedule gets very easy the next two weeks. Last week against Indiana, Ohio State looked a little unmotivated at times, especially in the second half when they had a lead of over 20 points. That is something you don’t like to see if you are betting on a team like Ohio State when they are big favorites.

Illinois is going to want to run the ball a lot in this game. They will have to throw more than they like as they start to trail but the Ohio State defense is 119th against the pass. While Illinois isn’t a good passing team, they can do better than you would expect against this defense.

This will be a sleeper game for Ohio State. This will be a get it over with going through the motions type of game. They should cruise to victory but Illinois should be able to stay within the spread on this one. 
Illinois will run a lot of clock and should be able to throw fairly well at times, at least enough to keep this one close. Anything 28 or higher is a great bet for Illinois, certainly bet it if you can get the hook at +28.5.

Pick: Illinois+28.5

(Published YTD Results: 13-8 💰)



Saturday College Free Pick: Ohio State vs Illinois

In the second of what is now just two Thanksgiving Day NFL games, the Washington Football Team (3-7) will take on the Dallas Cowboys (3-7). Surprisingly, these two 3-7 teams are playing for first place in the NFC East.

### Washington Betting Analysis

The Washington Football Team has a strong young defense and some talent on offense as well. However, their offense hasn’t been very productive. When Kyle Allen went down and Alex Smith came back after his injury hiatus, some thought the offense would get better. It really hasn’t though.
Washington ranks in the bottom eight in the league in every major offensive category. They are also the fourth lowest-scoring team in the NFL.

Defensively, Washington is a very good group. They own the league’ best pass defense and are allowing the seventh-fewest total yards per game. Washington is allowing the ninth-fewest points per game and they are the ninth-best team at getting off of the field on third down.

### Dallas Betting Analysis

Dallas has been an underachieving train wreck all season. When Dak Prescott went down, everything began to unravel. Andy Dalton replaced him and wasn’t exactly as productive. After losing him to concussion for a couple of weeks, Dallas went to complete hell. Now that he is back, they may be the best team in the lowly NFC East.

The Cowboys offensive numbers aren’t to be trusted as almost half of the season thus far they had Dak under center. The biggest question mark has been Ezekiel Elliot. As good as he is, he has struggled mightily as of late. The good news, he is coming off of his best game of the season.

Dallas defense has been historically bad. They are allowing a league-high 31.8 points per game. They own the league’s second-worst rush defense but are surprisingly 14th against the pass. They showed last week against Minnesota that even against one of the hottest running backs, they can still find a way to win.

## Washington vs Dallas Free Pick and Prediction

After 10 games, it is essentially a new season for both of these teams. They are playing for first place in their division and despite being 3-7 have the momentum and energy of any other team competing for a playoff spot.

Zeke is coming off of his best game of the season, which is huge for Dallas. Dalton is back and while he isn’t Prescott, he is still a more than serviceable backup. As good as Washington’s defense is, Dallas can still be strong on offense if Zeke gets going, which he should against Washington’s 18th-ranked rush defense.

The Dallas defense shouldn’t have much trouble against Washington. Dallas should somehow be in first place after this game at 4-7 as they get the win and people/media start to mistakenly believe this team is actually playoff-worthy.

***Pick: Dallas-3***

(Published YTD Results: 13-7 💰)

Thanksgiving NFL Free Pick: Washington Football Team vs Dallas Cowboys

In a big AFC West rematch, the Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) look to avenge an earlier season loss to the Las Vegas Raiders (6-3).

## Kansas City Betting Analysis

Kansas City is the best team in the NFL, there is no arguing that. To hell with records and the Steelers squeaking by against a weak schedule, the Chiefs are the team to beat. 

Patrick Mahomes is somehow quietly having another MVP-caliber season. The Chiefs defense is playing well and Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a great running back with Le’Veon Bell arguably the league’s best backup. There is no weakness on offense and very few on defense.

The only flaw with the Chiefs is that sometimes they seem bored out there. That is understandable when you are as good as they are. After losing to the Raiders earlier this year, they won’t be bored in this one. Especially after the way the Raiders acted after their win against the Chiefs earlier this season.

### Las Vegas Betting Analysis

Las Vegas is good at controlling the clock and keeping opposing offenses off of the field, which is the recipe for defeating a team like the Chiefs. They did it well in their first meeting and that is why they got the win.
The Raiders can run the ball and quarterback Derek Carr is having a good season as well. The biggest threat for the Raiders in terms of receiving is tight end Darren Waller. Outside of Travis Kelce and George Kittle, Waller is arguably one of the best tight ends in football.

The Raiders defense hasn’t been good statistically, especially against the pass (25th). Against more elite competition, this is what will be the downfall of the Raiders.

## Kansas City vs Las Vegas Free Pick and Prediction

Kansas City is pissed off, it's that simple. Andy Reid has the best team in the NFL and now they are entering 
this game with a fire under their ass. The Chiefs will not be lackluster in this one against the Raiders like they were last time.

Sure, Oakland can run and the Chiefs struggle against the run. That is the only advantage Las Vegas really has. They can try and keep Mahomes off of the field but I expect the Chiefs defense to make some adjustments and stop the run better in this game.

Kansas City’s offense is going to explode in this one. Mahomes fantasy owners should be in for a big day. Las Vegas did the one thing you don’t do to the best team and the best player in the NFL, show-off after getting an upset win. Now, there will be no mercy.

Chiefs show they are the NFL’s best team and will decimate the Raiders in this game. Get your bet in because the spread is climbing, as it should. Raiders get put in their place tonight.

***Pick: Kansas City-7***

(Published YTD Results: 12-6 💰)

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Free Sunday Night Pick

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) take their win streak to the mile high stadium as they take on the Denver Broncos (3-6). 

### Miami Betting Analysis

The Miami Dolphins have won their last five games after starting the season 1-3. Since Tua Tagovailoa has taken over, the Dolphins are 3-0. How much should we be buying into the Tua hype. Honestly, not that much.

Even JaMarcus Russell had a good start to his career over the first couple of games. Tua has been bailed out by his defense and special teams all three games. He has seen 3 D/ST touchdowns and a blocked punt that has essentially been a touchdown as it set them up at the 3-yard line. His luck will run out eventually.

Miami has wins over Jacksonville, a depleted 49ers team, the Jets, and the self-inflicted Chargers. Their two impressive wins were against the L.A. Rams and Arizona Cardinals. Against the Rams, the defense had a touchdown and they also had a punt return for a touchdown. Against Arizona, they had another defensive touchdown on their way to a three-point win. The luck for Miami will end eventually. 

### Denver Betting Analysis

Denver has been a huge letdown this season. Injuries have been a big reason but also quarterback Drew Lock hasn’t had the year that was expected of him. With some many young weapons on offense, the Broncos should have been a better team this season. Again, injuries on both sides of the ball certainly didn’t help matters.

Lock has been forcing the ball at times and inaccurate. However, he still shows flashes of what his potential and this Broncos’ offense can be. When he holds on to the ball, the Broncos offense can still be dangerous at times. The problem is, that is usually tough for him to do.
Defensively, the Broncos have been below average. They have been decent against the pass (14th) and good on third-down (6th). Still, nothing like we were expecting in Denver this season.

## Miami vs Denver Free Pick and Prediction

If Denver can hold onto the ball, they can and should win this game. Neither defense is very good statistically, but Denver is actually better. Miami has just been lucking out with touchdowns the last few games, a trend that has to end eventually.

Somehow, Miami is 23rd in total yards allowed, 20th against the pass and 22nd against the rush, but 5th in points allowed. Eventually, that points allowed will begin to crack. Also, the Tua hype is due to come to a screeching halt sooner than later.

While Denver isn’t exactly the best team out there, they should be able to show their potential in this game. They can still be a good team at times when they line everything up. I trust in them to do that today against an overrated and overhyped Dolphins team that has been so lucky they should be buying PowerBall tickets.

Denver could even win this one outright.

***Pick: Denver+3.5***

(Published YTD Results: 12-6 💰)

Sunday NFL Afternoon Free Pick: Miami Dolphins vs  Denver Broncos

Thanks to glorious MAC football, we are in the middle of enjoying nearly a month-straight of daily football. That continues on Wednesday night as the Toledo Rockets (1-1) will take on the Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-2)

### Toledo Betting Analysis

The Toledo Rockets were a popular non-favorite betting choice for the MAC title this season. They opened their season with a blowout win over Bowling Green (the worst FBS team in the country) 38-3. Then, they dropped a heart-breaking loss to Western Michigan 41-38 after an onside-kick recovery and fake-spike gaming-winning touchdown with 17 seconds left.

The Rockets’ offense spends a lot of time on the field. They are second in the country in time on the field and also third in plays ran. However, a lot of that can be contributed to the fact that they played Bowling Green. So while they are top 25 in the country in passing offense, rushing offense, and points scored (all per game), how much can we really trust those numbers?

The same could be said about their 33rd-ranked defense. When one of your two games comes against the worst FBS team in the country, it’s hard to trust statistics like that.

### Eastern Michigan Betting Analysis

Unlike Toledo, Eastern Michigan has played two of the MAC’s better teams. They lost them both in close fashion. They lost to Kent State 27-23 and Ball State 38-31. Both of which were expected to be among the best in the MAC behind Buffalo. The Eagles played them both well.

So when you see Eastern Michigan has the 77th-ranked offense and 83rd-ranked defense through two games, the same could be said about their numbers like Toledo’s. With Toledo, it is hard to trust how good their numbers are. With Eastern Michigan, it is hard to fault them for those numbers. It’s all about strength of schedule thus far, which EMU leads by a mile.

## Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Free Pick and Prediction

Toledo likes to have quarterback Eli Peters throw a lot (78 times in two games). He torched Bowling Green, but wasn’t that  impressive against a vulnerable Western Michigan defense (30/46 339 yards, 1TD, 1INT). Running back Bryant Koback is averaging 22.5 carries but just 76 yards per game (3.4 YPC).  So while Toledo’s offense may have good numbers, they really don’t look to be that great, especially considering their opponents.

EMU quarterback Preston Hutchinson hasn’t been great this season (491 passing yards, 3TD, 2INT) but he has been solid, considering the quality of opponents. He also showed in his last game against Ball State that he is capable of being a runner as well (104 rush yards). 

In this matchup, you have to look deeper than the numbers. Toledo outshines EMU in every category, fairly significantly. However, you got to realize that Toledo played BG and a WMU team that can be scored on. EMU has played two of the best teams not named Buffalo in the MAC.

EMU is a solid looking team by MAC standards. Toledo is likely a solid team as well. In fact, these are probably two very equal teams when it's all said and done. That is why you want the points in this one. EMU very easily can win this game and show that they are the better team. At the very least, with +7, we should see a push if we don’t cover.

***Pick: Eastern Michigan +7***

(Published YTD Results: 12-6 💰)

Wednesday MAC-Tion Free Betting Pick: Toledo vs  Eastern Michigan

This week’s Monday Night Football is an NFC North battle as the Minnesota Vikings (3-5) take on the Chicago Bears (5-4). The Vikings have won their last two games while the Bears are on a three-game skid.

### Minnesota Betting Analysis

Minnesota can only do one thing, run the ball. Dalvin Cook is arguably the best running back in the league right now. The Vikings offensive line has been a good run blocking unit but not as great in pass blocking.

Kirk Cousins is having a somewhat decent season, at least by his standards. Justin Jefferson is a great WR2 alongside Adam Thielen but the Vikings pass offense is just 25th in the league. For comparison, they are the third-best rushing team.

The Vikings defense is nothing like it has been in recent years. They allow the third-most total yards and passing yards per game. They also allow the eighth-most points per game in the league.
Long story short, the Vikings have to be able to run the ball to be effective.

### Chicago Betting Analysis

The Chicago Bears offense is the equivalent of a mustard sandwich, it's terrible. They are 28th in yards per game and they are the league’s worst rushing team. As a result, they are the league’s fourth-lowest scoring team.

The Bears defense isn’t as elite as it has been in the past, but it is still a very good unit. They allow the ninth-fewest yards per game and are seventh against the rush and 14th against the pass. Chicago allows the seventh-fewest points per game and they are the best third-down defense in the NFL.
Fortunately for the Bears and their fans, Matt Nagy has handed over play-calling duties to OC Bill Lazor. Since Matt Nagy couldn’t run a junior high offense, this should immediately make the Bears offense better somehow, since it can’t make it any worse.

## Minnesota vs Chicago Free Pick and Prediction

Chicago isn’t the best run defense in the NFL (14th) but they aren’t bad. The Vikings are “hot” because they played two teams with some of the worst run defenses in the NFL (Green Bay and Detroit). Against a Bears run defense that is above average, the Vikings are going to struggle on offense. 

The Bears offense is garbage but so is the Vikings defense. With some new play calling, maybe the Bears can be better on offense now. Don’t take the Vikings because the media is hyping them up as a hot team right now. Don’t be a sheep. Be a Bear (Ba Dum Tss).

***Pick: Chicago +3***

(Published YTD Results: 12-5 💰)

Minnesota Vikings  vs Chicago Bears - Monday Night Football Free Pick

This week’s matchup between Penn State (0-3) and Nebraska (0-2) is a contest by two teams that are a surprising 0-5. Penn State began the season ranked in the Top 10, which now seems laughable. Nebraska is more understandably winless as they played Ohio State and a tough Northwestern team that they played fairly close.

### Penn State Betting Analysis

Penn State opened the season at #8 and immediately from the start of the first game that looked like an over-ranking. They found themselves down 17-7 against Indiana and eventually went on to lose the game in exciting fashion in overtime. Then, they lost to Ohio State by two touchdowns and it appeared the wheels have completely come off as they then suffered their largest defeat to a questionable Maryland team.

Quarterback Sean Clifford has thrown for nine touchdowns but he also has five interceptions and has been sacked 12 times in the last two games. The offense clearly runs through him as the Penn State rushing attack has been terrible. Clifford is also the team's leading rusher.
The Penn State defense has been getting knocked around all season. They have allowed at least 35 points in every game. 

### Nebraska Betting Analysis

Once again, the Nebraska Cornhuskers were expecting a big year out of their offense and quarterback Adrian Martinez. Their first drive of the season looked promising as they marched down the field and scored a touchdown against Ohio State. Since then, it hasn’t been very promising.

Martinez is just 24/42 for 230 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. However he does have 179 rushing yards. Dedrick Mills is the team's traditional running back but hasn’t gotten much production on his 29 carries. Luke McCaffrey (Christian’s brother) works as a Taysom Hill type player who is listed as a quarterback but does more damage as a runner and can be a playmaker.

Nebraska’s defense has trouble stopping teams on the ground. While they did hold Northwestern to 21 points, that was due in large part to two interceptions they forced. Team’s can certainly move the ball on this defense.

## Penn State vs Nebraska Free Pick and Prediction

It is hard to gage how bad this Penn State team really is. They suffered a heartbreaking loss to a good Indiana team and then lost to a very good Ohio State. The Maryland game was perhaps a hangover performance. One thing we do know, teams can score on Penn State and Penn State can score as well.
Clifford should have a big game for the Nittany Lions. Expect him to move the ball a lot with his legs. At 0-3 we are going to see what this Penn State team is made of. Expect them to have their foot on the gas all game as they look to score on every possession to try and build some confidence going forward.

Don’t sleep on the Nebraska offense. They can move the ball too and should be able to in this game. This should be a back-and-forth type game with either team capable of pulling away late. We want the total in this one, not the spread.

Penn State’s offense should put up points and Nebraska should keep pace as well, maybe even pulling off a win. Roll with the over in what should be a high-scoring game.

Pick: Over 56

Published YTD Results: (11-4) 💰


College Football Saturday Early Game Free Pick: Penn State vs Nebraska

A big American Athletic Conference matchup is scheduled for Saturday night as the #19 SMU Mustangs (7-1) take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-1). This is a big game for both teams to try and keep pace in the American with undefeated #7 Cincinnati.

### SMU Betting Analysis

SMU likes to operate a fast-paced air-it-out type offense. While that helps them put up big numbers against weak opponents, we saw this season it isn’t exactly the most effective against good teams.

A couple weeks ago, Cincinnati held SMU to just 13 points. We also some some other weeks where the offense didn’t quite perform like it should have, like 31 points against Texas State and 30 against a weak Memphis defense.

Defensively, the Mustangs allow a lot of points. Think of SMU sort of like the Seattle Seahawks. Their defense is never going to win them a game, their offense needs to carry the load and if they run into a decent enough defense, they are in trouble.

### Tulsa Betting Analysis

Tulsa is a team that has a good defense and a surprisingly solid offense as well. Tulsa held Oklahoma State to just 16 points, but suffered their only loss as their offense managed just seven points. They held the offensive juggernaut UCF to just 26 points, USF to 13 points and an ECU offense that put up points to just 30.

Tulsa’s offense is solid and can run and pass the ball decently well. Quarterback Zach Smith is having a pretty good season but needs to limit his interceptions (5). The Golden Hurricane have two running backs in Deneric Prince and T.K. Wilkerson who can both be big factors in their offense.
SMU vs Tulsa Free Pick and Prediction
Tulsa’s defense is the second-best in the AAC behind a stout Cincinnati defense. They should be able to limit the potent SMU offense as well as any team in the conference, other than the Bearcats. While they may not dominante them as well as Cincy did, Tulsa should be able to give SMU one of their toughest challenges of the season.

Tulsa can also put up points on offense. If Smith can hold on to the ball, they should be able to get a comfortable win against SMU. Regardless of Smith’s performance, I like Tulsa’s defense to help them get the win in this one. The Tulsa offense can also control the clock on the ground and dictate the pace in this game.

Ignore SMU’s ranking, Tulsa is the better team and should get the win at home.

***Pick: Tulsa-1***

Published YTD Results: (11-4) 💰


College Football Saturday Late Game Free Pick: SMU vs Tulsa

This week’s Thursday Night Football game will be a big one in deciding who wins the AFC South this season. The Indianapolis Colts (5-3), fresh off a loss to the Baltimore Ravens, will take on the Tennessee Titans (6-2), who took down the Chicago Bears last week.

### Colts Betting Analysis

Heading into the 2020 season, the Indianapolis Colts were a sleeper Super Bowl team to some people (including myself). So far halfway through the season, they have been hit or miss. A lot of the reasoning has been quarterback Philip Rivers and the offense.
The Colts defense has been what we expected it to be. They allow the fewest total yards per game and they rank third against both the pass and the rush. Indianapolis also allows the third-fewest points per game. 

Rivers has been having an up and down year that has resulted in the Colts owning the 14th-ranked pass offense. Jonathan Taylor has taken over the backfield but the Colts rushing attack ranks just 22nd in the league and Taylor is struggling to hold on to the ball. Overall, the Colts are 15th in points scored per game.
If the Colts are going to make a legit run this season, the offense needs to get it together.

### Titans Betting Analysis

The Tennessee Titans are sitting in the opposite scenario of the Indianapolis Colts. Their offense has been their strength while their defense has struggled.

Everyone knows the Titans’ offense is run-first, particularly Derrick Henry first. They own the league’s sixth-best rushing attack. Ryan Tannehill has plenty of weapons in his offense to throw to, including the league’s most underrated receiver in A.J. Brown. Still, the Titans rank just 20th in passing offense. Tennessee is seventh in the league in points per game.

The Titans’ defense is the worst in the league in getting off of the field on third down. They struggle more against the pass (27th) than they do against the run (17th). Overall, they rank 15th in points allowed per game.
The Titans defense needs to start playing better if they want to compete with the elite in the AFC.

## Indianapolis vs Tennessee Free Pick and Prediction

This is the first meeting between the two teams this season, with the second coming 17 days later. The Titans two losses have come against teams that can throw the ball well (Cincinnati and Pittsburgh). For Indianapolis to win this game, they are going to need Philip Rivers to have a good game and move the ball through the air.

The game plan for the Colts will be to stop Derrick Henry (or at least try). Once they start to get Tannehill to throw, they have to be able to slow down A.J. Brown. Doing those two things isn’t an easy task for most teams, but most teams don’t have a defense like the Colts.

Indianapolis must hold on to the ball in this game. After a fumble last week that may have cost them the game, the Colts should be focussing on ball security all week. Assuming Taylor can hold on to the ball, the Colts offense should be able to move the ball against this Titans’ defense.

Look for Rivers to have one of his better games of the year in this one. The Colts were favored last week against the Ravens. If not for Taylor’s fumble, they have a great shot at winning that game and would be favored in this one. Take the Colts plus the points.

***Pick: Colts+2***

(Published YTD Results: 10-4 💰)

Thursday Night Football Free Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

This week’s Monday Night Football game is a matchup of the two bottom-feeders in the AFC East as the New England Patriots (2-5) take on the New York Jets (0-8). While the Jets are used to being at the bottom of their division, this is new territory for the Patriots compared to the past two decades.

### Patriots Betting Analysis

The Patriots are on a four-game losing streak and Cam Newton is a big reason why. He looked good at the beginning of the season and gave this Patriots’ team a new look. However, he has struggled for most of the past month and he can’t seem to stop committing turnovers.

The Patriots need to be able to run the ball for their offense to do anything. Their 30th-ranked pass offense makes this a very one-dimensional team. While they do have the third-best rush offense, they are scoring the fourth-fewest points per game. 

During their four-game losing streak, the Patriots have played some tough teams in Buffalo, Kansas City, San Francisco, and an underrated Denver team. Now they will have a chance to redeem themselves against the league’s worst team.

### Jets Betting Analysis

The New York Jets are not just the worst team in the NFL this year, they are one of the worst teams in the history of the NFL. Their offense is on a historically bad pace. They rank last in the league in total yards, passing yards, points, and third-down conversion rate.

The Jets defense is better than their offense, but still terrible. They have the league’s fourth-worst pass defense, they allow the seventh-most yards per game, and fifth-most points per game. Their best statistic is their 14th-ranked rush defense, but that is more about teams just being able to throw against them so easily that they don’t even bother wasting their time running. There is a very high chance this team goes 0-16.

## New England vs New York Free Pick and Prediction

Newton keeps saying that his play has been “unacceptable” yet he hasn’t really done anything to improve. He knows he is on a short leash and his inability to hold on to the ball is putting his job in serious jeopardy. This may be his last chance to prove he deserves to be a starter in New England, and maybe the NFL in general.
Newton and the Patriots have to end the skid now and lucky for them, this is the best team for them to do it against. Cam knows he needs a big game and he should be able to have a big game on Monday Night Football.

If Newton fails to have a good game here and get a win, we may be seeing the last of Newton as the starter in New England. 

Look for Bill Belichick, Newton and the rest of the Patriots to go for the overkill here as they look to end their four-game skid and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. 

This is a confidence building game for the Patriots, they are going to want to pile it on.

Pick: Patriots-9.5

(Published YTD Results: 10-2 💰)


Monday Night Football Free Pick: New England Patriots vs New York Jets

This week’s Sunday Night Football game will go a long way in determining who wins the NFC South this season. The New Orleans Saints (5-2) will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) for the second time this season. The Saints won the first meeting 34-23 in Week 1.

### Saints Betting Analysis

The New Orleans Saints are 5-2 but they aren’t getting the respect they usually get every year, and there is a good reason for that. Without Michael Thomas in the lineup, the offense hasn’t been as explosive as previous years. If not for Alvin Kamara, the Saints’ offensive would be on par with the Chicago Bears.

Drew Brees is one of the best quarterbacks the NFL has ever seen but he just doesn’t look as elite as he has been in previous years. You don’t want to sleep on Brees but at the same time, he just isn’t the threat he used to be.

New Orleans will be getting Michael Thomas back in this game and that is a big boost. However, this offense really has just two people you need to contain, Kamara and Thomas. Do that, and this team is in trouble.

On the defensive side, the Saints have shown that they can easily be beaten. Even against some questionable offenses this season, the Saints’ defense has looked rough.

### Bucs Betting Analysis

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers can look like the best team in the NFL one week and then another just barely squeak by a bottom-feeder team. Tom Brady is the G.O.A.T. in terms of resume but his talent this year has been far from G.O.A.T. status.

The Tampa offense is packed with weapons (when healthy). Brady has his touchdown machine in tight end Rob Gronkowski, a top 10 receiver in Mike Evans, and a deep threat in Chris Godwin. Add in a running game that features Leonard Fournette and a much improved Ronald Jones and you have a potentially scary offense.

However, as good as their offense can be, they have looked far from the part numerous times. Consistency will be key for this team come playoffs if they want to make a legit Super Bowl run against the league’s elite.

Defensively, the Bucs are among the league’s best. In their game against the Green Bay Packers earlier this season, we saw that their defense can jump-start their, at times, lackluster offense. If Tampa does in fact win it all this year, the defense will be why, not Brady and the offense.

## New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Free Pick and Prediction

Tampa Bay is a perfect example of a team that plays to the level of their competition. They play their worst against bad teams and their best against good teams. The Saints are a good team, so we can expect Tampa to play a good game on Sunday night.

Aside from their Week 1 win against Tampa Bay, the Saints have been just barely getting by each week. Both teams are on a run right now with tons of momentum. They know how important this game is.

These are the type of games where both Brady and Brees have shown up to play some of their best football. While both quarterbacks are likely to have good games, the edge has to go to Brady. While he is up against a below-average defense with more weapons, Brees has just two weapons that a very good Bucs defense can limit.

Tampa needs this game more than New Orleans, they can’t afford to drop both games to the Saints. In a revenge game, Tampa and that elite defense should be able to get the best of the Saints. 

***Pick: Tampa Bay-4***

(Published YTD Results: 8-2 :moneybag:)

Sunday Night Football Free Pick: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-1) will take on the (3) Ohio State Buckeyes this Saturday afternoon. Rutgers opened their season with an upset win over Michigan State 38-27 and then followed that up with a loss to Indiana 37-21. Ohio State opened their season with a blowout win over Nebraska by a score of 52-17. They followed that up with a win over Penn State 38-25.

### Rutgers Betting Analysis

Rutgers surprised some (not all) when they opened their season with an upset win over Michigan State. After a 2-10 season last year that saw them go 0-9 in the Big Ten, Rutgers is already off to a better conference record than last season.

This year, Rutgers is a team that you should be following to bet on. Typically a disaster the last decade or so, they should actually be a fairly decent squad this year and cover big spreads like the one in this game.
It's been just two games but Rutgers have some fairly respectable stats thus far. The are in the middle-of-the-pack in points per game (59th), which is a huge improvement from last season already. Despite being 89th in points allowed per game, they are 20th against the rush (although 108th against the pass). Overall, they rank a very solid 38th in yards per play allowed.

### Ohio State Betting Analysis

Ohio State is once again getting College Football Playoff hype this season. Quarterback Justin Fields is a Heisman favorite for a lot of people, as he should be. The Big Ten is Ohio State’s to lose for sure.

The Buckeyes are certainly one of the best teams in the country. However, their defense has lost a lot of major pieces from last season. While still talented, the Ohio State defense isn’t exactly elite like it has been in recent years.

The Buckeyes are 37th in points allowed per game. They are also 57th against the pass and 56th against the rush. Perhaps the most surprising defensive stat is that they allow 6.21 yards per play (101st in the country).

## Rutgers vs Ohio State Free Pick and Prediction

Ohio State’s offense isn’t going to have trouble scoring in this game. In fact, I’d be surprised to see more than one punt from the Buckeyes in this game. However, don’t sleep on the Scarlet Knights.

While Rutgers still isn’t exactly a good team, they are certainly a better team than last year and most recent years. A spread reaching nearly 40 points almost seems disrespectful. This is one that casual bettors will see and hop on Ohio State thinking that Rutgers is just another walkover.

So while Ohio State will have no problem scoring enough points to make a cover possible, I’m trusting in Rutgers’ offense to score enough points to cover and help push this game over. 

Rutgers has put up nearly 30 points per game so far this season. Against an Ohio State defense that isn’t as elite as some people expect it to be, they should be able to put up at least two touchdowns in this game. 
Take both Rutgers+39 as well as the over 64. Ohio State could certainly score 56+ points in this game and find a cheap cover at the end, but I don’t think they do that. If they do, at least you will have the over to back you as well and make this one a wash.

***Pick: Rutgers+39 and Over 64***

Published YTD Results: (7-2) 💰

College Football Free Pick Saturday: Rutgers vs Ohio  State

This Friday marks just day three of 28-straight days of football. We have three games on Friday, including three ranked teams. Our best matchup of the night is the final game in a ranked matchup between BYU (7-0) and Boise State (2-0). 

### BYU Betting Analysis

BYU has been a bit of a surprise team this season. Currently sitting at 7-0, some people think that BYU may even be a potential College Football Playoff contender. I’d hold off on that pipe dream
Quarterback Zach Wilson is a potential Heisman finalist and deservedly so. He already has 2,152 passing yards and 19 touchdowns against just two interceptions. BYU also has an excellent defense. Altogether, they do look like a team that could be a title contender. However, we need to look a little deeper.

I’m taking nothing away from a good BYU team. They have handled their schedule with ease (aside from UTSA) and while they had a schedule that originally featured Power 5 teams, the COVID pandemic caused that to change. It’s not BYU’s fault that they had a weak schedule this season.

BYU torched a bad Navy team, a less than impressive Troy, another bad team in Louisiana Tech, barely squeaked by a very bad UTSA, beat a Houston team playing just its second game, a bad Texas State team, and a horrible Western Kentucky team. 

When you look at their schedule, it's not surprising the stats they have put up. In fact, you’d be skeptical of this team if they didn’t do as well as they have done against some of these teams. The biggest win of the season was against a 2-2 Houston team that isn’t expected to do much this season.

### Boise State Betting Analysis

Boise State has only played two games so far this season. Like BYU, they also haven’t really been tested yet this season. The Broncos throttled Utah State 42-13 in their first game and then took down Air Force 49-30.

Boise State put up over 450 total yards in each game. Through their two games, they have the fifth-highest points per game average. They are also third in the country in yards per play.

Defensively, the Broncos had a rough time against a run-heavy Air Force team, allowing an insane 415 rushing yards. The Boise defense is going to be a solid group this season but that is certainly a red flag for the Broncos going forward.

## BYU vs Boise State Free Pick and Prediction

This will be the first real test for both teams in this contest. Either team could prevail and either team could prove to be a bust. One thing that should be certain, is a high-scoring game. 

Wilson could have a big game for BYU, doing a lot of damage on the ground. Both teams are in the top five in the country in yards per play, meaning we should see plenty of big plays. 

BYU’s defense has been good but they also haven’t had to play too many good offenses. Even Houston’s offense has been a letdown this season. Against this Boise offense, BYU might have their hands full.
I’d avoid the spread in this one. If anything, Boise State is likely the better spread pick here. However, this should be a back-and-forth shootout that sees plenty of points. Enjoy a close game and put your money on the safer bet, the over.

***Pick: Over 61***

Published YTD Results: (6-2) 💰

College Football Free Pick Friday: BYU vs Boise State

This Thursday night, we get two college football games to take in. With the NFL game possibly in jeopardy due to COVID, Thursday’s best bet comes out of the Mountain West Conference. The Wyoming Cowboys (1-1) will take on the Colorado State Rams (0-1) in the Border War.

### Wyoming Betting Analysis

Wyoming opened their season two weeks ago with a 37-34 loss to Nevada. The Cowboy’s defense looked like the Dallas Cowboys defense as they allowed nearly 500 total yards (420 through the air). However, as we anticipated in one of our free picks last week, Wyoming bounced back with a strong defensive performance against Hawaii and covered with ease.

While Wyoming’s defense improved from the first game of the season, so did their offense. Wyoming ran for 281 yards against Hawaii and were 8-15 on third down (also 1-1 on fourth down).
Wyoming showed in their game against Hawaii that they have a two-headed rushing attack in Xazavian Valladay (32 rush 163 yards 2TD) and Trey Smith (20 rush 89 yards 2TD. They also showed in their opener that they aren’t afraid to throw the ball either, as quarterback Levi Williams threw the ball 31 times to help mount a fourth-quarter comeback.

While the defense is of course a solid unit, don’t sleep on the Wyoming offense.

### Colorado State Betting Analysis

Much like Wyoming, Colorado State underperformed in their season opener. The Rams were expected to debut a new potent offense under former Boston College coach Steve Addazio. However, the Rams offense didn’t perform to expectations as they put up just 17 points.

The Rams defense wasn’t any better in their first game as they allowed 432 total yards (348 through the air). They also allowed Fresno State to convert 10-18 on third down and 2-2 on fourth down. The Rams went on to lose the game 38-17.

Quarterback Todd Centeio got the start for the Rams against Fresno State and put together a relatively poor performance (10/23 141 yards). Patrick O’Brien eventually came in to replace Centeio and put together a solid performance (7/10 82 yards 1TD).

Heading into the Border War, Addazio has yet to announce a starter. However, based on the last game, it is likely O’Brien will get the nod, as he should.

## Wyoming vs Colorado State Free Pick and Prediction

This seems like a game that Wyoming should win (and cover) based on their performance against Hawaii and Colorado State’s performance against Fresno State. Although, I expect a much better performance from Colorado State in this game, which makes the spread scary.
It was hard to expect Colorado State to come out with this magically potent offense under a new head coach running a new scheme in their first game, especially considering the limited offseason teams have had this year due to COVID. After a week of on-field experience and time to critique, I expect the Rams’ offense to perform much better in this game.

I could see this game going either way but one thing I do expect is this to be a back-and-forth game. Look for Colorado State to run a lot of fast-tempo offense that gives a solid Wyoming defense a bit of trouble. Wyoming can score on the ground well but they can also throw when they have to, which is likely to be the case in this game.

Avoid the tricky spread here and instead, bank on the Over as both offenses should have good games.

***Pick: Over 52.5***

Published YTD Results: (6-2) :moneybag:


College Football Free Pick Thursday: Wyoming vs  Colorado State

The Tampa Bay Bucs (5-2) will take their two-game win streak on the road to face the New York Giants (1-6). The Bucs head into this showdown coming off of a 45-20 win against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Giants are coming off of a close loss to divisional rival Philadelphia Eagles 22-21.

### Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

- 8th in Pass Offense (266.1 YPG)
- 3rd in Points Scored (31.7 PPG)
- 3rd in Total Yards Allowed (319.0 YPG)
- 9th in Pass Defense (225.3 YPG)
- Best in Rush Defense (66.0 YPG)
- 8th in Points Allowed (20.3 PPG)

Weaknesses:

- 17th in Total Offense (378.6 YPG)
- 21st in Rush Offense (105.7 YPG)

### New York Giants Betting Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

- 8th in Rush Defense (105.0 YPG)
- 14th in Points Allowed (24.9 PPG)

Weaknesses:

- 31st in Total Offense (299.6 YPG)
- 30th in Pass Offense (184.3 YPG)
- 27th in Rush Offense (98.1 YPG)
- 31st in Points Scored (17.4 PPG)
- 21st in Pass Defense (251.3 YPG)
- 27th in 3rd-Down Defense (50.5%)

## Tampa Bay vs New York Free Pick and Prediction

When you look at this game, you are probably thinking these Giants have a snowball’s chance in hell of even keeping this game interesting. Well, you’re probably right. Their offense is the second-worst in the league (only better than cross-town rival New York Jets) and their defense, while playing surprisingly better this season, still isn’t very good.

Tampa Bay should blow this game out of the water and not even break a sweat. However, the keyword is should. This is the NFL, not everything turns out how it should. In fact, it’s usually the opposite.

This is a David v. Goliath meeting, no doubt. Daniel Jones hasn’t seen the improvement this season we were expecting, Saquon Barkley was lost for the season, and the Giants just haven’t ever really had a chance to be a good team this season. Tampa, on the other hand, is starting to become a Super Bowl favorite again.

As of Sunday night, less than 30% of the money is on the Giants and almost 60% of people are on the Over. The spread opened at TB-11 at most books and has now climbed over a dozen. The total has dropped from 47.5 to 44.5.

Tampa Bay should win this game by at least two touchdowns no problem. However, this just has the feel of the type of game where the Bucs underperform and the Giants actually have some fight in them. 

Tampa’s offense really isn’t that good. It's solid, but not that good. Defensive penalties have aided A LOT of their offensive drives this season. Their offense will be the reason they lose come playoff time. The Giants’ defense is a decent enough unit that I think they do better than most viewers would expect in this game.

Common sense would push you towards the Bucs in this one but I’m not common sense. As you can see below (Published YTD Results), betting as a contrarian has its benefits so let’s stay the course. Go ahead, bet the Bucs like you want to, I’ll be on the Giants in one of those games that people end up saying is “rigged” when they end up with a late cover.

***Pick: Giants +12.5***

(Published YTD Results: 5-1)


Monday Night Football Week 8 Free Pick: Tampa Bay  Buccaneers vs New York Giants

The Dallas Cowboys (2-5) will take on divisional rival Philadelphia Eagles (2-4-1) on
Sunday Night Football. Dallas is now on a two-game losing streak after being
embarrassed by the Washington Football Team 25-3. The Eagles are coming off of a
22-21 win against the New York Giants.

### Dallas Cowboys Strength and Weaknesses

Strengths:
 
- Ezekiel Elliot (when he doesn’t fumble)
- Most run offensive plays in the NFL
- Pretty much nothing else

Weaknesses:
- Defense
- Third-string QB
- Most point allowed in NFL
- Worst rush defense in NFL
- Defense again

### Philadelphia Eagles Strength and Weaknesses

Strengths:
-  9th-Ranked Pass Defense
- 10th in Yards Per Play Defensively

Weaknesses:

- 24th in Scoring
- 22nd Pass Offense
- 22nd Points Allowed
- 26th Rush Defense
- Receiver Depth

## Dallas vs Philadelphia Thursday Night Free Betting Pick

Like every other NFC East game this season, this is a battle of what team is the least
pathetic. The winner of this division is likely to have 6-7 wins and this one could go a
long way in deciding who wins this division.
The Cowboys will be rolling with third-string QB Ben Dinucci after Andy Dalton was
almost decapitated last week. That means we will see a heavy dose of Zeke and a lot of
check down and short passes.

Very few people will be putting money on Dallas in this game, which is good news for
us. Dinucci actually looked decent in his limited time at the end of the game against
Washington. Is he going to be a good QB? Probably not. However, he is good enough
to get us a cover in this game.

The Cowboys are a disaster but so are the Eagles. Philadelphia’s offense struggles and
their defense is bad against the run. Zeke is one of the best backs in the league and he
should have a good day in a game where he is relied on heavily.
This is a big game for Mike McCarthy and the Cowboys. All Dinucci has to do is not
throw interceptions and just put up a decent game checking the ball down and letting
Zeke do his job.

Vegas has the total in this one really low at 43 points. That means we are going to see a
sloppy low-scoring game. A lot of running between these two will help keep this low-
scoring and also help keep Dallas close enough to get a cover.
Does Dallas win? Unlikely, but I do trust Dinucci to not be the worst quarterback in the
world and actually get the cover in this one. This is a perfect example of a contrarian
bet.

***Pick: Cowboys +11***

(YTD Results: 4-0 :moneybag:)

Sunday Night Football Week 8 Free Pick: Dallas  Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

It’s now technically Week 9 in the college football season. We are finally back to near full lineups of college games on Saturdays again. That means we have plenty of games to choose from each week to find out favorite bets. This week, the best Saturday college back comes out of the SEC as Missouri heads to Gainesville to take on Florida.

## Missouri Betting Analysis

After opening their season 0-2, the Missouri Tigers have won their last two games to even their record at 2-2 as they look to become bowl eligible this season. 

Opening your season with a 38-19 loss to Alabama is nothing to be ashamed of. At the time, neither was losing 35-12 to Tennessee. Now it turns out Tennessee is not the team experts thought they were as they are now 2-3 and among the bottom feeders of the SEC East.

The two wins for the Tigers were a 45-41 win against a terrible LSU defense and a 20-10 win against a bad Kentucky offense. Against an offense like Florida, Missouri will have their hands full trying to keep up. Quarterback Connor Bazelak will need another performance like the one he had against LSU to keep Missouri in this one.

## Florida Betting Analysis

The Florida Gators are coming off of a bye week and sitting at 2-1. If not for a late game collapse, the Gators would be sitting at 3-0 and likely ranked in the top 5. In their three games against Ole Miss, South Carolina, and Texas A&M, the Gators are averaging over 42 points a game.

Quarterback Kyle Trask is currently among the Heisman favorites through his three games. Trask has 14 touchdown passes to go along with 996 passing yards. Trask’s most dangerous weapon is Kyle Pitts, arguably the nation’s best tight end.

The Florida defense has been an issue through three games. However, Ole Miss and Texas A&M both have high-powered offenses. Against South Carolina, a team that doesn’t have an explosive offense, the Gators held them to a modest 24 points.

## Missouri vs Florida Free Pick and Prediction

Florida will have no trouble scoring in this game. Missouri may be able to keep up early but it is hard to expect that offense to keep up with the Gators for 60 minutes. Bazelak will need a career game if Missouri is going to keep this one close.

The Gators are coming in at less than two-touchdown favorites. The total in this one is floating around 61. After a bye week, look for Florida to come out ready to pounce after choking away their last game. This time, Florida will make sure to keep their foot on the gas and not give Missouri a chance to win.

Roll with the Gators and the Over in what should be a high-scoring game with Florida being very efficient offensively.

***Gators -12.5 and OVER 61.5***


College Football Free Pick Saturday: Missouri vs Florida

With most of the major football conferences now in action, we are being treated to football 5-6 days. Once the MAC begins, we will be seeing football seven days a week with Tuesday MACtion. For this Friday, we are actually getting three NCAAF games. The one you should be betting on is the late game between Hawaii and Wyoming.

### Hawaii Betting Analysis

Hawaii opened their season with a win last week against Fresno State 34-19. A close game at the half, Hawaii managed to pull away by outscoring Fresno State 17-6 in the second half. Traditionally, Hawaii has always been a pass heavy team. However, in their game against Fresno State, the Rainbow Warriors managed to put up 323 yards on the ground. Hawaii had four different players average at least 5.2 yards per carry, including quarterback Chevan Cordeiro who had 116 yards on 13 carries (8.9 YPC).

Hawaii benefited from forcing four turnovers, three of them interceptions on quarterback Jake Haener. Despite forcing four turnovers, the Hawaii defense still surrendered 409 total yards. Another key factor in this game was Hawaii’s ability to convert third-downs, going 11-16.

### Wyoming Betting Analysis

The Wyoming Cowboys were favored to start their season 1-0 last week when they played the Nevada Wolf Pack. However, Wyoming ended up losing the game 37-34 in overtime. The Cowboys did well to even force overtime by outscoring Nevada 18-3 in the fourth quarter, including a last second field goal to tie the game.

Wyoming struggled offensively in the first half, only scoring six points. Overall, the Cowboys managed just 361 total yards in the game. They struggled mightily on third down, converting just 3-16. Defensively the Cowboys were torched by Nevada quarterback Carson Strong who threw for 420 yards and four touchdowns. Despite an overall bad performance, the Cowboys almost walked away with a win in this one.

## Hawaii vs Wyoming Free Pick and Prediction

The Rainbow Warriors ‘ offense appears to be operating a little different this year, at least through one game. The Run-N-Gun offense appears to be a little more run heavy with Cordeiro popping off 13 rushes. While Wyoming did struggle against the pass in their first game, they only allowed 76 rushing yards.

Wyoming played what was likely their worst game statistically all season. The one silver lining in their performance was their determination and will to get back into the game to force overtime and almost steal a win. This week, look for the Cowboys to come out with a better performance and play up to their expectations in this one.

Trust in the Wyoming defense to play better against the pass in this game. They should be able to limit Cordeiro on the ground and force him to do more with his arm. Offensively, Wyoming should be able to control this game with their run offense against a Hawaii defense that is just as vulnerable, if not more vulnerable than their own. Roll with the Cowboys at home as they improve drastically from their first game of the season.

***Pick: Wyoming-1***

College Football Free Pick Friday: Hawaii vs Wyoming

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) will head to Carolina to take on the Panthers (3-4) on Thursday Night Football. Last week, the Falcons blew yet another game late as they fell to the Detroit Lions 23-22. The Panthers enter this game on a two-game losing streak after losing to the New Orleans Saints 27-24.

### Atlanta Falcons Strength and Weaknesses

Strengths:

- 4th in Total Offense (417.0 YPG)
- 3rd in Passing Offense (295.6 YPG)
- 6th in Rush Defense (92.4 YPG)
- Receiving Group 

Weaknesses:

- 20th in Rush Offense (105.4 YPG)
- 31st in Total Yards Allowed (436.9 YPG)
- 31st in Pass Yards Allowed (333.4 YPG)
- 26th in Points Allowed (29.6 PPG)
- Entire Defense

### Carolina Panthers Strength and Weaknesses

Strengths:

- 11th in Passing Offense (263.7 YPG)
- 8th in 3rd Down Conversion (46.9%)
- 9th in Total Yards Allowed (356.9 YPG)
- 10th in Passing Yards Allowed (227.1 YPG)

Weaknesses:

- 17th in Total Yards (381.1 YPG)
- 20th in Rush Offense (105.4 YPG)
- 25th in Points Scored (23.1 PPG)
- 18th in Rushing Yards Allowed (124.0 YPG)
- 31st in 3rd Down Defense (56.3%)

## Atlanta vs Carolina Thursday Night Free Betting Pick

The Falcons could very easily be 4-3 right now and right in the playoff mix if not for some epic late game collapses by their defense. The Falcons offense can compete with some of the league’s best on most nights. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley are arguably the best WR duo in the league and Matt Ryan is having an excellent season himself.

While Todd Gurley isn’t getting much attention, he is also having a good season with four yards per carry (485 total rushing yards) and seven touchdowns. Altogether, this offense is very good and can help the Falcons win against almost any opponent. It’s just a matter of the defense playing a little less terrible.

The Panthers have lost their fair share of close games as well and could also be sitting on a better record. However, for the Panthers, it’s not their defense but their offense that has struggled the most. The Panthers are scoring the eighth-fewest points per game in the league.

Losing Christian McCaffrey was certainly a blow but the Panthers actually did well without him, getting to a record of 3-2. Teddy Bridgewater is a solid game-managing quarterback but unlike Matt Ryan, it is hard to expect him to throw for big numbers to win high-scoring games. 

The Panthers won this matchup earlier this season 23-16 in Bridgewater’s best game of the season. Ryan had his worst game of the season and Julio Jones was out that game. This time around, look for the Falcons offense to perform better with Jones on the field. Hopefully, the defenses can hold onto this one.

***Pick: Falcons+2.5***

(YTD Results: 2-0 :money:)

Thursday Night Football Week 8 Free Pick: Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

The Chicago Bears (5-1) will take on the Los Angeles Rams (4-2) this week on Monday Night Football. The Bears enter this contest on a two-game winning streak after taking down the Carolina Panthers (23-16). The Rams saw their two-game winning streak end last week with a loss on the road against the San Francisco 49ers (24-16).

## Chicago Bears Season Recap

Chicago has been a bit of a surprise this year as they have started their season 5-1. They opened their season with a 27-23 victory over the Detroit Lions thanks to a 21-0 fourth quarter. In Week 2, Chicago took on the New York Giants and managed to win a low-scoring game by a score of 17-13. Then, the Bears managed to win their highest-scoring game of the season in Week 3 against the Atlanta Falcons 30-26.

Nick Foles took over for Mitchell Trubisky in the middle of that Week 3 game against the Falcons. Foles helped lead the Bears offense to a comeback in that game when they were trailing 26-10 in the fourth. Since taking over for Trubisky, the Bears&#39; offense really hasn&#39;t been any better or worse as they still struggle to score most weeks.

After their 3-0 start, the Bears ran into the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4 and suffered their first loss of the season. Chicago only managed to score 11 points, with eight of them coming on a garbage touchdown in the final two minutes of the game. Chicago lost that game 19-11. Chicago rebounded with two big wins against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20-19) and the Carolina Panthers (23-16) the following two weeks thanks to Foles playing just good enough to get his team the win.

### Bears Strengths and Weaknesses

The Bears have a pretty obvious strength in their defense and an even more obvious weakness in their defense. Think of Chicago as being the opposite of the Seattle Seahawks. They can&#39;t rely on their offense to win against high-scoring opponents but their defense gives them a chance to win every week.

**Strengths:**

- 7th Total Defense (352.2 YPG)
- 7th Points Allowed (19.3 PPG)
- 3rd-Down Defense (31.8%)
- Pass Rush
- Secondary

**Weaknesses:**

- 29th Total Offense (329.7 YPG)
- 24th Passing Offense (222.8 YPG)
- 29th Rush Offense (90.0 YPG)
- 27th Points Scored (21.3 PPG)
- 27th 3rd-Down (36.3%)
- Nick Foles Too Inconsistent

## Los Angeles Rams Season Recap

After finishing 9-7 last year, the Rams opened their season with two wins against the NFC East. They took down the Dallas Cowboys 20-17 in Week 1 and then the Philadelphia Eagles 37-19 in Week 2. While holding the Eagles to 19 points may not be the most impressive thing in the world, holding what would become the league&#39;s best offense in Dallas to 17 points is.

However, in Week 3, the Rams&#39; defense was torched by the Buffalo Bills. L.A. allowed 35 points to Buffalo. Almost mounting a 25-point comeback, the Rams ultimately fell 35-32 when Buffalo marched down the field for 80 yards over the final five minutes to score the game winning touchdown with 14 seconds left.

After their first loss of the year, the Rams rebounded with two more wins against the NFC East. They took down the New York Giants in Week 4 by a score of 17-9 and then the Washington Football Team in Week 5 30-10. After their 4-1 start, the Rams lost to their divisional foe San Francisco 24-16.

## Rams Strengths and Weaknesses

The Los Angeles Rams have been a fairly balanced team this season. They have a solid statistical offense and a top tier defense. Aaron Donald alone is a major strength as he himself is the biggest defensive game changer in the NFL. Offensively, the Rams are a good unit, at least statistically, but they also tend to go through droughts.

**Strengths:**

- 10th Total Offense (396.8 YPG)
- 10th Rush Offense (135.2 YPG)
- 9th 3rd Down (46.8%)
- 5th Total Defense (340.3 YPG)
- 4th Pass Defense (209.5 YPG)
- 5th Points Allowed (19.0 PPG)
- 6th 3rd-Down Defense (35.6%)
- Aaron Donald

**Weaknesses:**

- Finishing Drives
- 19th Points Scored (25.3 PPG)
- Takeaways
- Offense Can Stall at Times
- Receiver Depth and Size

## Rams vs Bears Monday Night Free Pick Prediction

A low-scoring game is expected Monday night and that should be just what we get. Between the Bears&#39; terrible offense and both teams possessing Top 10 defenses, points could be at a premium. A lot of people are also quick to point out that all of the Rams&#39; wins have come against the NFC East, which has just six wins of its own (four amongst each other).

That may be true, that the Rams have only won against the NFL&#39;s worst division. However, they managed to hold that Cowboys offense to just 17 points and then they blew out Philadelphia and Washington, who both have somewhat decent defenses. The Rams almost mounted a 25-point comeback in Buffalo against a very good Bills&#39; team, only losing by three. A second loss coming against a tough divisional opponent at San Francisco is nothing to be ashamed of either. When you look at their whole schedule, so far, only the Giants game raises the biggest question mark and they still managed an eight-point victory.

So while everyone may be quick to go against the Rams in this one, that may not be the smart move. Los Angeles is a far better offensive team than Chicago and their defense is statistically better as well. The Rams also have a better offensive line, which should do better stopping the Bears&#39; pass rush compared to the Bears&#39; offensive line stopping Donald and company.

The under isn&#39;t a bad bet in this one but taking the Rams and laying the points may be a better one. Chicago shouldn&#39;t be scoring much in this game but there is a decent change the Rams offense could score enough to push this game over. We could even see a defensive score in this game from either side that could really hurt under bettors.

Instead, the Rams -5.5 should be the safer bet here. While both teams have good defenses, the Bear&#39;s offense is a trainwreck. Foles is too inconsistent for this Bears&#39; team to make a legit Super Bowl run this year. In games like this, against a defense like the Rams, Foles should be in for a long night. The Rams&#39; offense can stall at times but it is also capable of going off any given night. After a subpar performance last week against a divisional foe, look for the Rams to get a statement win on Monday night on national TV and cover in the process.

***Pick: Rams-5.5***

Monday Night Football Free Pick: Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

The Seattle Seahawks (5-0) will take on the Arizona Cardinals (4-2) on Sunday Night Football. Seattle is coming off of a bye week after narrowly escaping the Minnesota Vikings 27-26 the week prior. Arizona has now won its last two games after destroying the Dallas Cowboys 38-10. For both teams, this will be a big game that will not only go a long way in helping decide the NFC West, but also in playoff seeding and whether or not Arizona can find a way into the playoffs this season.

### Seattle Seahawks Season Recap

The Seahawks are the last remaining undefeated team in the NFC. Sitting atop the NFC West, two games ahead of Arizona, Seattle has seen its fair share of close games. After taking down the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 by a score of 38-25, their next four games were all decided by one possession.

Seattle edged out the New England Patriots in Week 2 35-30 thanks to a last minute goal-line stand. In Week 3, trailing by 1 with under two minutes to go, Russell Wilson connected with D.K. Metcalf for the game winning touchdown to take down Dallas 38-31. 

Week 4 turned out to be a tougher than expected contest against the Miami Dolphins. Eventually, Seattle would go on to win that game 31-23, holding off a late rally. Then, in Week 5, the Seahawks had their closest game of the season against the Vikings. After trailing 13-0 at the half, Seattle scored 21 points in the third quarter to help get a 27-26 victory.

## Seahawks Strengths and Weaknesses

If you take a quick look at the Seahawks statistics and box scores, it is pretty easy to see where Seattle is strong and where they struggle. In simple terms, their offense is their strength and their defense is their weakness.

**Strengths:**

* Deep Passing Plays
* Strong WR Group
* Russell Wilson
* 5th Total Offense (415.8 YPG)
* 4th Passing Offense (280.4 YPG)
* Highest-Scoring Team (33.8 PPG)
* 7th Rushing Defense (100.8)
* Turnover Differential (+6)

**Weaknesses:**

* Secondary
* 31st 3rd-Down Offense (32.6%)
* Worst Total Defense (477.4 YPG)
* Worst Passing Defense (370.4 YPG)
* 18th Points Allowed (27.0 PPG)
* 28th 3rd-Down Defense (50.0 %)

### Arizona Cardinals Season Recap

Many expected the Arizona Cardinals to take the next step this year and so far, they are off to a great start. The Cardinals started the season 2-0 after a surprising Week 1 win against the San Francisco 49ers (24-20) and then a follow up win against the Washington Football Team (30-15).

However, the hype-train derailed a bit in back-to-back weeks. In Week 3, the Cardinals handed the Detroit Lions their first win of the season when they blew a fourth-quarter lead. Arizona was leading 23-20 and ended up losing 26-23 when they failed to score at all in the fourth quarter. Their second loss of the year came the following week against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers jumped out to a 14-0 lead and never looked back as they went on to beat the Cardinals 31-21.

After evening their record up at 2-2, the Cardinals went on their second two-game winning streak of the young season. Arizona rebounded with an easy win against the league-worst New York Jets 30-10. Then, they beat the Cowboys the following week by an even bigger score of 38-10.

### Cardinals Strengths and Weaknesses

Unlike Seattle, Arizona is a more even team on both sides of the ball. They have no league-best strengths but they also have no real glaring weaknesses. 

Strengths:

* 8th Total Offense (408.8 YPG)
* 4th Rushing Offense (161 YPG)
* 2nd Points Allowed (18.7 PPG)
* 7th 3rd-Down Defense (36.5%)
* Pass Rush
* Deep WR Group
* Strong 1-2 at Running Back

Weaknesses:

* Secondary Depth
* Inconsistent Play From Kyler Murray
* Special Teams

## Seattle vs Arizona Sunday Night Free Betting Pick

Seattle may be the better team in this matchup but Arizona is the more level team. Seattle is going to give up points all year and will need Russell Wilson to keep playing at an MVP-level all season if they want to keep winning. Arizona can win games because of both their offense and defense.

Divisional games are always more hard-fought games than when non-divisional teams meet. Arizona’s offense is capable of competing with the Seattle offense and their defense is far better than Seattles. Kyler Murray’s ability to make plays with his feet is what could be the difference in this game. Also, his ability to protect the ball.

The total is high in this game (55.5), as expected, and the Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite. This should be a high-scoring contest but part of Arizona’s game plan should also be to control the clock in this game, limiting the number of times Wilson touches the ball. If they are successful in doing so, this game could potentially be lower-scoring than the sportsbooks expect.

While the over may be a very tempting pick, Arizona’s solid defense and rushing attack could keep this game from blowing up. Instead, taking the Cardinals with the points should be a safer pick. Seattle has benefited statistically from playing three of the worst defenses in the NFL (Atlanta, Dallas, and Minnesota). Against a solid defense like Arizona that won’t give Wilson a ton of time, the Seattle offense may not be as explosive as their numbers would suggest. Take the Cardinals at home in what will likely be a close game. Arizona can win both a high-scoring and a low-scoring game while Seattle’s defense can’t carry the load if their offense has an off night.

***Pick: Arizona+3.5***

Sunday Night Football Week 7 Free Pick: Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

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If you are like 1/3 of the human civilization, you are stuck in the house right now. You have nowhere to go. And most importantly - nothing to bet on!

Fear not. We are here to guide your gambling habits through the next 30 days of quarantine.

Traditional sports may be on hold for now. But the gambling world is transforming to get players some actions.

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## Online poker is back...

Remember online poker? Well its back and better than ever. Users have been flocking to online poker sites to pass the time...and win some money!

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Stuck in quarantine with no sports? Here's what to bet on...

LA Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Line: LA -1.5
Over/Under: 48.5

For tonight's Raiders vs Chargers Thursday night football, I am playing the OVER. Here is why...

- Both offenses move the football
- LA ranks 8th in yards per pass attempt (YPA)
- Oakland ranks 6th.
- Oakland has been soft on defense. In the last 3 games, they rank last in YPA. s per 
- Raiders have been trending OVER...5-1 in Raiders last 6 games overall
- Recent meetings have been trending UNDER...this forces sportsbooks to drop their total

This game has shootout potential. I would expect a 31-27 game. Oakland on top.

Predicted score: LA 27 - OAK 31

**OVER 48.5**

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Los Angeles Chargers

Oakland Raiders

Raiders vs Chargers Free Pick, Thursday Night Football (11/6/19)

Week 7 Thursday Night Football, the 4-2 Kansas Chiefs travel a mile high to face the 2-4 Denver Broncos.

Thursday, Oct 17th <br />
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos<br />
Spread: KC -3.5<br />
Over/Under: 48.5<br />

Kansas City has been hot, winning their last 7 games versus their AFC West rival. The Chiefs have also cashed in for bettors, winning 6 of these 7 games against the spread (ATS).

<img class="ui image medium bordered" src="https://i.imgur.com/RhUKgqE.png" />

### Who should bettors take in tonight's matchup?

I am leaning towards taking Denver +3.5.

The Chiefs have had some struggles. They lost 2 games in a row at home (vs. Colts and Texans). In their last 3, they are 0-3 against the spread. This trend may continue tonight.

You should look towards the underdog. Denver has been playing better. In their last 2 games, they have limited opponents to an average of 6.5 points! They wont completely shut down the Chiefs, but they should make it competitive.

### Public betting is heavy towards Chiefs

<img class="ui image medium bordered" src="https://i.imgur.com/ZVMB1uW.png" />

There is a heavy gap here. Some sites report over 70% of public wagers are going on Kansas City. This shows a large public consensus on a road favorite.

In this case, you should always bet the other way (take the Broncos).

### Conclusion

I am taking the underdog Broncos in tonight's game. They have been playing solid defense and they should be able to keep this game competitive. A 3.5 point spread will come in handy tonight. Good luck.


Chiefs vs Broncos free pick + betting preview, Thursday Night Football 

Looking for a bet in tonight's Browns vs Jets Monday night football game?

Alright, you have come to the right place...

As I sit here at my desk on a Monday afternoon, I am reviewing the bets from this weekend. Man, we saw some good winners. The custom betting system makes it very easy on my life. It crunches the numbers, suggests winners. I place bets. Make money. Rinse and repeat...

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Now for tonight's game, our betting system is showing us a winner. Since we did so well this weekend - we will give it away for free.

Here is our betting system's proprietary over/under pick for the Browns vs Jets on Monday night football:

Sports books have set the over/under at 45 1/2. Our custom algorithm is telling us this number is too high. **Bettors should take the UNDER on tonight's game**.

Lets look at some stats that support the UNDER:

- Through week 1, Jets rank 14th in yards per pass attempt allowed (held Bills in check). This should continue tonight...
- Cleveland had trouble getting going in week 1 (vs TEN). They now have to go on the road vs NYJ. This spells trouble for an offense trying to find its identity.
- NYJ had an abmismal offensive outing in week 1. Now Trevor Seimian takes the helm. Enough said...

Take the UNDER in this matchup with Medium confidence. Expect a low scoring affair...that might put you to sleep early...but you will wake up to a winning ticket!

Browns vs Jets Over Under Free Pick, Monday Night Football

Lets get ready for some football!

With the start of the 2019 NFL season only 1 day away, its time to place your bets for week 1.

Now, don't go betting just to bet. That is rule #1 in our NFL betting system. You need to make sure you're betting when you have the "edge". 

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How do you get a betting edge? Excellent question! The easiest way - follow us throughout the year. We will provide you excellent free picks in addition to our [proprietary NFL betting system](/betting-system).

Enough betting theory. Time to place our bet for the opening game of the year - Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears.

For this opening day matchup, we will look at the over/under. Our over [under betting system](/betting-system) is showing us value here...lets take a look:

### Packers vs Bears Free Over Under Pick:

For this matchup, bookmakers opened this over/under at 46. Money flow (bets) on the over have pushed this total to its [current 46.5](http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/).

Analyzing this matchup, the **UNDER 46.5** looks like a solid value play. Here is why...

Before we get into handicapping, *please note* - most of this statistical analysis comes from last season's stats. Teams change from season to season, so there could be some inaccuracy here. But...this is all we have at the moment. And as the year goes on...we will get more accurate.

Both offenses were decent last year. When we look at 2018 yards per pass attempt (our most valuable handicapping stat) both Chicago (ranked #14th) and Green Bay (#22) were in the middle of the pack...

Green Bay now has a completely different coaching staff, so we will give them a slight bump...but both are mid-level scoring offenses...

On the defensive side of the ball, Chicago ran the show. In 2018, the **Bears ranked #1 in yards per pass attempt allowed (5.8 yards)**. They also lead the league in points allowed at 18 per game. Solid.

Green Bay's defense was OK. They rank 23rd in yards per pass attempt allowed. This lead to allowing an average of 25 points per game. Middle of the pack...but, with some key personal moves this offseason, they look to be upgraded defensively in 2019. (see [Packers' Defense Has Been All The Rage This Summer](https://www.forbes.com/sites/robreischel/2019/08/15/packers-defense-beginning-to-look-like-an-elite-unit/#76c26eeb281b))

Our custom betting system is showing us a low scoring Packers/Bears matchup. 4-5 combined touchdowns, max. The total should not top 42.

**Packers/Bears UNDER 46.5** (medium confidence)

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Packers vs Bears, Over Under Free Pick, Week 1

Looking for NFL underdog picks for week 1?

Well, you came to the right place...

Let's get down to business. You can start the NFL season off right with our winning picks and betting advice.

If your new to Wager&Review, you can do some reading here on our overall philosophy towards NFL betting. To keep it short - its all about mindset. And you are about to have a winning one...

So lets take a look at week 1. Should we play some heavy favorites and lay tons of points? No way. Especially early in the season **underdogs** are the where you place your money. (read more here)

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All of our NFL picks are based off our prioritary [NFL betting system](/betting-system). This is no random stuff. We have formulated a system over 20+ years that will help you cash tickets...which is all that matters.

Note - these are medium and low confidence picks. If you want our high confidence plays - [signup now for our NFL betting system](/betting-system). You will receive a preseason discount.

### Houston Texans +7 vs. New Orleans Saints (medium confidence)

Ofcourse, everyone knows about New Orleans is a tough place to play. But don't sleep on the Houston Texans. After a monster pre-season trade, the Texans are feeling good. Lead by DeShaun and JJ...they have a solid team all around. In 2018, under coach Jim O'Brien, they had several quality road wins (shows they can play on the road).

For the 2019 season, we rate the Texans as a "9 win" team. New Orleans is rated as 9 wins as well. When we run these numbers through they system - the line should be NO -2.5. Betting HOU +7, your getting value. Bet it in week 1 (with medium confidence).

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Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals (7:05 PM)


ML: Chicago+220/Washington-245

RL: Chicago+110/Washington-120

O/U: O8.5-107/U8.5-113


Reynaldo Lopez (3-5 6.20 ERA) vs Stephen Strasburg (5-3 3.19 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Chicago is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Washington.
- Chicago is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against the National League.
- Washington is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games against Chicago.
- Washington is 6-3 SU in their last 9 home games.


Prediction:

All of Lopez’s good starts have come against teams ranked in the bottom 10 in offense (Cleveland, Detroit twice, Kansas City, and Toronto). The Nationals offense is ranked 17th in runs per game, but they have scored 59 runs in their last nine games. Strasburg has been the most reliable pitcher for the Nationals over the past four weeks, and against some of the National League’s best teams (Los Angeles, Chicago, New York, and Atlanta). Strasburg goes deep into games and keeps that sketchy Nationals bullpen as little involved as possible. The Nationals are one of the hottest teams in the National League right now and Strasburg is just as hot right now. Look for them to keep their winning ways going after this one. I expect Strasburg to only allow one, maybe two runs in seven-plus innings. The Nationals should put up enough runs to cover the OVER in this, so long as they don’t shut the White Sox out.
 

Score:

Chicago 1 - Washington 8


Best Bets: Washington ML-245, Washington RL-120, and Over 8.5-113

Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals MLB Free Pick Tuesday

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Philadelphia-130/San Diego+115

RL: Philadelphia+102/San Diego-118

O/U: O7.5-109/U7.5-107


Aaron Nola (6-0 4.18 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (4-4 4.45 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 11 games against the National League West.
- San Diego is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games played on a Monday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego’s last 20 games played in June.
- Philadelphia is 28-14 SU as a favorite this season.
- Philadelphia is 16-11 ATS on the road this season.

Prediction:

Both teams are 5-5 in their last ten games, and the Phillies have lost four straight (three of those against the Los Angeles Dodgers). Phillies offense has crashed back to earth after a great start to the season. They now rank 13th in runs per game but are still way ahead of the Padres, who rank 26th. The Padres rank ninth in ERA and the Phillies are right behind them at 10th. Although both pitchers are pitching well at the moment, I expect Nola to have the better outing today. The Phillies offense is a bigger threat to Lauer than the Padres are to Nola. Look for this to be a low-scoring game with the Phillies pulling away in the middle/late innings.
 

Score:

Philadelphia 4 - San Diego 1


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML-130, Philadelphia RL+102, and Under 7.5-107

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Free MLB Monday Picks

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves (4:10 PM)


ML: Detroit+210/Atlanta-240

RL: Detroit-110/Atlanta-120

O/U: O9.5-105/U9.5-115


Daniel Norris (2-3 4.18 ERA) vs Mike Soroka (5-1 1.07 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games.
- Detroit is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit’s last 13 games on the road against Atlanta.
- Detroit is 3-12 SU in their last 15 games against the National League.
- Detroit is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against the National League East.


Prediction:

The Tigers have the second-worst scoring offense in baseball and are fifth-worst in hits. Soroka should be able to hand the Tigers today with relative ease. There is a good chance we can see him go 7+ scoreless innings today. The Braves offense isn’t the best in baseball (16th in runs per game) but should be able to find a way to score some runs off of Norris. The Braves won’t need too many runs in this one in order to win, so the UNDER should be the pick in this one as well. 


Score:

Detroit 1 - Atlanta 5


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-240, Atlanta RL-120, and Under 9.5-115

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Free Pick Saturday

Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM)


ML: Cleveland-160/Chicago+145

RL: Cleveland+145/Chicago-110

O/U: O9.5-115/U9.5-105


Trevor Bauer (4-4 3.99 ERA) vs Dylan Covey (0-4 5.47 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Cleveland is 13-7 SU in their last 20 games on the road against Chicago.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago’s last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games against Cleveland.
- Chicago is 9-19 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

Bauer had his worst start of the season against the White Sox back on May 6th. He gave up 10 hits and allowed seven earned runs. Covey picked up a loss in his relief appearance against the Indians back on April 1st. Both teams are in the bottom eight of the league in runs per game, so both pitchers should have decent outings. Indians walk the fifth most in baseball, with Covey’s command, they should be able to get some good scoring opportunities. Bauer will look to rebound with a big game after getting torched last time he started against the White Sox. This game should be low scoring and stay UNDER but I think the Indians get the win thanks to a few walks from Covey.
 

Score:

Cleveland 5 - Chicago 2


Best Bets: Cleveland ML-160, Cleveland RL+145, and Under 9.5-105

Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox, MLB Free Pick Friday

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (3:10 PM)


ML: Arizona+100/Colorado-110

RL: Arizona-195/Colorado+210

O/U: O10-108/U10-112


Zack Greinke (6-2 2.89 ERA) vs Jon Gray (4-4 4.62 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona’s last 12 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games on the road against Colorado.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado’s last 12 home games.
- Colorado is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against the National League.
- Arizona is 31-21 ATS this season.
- Arizona is 18-10 ATS on the road this season.


Prediction:
 
Since his first start of the season, Greinke has only allowed 16 earned runs in 68 innings pitched (2.12 ERA). He has only walked nine batters all year. The Rockies offense doesn’t walk much and strikeouts a lot. Greinke should have the upper hand in this pitching duel. Being at Coors Field we can expect some balls to fly in this one. Arizona is 11th in the Majors in home runs and should add to that total today. Gray has given up 11 home runs so far this season, 18th most in the league. The Diamondbacks should pick up their fourth straight win behind another solid Greinke performance. The OVER should hit despite Greinke’s great pitching.
 
 
Score:

Arizona 8 - Colorado 3


Best Bets: **Arizona ML+100/Arizona RL-195 and Over 10-108**

MLB Memorial Day Free Pick, Arizona vs Colorado

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-7

O/U: 215.5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee-7 and Over 215.5**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 Premium Pick

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels (4:07 PM)


ML: Minnesota-140/Los Angeles+126

RL: Minnesota+110/Los Angeles-130

O/U: O9-110/U9-110


Martin Perez (6-1 2.89 ERA) vs Matt Harvey (2-3 6.35)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
- Minnesota is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
- Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against LA Angels.
- Minnesota is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
- Minnesota is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels.
- LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels' last 5 games played on a Thursday.


Predictions:

The Twins are hot right now and their offense is now second-ranked in baseball in runs per game. Matt Harvey hasn't been a good pitcher since his early days in New York. The Twins should have no problem piling up runs on him today. Perez is one of the Twins best pitcher and against an Angels offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs, I like Perez to have a good day. Certainly good enough to get a win against Matt Harvey. Twins pile up runs early and adds some on the Angels bullpen. The OVER should hit with ease as well.


Score:

Minnesota 8 - Los Angeles 3


Best Bets: Minnesota ML-140, Minnesota RL+110 and Over 9-110

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels, MLB Premium Thursday 5/23/19

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM)


ML: Kansas City+160/St. Louis-178

RL: Kansas City-130/St. Louis+110

O/U: O9.5-109/U9.5-110


Homer Bailey (4-4 5.36 ERA) vs Adam Wainwright (4.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in their last five games
- Kansas City is 12-22 against RHP this season
- Kansas City is 6-16 SU on the road this season
- Kansas City is 10-24 SU as underdogs this season
- St. Louis is 13-10 ATS at home this season
- St. Louis is 14-9 SU at home this season

Prediction:

Homer Bailey has been having an above average year, by his standards, even with a 1.46 ERA. Bailey can give up 10 earned runs on any given start, he is just that bad at most times. He might not give up ten today, but there is a better chance he does give up ten earned runs then he pitches a shutout. Wainwright hasn't been very good either but is certainly the better pitcher of the two. The Cardinals offense should crush Bailey today and their pitching staff should be able to handle the subpar hitting of the Royals. Cardinals pick up a win in a game that sees its fair share of runs.


Score:

Kansas City 3 - St. Louis 8


Best Bets: St. Louis ML-178, St. Louis RL+110 and Over 9.5-109

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals, MLB Premium Wednesday

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM)


ML: Atlanta-151/San Francisco+136

RL: Atlanta-103/San Francisco-117

O/U: O7.5+100/U7.5-120


Max Fried (6-2 2.86 ERA) vs Jeff Samardzija (2-2 3.69 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games.
- Atlanta is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against San Francisco.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 6 games against Atlanta.
- San Francisco is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the National League East.


Prediction:

Look for the Braves to run up Samardzija’s pitch count early in this one and chase him from the game before the sixth. The Giants have the sixth best bullpen in the league in terms of ERA, so the Braves will be looking to do their damage against Samardzija. I expect Fried to pitch into the seventh in this one, possibly even later, limiting the Braves bullpen innings. The Braves get the early lead and manage to hold on for the win in a lower scoring game.


Score:

Atlanta 4 - San Francisco 1


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-151, Atlanta RL-103, and Under 7.5-120

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants, MLB Freebie 5/22/19

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM)


ML: Cincinnati+127/Milwaukee-140

RL: Cincinnati-160/Milwaukee+140

O/U: O9-101/U9-119


Sonny Gray (0-4 4.30 ERA) vs Gio Gonzalez (2-0 1.69 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
- Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Milwaukee.
- The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cincinnati's last 20 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
- Cincinnati is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the National League Central division.
- Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games.
- Milwaukee is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 7 games against Cincinnati.
- Milwaukee is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games this season.


Prediction:

Gio Gonzalez has been an absolute steal for the Brewers so far this season. He is holding a 1.08 WHIP. The Reds are an improved team, but I think Gio can keep his hot streak going. Sonny Gray hasn't been as good as he can be, but despite his record, he hasn't been that bad either. Gray has a 1.18 WHIP and 48 strikeouts in 44 innings. This should be a lower scoring game but I like Gio to get the better of the Reds. Gray will pitch decent, but not well enough to get a win. 


Score:

Cincinnati 2 - Milwaukee 5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee ML-140, Milwaukee RL+140 and Under 9-119**

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers, MLB Premium Picks 5/21/19

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-3

O/U: 217.5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee-3 and Over 217.5**

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Game 4

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM)


ML: New York-245/Baltimore+218

RL: New York-165/Baltimore+144

O/U: O9.5-101/U9.5-119


Domingo German (8-1 2.50 ERA) vs David Hess (1-5 5.58 ERA)


Key Trends:

- NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- NY Yankees are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against Baltimore.
- NY Yankees are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
- NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games this season.
- Baltimore is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Prediction:

German’s pitching this season has him in early Cy Young talks. With two dominant performances already against Baltimore this year, a third should be all but automatic. Baltimore will have trouble finding more than a couple runs in this one. The Yankees should win this game with ease. Hess gets chased early.


Score:

New York 7 - Baltimore 1


Best Bets: **New York ML-245 and New York RL-165**

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles, Free Pick 5/21/19

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers (8:05 PM)


ML: Seattle+133/Texas-147

RL: Seattle-140/Texas+120

O/U: O11-110/U11-110


Mike Leake (3-4 4.00 ERA) vs Mike Minor (4-3 2.61 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games.
- Seattle is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.
- Seattle is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.
- Seattle is 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.


Prediction:

The last time these two pitchers faced each other was April 27. Minor had one of his best games of the year and Leake his worst. We took the Rangers ML, RL and the OVER in that one and won all three. We're going to do the same today. Minor is having a great season and the Rangers offense is still number one in baseball. They are on a nice little run right now as well and are starting to heat up. If the Rangers happen to fall out of contention in the next two months, look for Minor to be a top trade target at this year's trade deadline.


Score:

Seattle 4 - Texas 9


Best Bets: **Texas ML-147, Texas RL+120, and OVER 11-110**

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers, MLB Free Pick 5/20/19

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM)


ML: Atlanta-135/San Francisco+122

RL: Atlanta+120/San Francisco-140

O/U: O7.5-115/U7.5-105


Mike Soroka (4-1 0.98 ERA) vs Andrew Suarez (2019 Debut)


Key Trends:

- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 14 games.
- San Francisco is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games at home.
- San Francisco is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League East division.


Prediction:

Soroka has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this season. We still got over 100 games to play but he is my early season Cy Young favorite in the NL right now. The Braves bats are heating up right now and with the Giants bringing in a pitcher that wasn't good enough to make their opening day roster, not good for San Fran. Suarez was 7-13 with a 4.49 ERA last season and hasn't done any better in AAA this year, going 2-3 with a 6.33 ERA. I don't care about his 1-1 record with a 2.38 ERA last season against the Braves. That means nothing. Braves hot bats ruin Suarez's start to 2019 and Soroka keeps pitching deGrom-like. I'll take the OVER as well with Atlanta scoring at least seven on their own. I'm sure the Giants can find a way to get one run......


Score:

Atlanta 7 - San Francisco 1


Best Bets: **Atlanta ML-135, Atlanta RL+120, and OVER 7.5-115**

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants, MLB Premium Game 5/20/19

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-3.5

O/U: 219


Best Picks: **Portland+3.5 and Under 219**

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers Game 4 Premium Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals (7:08 PM)


ML: Chicago-135/Washington+122

RL: Chicago+115/Washington-135

O/U: O10-101/U10-119


Kyle Hendricks (3-4 2.86) vs Jeremy Hellickson (2-2 6.00 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs' last 10 games.
- Chi Cubs are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
- Chi Cubs are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
- Chi Cubs are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Washington is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League Central division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 20 games played in May.


Prediction:

Hendricks is having a great season despite his 3-4 record. I think he will come out firing this game and put the National bats away fast. Hendricks will pick up a win today by going seven innings and only allowing one or two runs. The Cubs should be able to handle Hellickson and the subpar Nationals bullpen.


Score:

Chicago 6 - Washington 2


Best Bets: **Chicago ML-135, Chicago RL+115 and Under 10-119**

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals, MLB Premium Picks 5/19/19

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM)


ML: San Francisco+144/Arizona-160

RL: San Francisco-135/Arizona+115

O/U: O8-114/U8-106


Drew Pomeranz (1-4 5.93 ERA) vs Robbie Ray (3-1 3.14 ERA)


Key Trends: 

- The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
- San Francisco is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
- San Francisco is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League West division.
- Arizona is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite.


Prediction:

The Giants offense has improved as the season has progressed, but they still sit 23rd overall with 3.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have one of the more potent offenses in baseball, averaging 5.2 runs per game (5th). Arizona also has the edge in team ERA. They have put together a season that has them ranked 13th in ERA compared to 20th for the Giants. Ray is the better pitcher of the two right now. Add in the fact that Arizona is at home, they should take this game today. I think the Diamondbacks offense comes out firing this one and makes it a short day for Pomeranz. The OVER should hit in this one as well, with the Diamondbacks possibly covering the over on their own.


Score:

Arizona 7 - San Francisco 3


Best Picks: **Arizona ML-160, Arizona RL+115 and Over 8-114**

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks, MLB Freebie 5/19/19

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM)


ML: Minnesota-126/Seattle+114

RL: Minnesota+114/Seattle-134

O/U: O9-120/U9+100


Jose Berrios (6-2 3.05 ERA) vs Wade LeBlanc (2-0 4.50 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 4-0 SU in their last five games.
- Minnesota is 5-0 SU in their last five 5 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on Saturday.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Seattle’s last 18 games. 
- Seattle is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games.
- Seattle is 4-12 SU in their last 16 home games.


Prediction:

The Twins have been one of the most surprising teams this season. They have one of the best records in baseball and the Mariners have had one of the worst records since April 12. Berrios is the Twins top pitcher and should have another solid outing tonight. The Twins second-ranked offense shouldn’t have much trouble scoring on LeBlanc. Once the Mariners pen comes in, the Twins should widen their lead. Look for the Twins to pick up a win in semi-blowout fashion while also hitting the OVER. Berrios has a bounce-back game and the Twins continue their winning streak while the Mariners are left trying to figure out how they can turn their season around.


Score:

Minnesota 7 - Seattle 3


Best Bets: **Minnesota ML-126, Minnesota RL+114 and Over 9-120**

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners, MLB Free Pick Saturday 5/18/19

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers (9:00 PM)


Spread: Portland-2.5

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: **Golden State+2.5 and Under 220.5**

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers Game 3 Premium Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals (7:15 PM)


ML: Chicago+125/Washington-138

RL: Chicago-175/Washington+151

O/U: O8.5+100/U8.5-120


Jon Lester (3-1 1.16 ERA) vs Stephen Strasburg (3-3 3.63 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chi Cubs are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.
- Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Washington.
- Chi Cubs are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington.
- Washington is 6-12 SU in their last 18 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Chi Cubs.


Prediction:

Lester off of to one of the best starts to a season in his career. The Nationals have been struggling since Trea Turner went down earlier this season. Strasburg has been up and down this year. All signs point to the Cubs as the more consistent team with the better pitcher on the mound today. I think the Cubs offense helps get this game over. The Nationals bullpen is terrible and is prone to giving up a lot of runs. Cubs should take this one with ease.


Score:

Chicago 8 - Washington 3


Best Picks: **Chicago ML+125, Chicago RL-175 and Over 8.5+100**

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals, MLB Premium Picks

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors (7:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-2

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: Toronto-2 and Under 220.5

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Game 3

St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers (8:05 PM)


ML: St. Louis-157/Texas+141

RL: St. Louis-115/Texas-105

O/U: O11.5-113/U11.5-107


Miles Mikolas (4-3 3.83 ERA) vs Jose Leclerc (1-1 6.32 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
- Texas is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games at home.
- Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.


Prediction:

Both the Cardinals and the Rangers are in a bit of a slump right now, but someone will break out of it today. The Rangers have the #1 offense in baseball in terms of runs per game. The Cardinals have a top five bullpen and Mikolas has pitched well this season, holding a WHIP of 1.06. Leclerc can't be trusted to win games and his 1.79 WHIP shows that he isn't just having bad luck, he just isn't a good pitcher. The Cardinals offense is capable of being a top-five offense when the season is over. I think this will be a high scoring game, but the Cardinals will get more runs against Leclerc then the Rangers will Mikolas. Once it comes to bullpens, the advantage is even more in the Cardinals favor. Look for them to run away late in this one.


Score:

St. Louis 8 - Texas 5


Best Bets: **St. Louis ML-157, St. Louis RL-115 and Over 11.5-113**

St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers, MLB Premium Pick Friday 5/17/19

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves (7:20 PM)


ML: Milwaukee+113/Atlanta-124

RL: Milwaukee-164/Atlanta+144

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Jhoulys Chacin (3-4 4.57 ERA) vs Max Fried (5-2 3.25 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games.
- Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games played on Friday.
- Atlanta is 10-13 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

This will be a battle of two different pitching styles. Chacin likes to work the zone while Fried likes to attack hitters. The Brewers pitching staff has been incredible the past two weeks, holding a team ERA of 1.81 in their last 13 games. The Brewers are 8-6 against LHP this season. Chacin is on a hot streak and Fried is on the decline. The Brewers offense scored 22 runs in their last three games (all wins). I think the Brewers get the win in this one. If the game is tied in the late innings, the Brewers have a huge advantage as Atlanta has one of the worst bullpens in the National League. If they run into Josh Hader of the Brewers, it will be lights out for the Atlanta offense. This should be a low scoring game with the Brewers pulling the “upset”.


Score:

Milwaukee 4 - Atlanta 2


Best Bets: **Milwaukee ML+113, Milwaukee RL-164 and Under 9.5-117**

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Free Pick Friday

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-6.5

O/U: 217


Best Bets: **Toronto+6.5 and Under 217**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 2 Premium Pick 5/17/19

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+117/San Diego-129

RL: Pittsburgh-190/San Diego+163

O/U: O7.5-113/U7.5-107


Trevor Williams (2-1 3.40 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (2-4 5.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
- San Diego is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.


Prediction:

Neither team features a great, or even really a good offense (Pirates 26th in runs per game, Padres 25th). However, Lauer is the type of pitcher that the Pirates can break out against. The Pirates are traveling in from Arizona, so they have been out on the west coast the past few days, so that shouldn’t be much of an issue for them. The Pirates offense has a better chance to break out in this one. Williams has had some really good outings so far this year and against the Padres offense, he should be able to have another quality outing. The OVER should hit in this one as well, with Pittsburgh getting the majority of the runs.


Score:

Pittsburgh 5 - San Diego 3


Best Picks: **Pittsburgh ML+117, Pittsburgh RL-190 and Over 7.5-113**

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres, Free MLB Game of the Day

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM)


ML: Chicago+126/Cincinnati-140

RL: Chicago-180/Cincinnati+155

O/U: O8.5-115/U8.5-105


Jose Quintana (4-2 3.50 ERA) vs Luis Castillo (4-1 1.76 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games.
- Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against Chi Cubs.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs.


Predictions:

Castillo has been a gem for a top-tier Reds pitching staff this season. The offense is finally starting to click after a rough start and the Reds are 18-16 since there rough 1-8 start to the season. Before the season began, many thought this team would be much improved compared to recent years, and they are starting to show that they indeed are. Last night's walk-off-win was just what this team needed to keep its momentum going in the right direction. Quintana is certainly hittable, so I think the Reds rollover that momentum into this one and get a few runs early. Castillo is the guy they want on the mound every game, and he will protect their lead in this one. The Reds win the game and take the series from the Cubs, showing that they are no longer the "easy" win that the NL has been getting from them for years.


Score:

Chicago 2 - Cincinnati 5


Best Picks: **Cincinnati ML-140, Cincinnati RL+155 and Under 8.5-105**

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds, MLB Premium Game 5/16/19

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-7

O/U: 219


Best Picks: **Portland+7 and Over 219**

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Game 2 Premium Picks

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals (8:15 PM)


ML: Texas-133/Kansas City+120

RL: Texas+115/Kansas City-135

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Mike Minor (3-3 2.68 ERA) vs Jorge Lopez (0-4 6.07 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Texas is 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against Kansas City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas' last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Texas.
- Kansas City are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Kansas City are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the American League West division.


Prediction:

Mike Minor has had a really solid season. Mix in his pitching with an offense as potent as the Rangers and you got a good recipe. The Royals are sending out Lopez who has had some rough outings this season. Minor will certainly outduel Lopez and the Rangers offense will thrive over a Royals offense that has some major struggles at times. 


Score:

Texas 6 - Kansas City 2


Best Picks: **Texas ML-133, Texas RL+115 and Under 9.5-117**

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals, MLB Premium Picks 5/15/19

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (7:10 PM)


ML: Houston-330/Detroit+300

RL: Houston-230/Detroit+192

O/U: O10-105/U10-115


Justin Verlander (6-1 2.51 ERA) vs Gregory Soto (0-1 15.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Houston is 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
- Houston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Detroit.
- Detroit is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.


Prediction:

The Astros started the season 2-5 and now have a record of 28-15. They are the hottest team in baseball right now and have outscored the Tigers 19-5 in the two previous games of the series. The Astros are now first in the league in runs, hits, hits allowed, batting average, OBP, SLG, OPS, WHIP, and BAA. Aside from stolen bases (17th), the Astros are top five in baseball in virtually every major category.

A Tigers’ offense that ranks second-to-last in runs per game is going to struggle against a hot Verlander. The Astros are currently the most dominant team in baseball and will have no trouble handling the Tigers today. I think the Under hits today due to the Tigers having trouble scoring more than one or two runs.


Score:

Houston 7 - Detroit 1


Best Picks: **Houston ML-330, Houston RL-230, and Under 10-115**

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers, MLB Free Pick Wednesday 5/15/19

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-6.5

O/U: 218


Best Picks: **Milwaukee-6.5 and Over 218**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 1 Pick

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM)


ML: San Diego+140/Los Angeles-155

RL: San Diego-160/Los Angeles+140

O/U: O7-110/U7-110


Chris Paddack (3-1 1.55 ERA) vs Clayton Kershaw (2-0 3.31 ERA)


Prediction:

Clayton Kershaw has been good this year, Chris Paddack has been great. 0.98 WHIP and 31 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings in very good, but those are Kershaw's numbers. Paddack's numbers, 0.69 WHIP and 46 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings are better. Yes, the Dodgers offense is way better than the Padres, but when Paddack is pitching, they only need a few runs to win. I think Paddack gets the better of Kershaw in this one and we see a sort of "passing of the baton" in the NL West for the top pitcher. Kershaw has been one of the best pitchers to ever play the game, but I think he will start to decline in the next year due to injuries and age, so this will be the rookie Paddack's first chance to take the leap to the top, and I think he will take that leap tonight. I know he is only a rookie, but I think he has a chance to be an elite pitcher in the near future.

Score:

San Diego 4 - Los Angeles 2


Best Picks: **San Diego ML+140 and San Diego RL-160**

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers, MLB Premium Pick 5/14/19

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-7.5

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: Portland+7.5 and Under 220.5

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Game 1, Premium NBA Pick

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 PM)


ML: Milwaukee-114/Philadelphia+104

RL: Milwaukee+148/Philadelphia-170

O/U: O8-115/U8-105


Brandon Woodruff (5-1 4.25 ERA) vs Jerad Eickhoff (2-1 1.50 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.


Prediction:

Both teams are 7-3 in their last ten games, but the Brewers have lost their last three and the Phillies have won their last three. In their last four wins, the Phillies are outscoring their opponents 29-1. Both teams have had bullpen issues in the past, so despite these two pitchers doing as well as they have been their last few starts, I think this game will see north of 8.5 runs. The Phillies offense is scoring even with Bryce Harper struggling, which is scary. I think the Phillies offense is in a better place right now than the Brewers, so they should get to Woodruff better than the Brewers get to Eickhoff, who I think is the better pitcher of the two. 


Score:

Milwaukee 3 - Phillies 6


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML+104 and Philadelphia RL-170

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies, Free MLB Pick of the Day 5/14/19

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (7:10 PM)


ML: Houston-148/Detroit+134

RL: Houston-135/Detroit+115

O/U: O8-119/U8-101


Brad Peacock (3-2 4.30 ERA) vs Matthew Boyd (4-2 2.86 ERA)


Prediction:

If you've never watched of Matthew Boyd, it's time that you start. Boyd is a great pitcher on a bad team. He's gone at least six innings in every start this season but one and has never allowed more than three earned runs in any of his appearances. His 0.93 WHIP is one of the best in baseball and he has 63 strikeouts and 11 walks in 50 1/3 innings. There is a reason a hot Houston team is only a -148 favorite, and its Boyd. He will have a tough test tonight but if he can shut down the red hot Astros right now (who are good against lefties), he will get himself into some early season Cy Young talks. I'm trusting the man to do his thing tonight, put your money on Detroit, let's just hope his offense can get him a couple runs, but Peacock should give them plenty of opportunities to do so.


Score:

Houston 1 - Detroit 3


Best Bets: **Detroit ML+134, Detroit RL+115 and Under 8-101**

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers, MLB Free Pick Monday 5/13/19

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM)


ML: Los Angeles+131/Minnesota-145

RL: Los Angeles-125/Minnesota+130

O/U: O9+100/U9-120


Tyler Skaggs (3-3 4.70 ERA) vs Jose Berrios (6-1 2.53 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Minnesota is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home.
- Minnesota is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.


Prediction:

Berrios has been the best pitcher for the Twins so far this year with his 0.92 WHIP and 51 strikeouts to his eight walks. The Angels were on a bit of a three-game high scoring streak before their loss yesterday to the Orioles where they only scored one run. Berrios should be able to keep the Angels at bay today as well. The Twins are a great hitting team and Skaggs is a vulnerable pitcher, so they should be able to take this game with moderate ease.


Score: Los Angeles 2 - Minnesota 6


Best Bets: **Minnesota ML-145 and Minnesota RL+130**

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins MLB Premium Picks Monday 5/12/19

The PGA Championship will embark on one of the country’s top golf courses, Bethpage Black, in a new slot in May. Early indications are the course will play long and soft as cool and wet conditions are invading Long Island the next couple weeks. Those conditions will play into the hands of some of the longer hitters as Bethpage is playing as a par-70 at over 7,400 yards. Three par-4s are playing over 500 yards, including the monster par-4 7th which maxes out at 524. This is likely to play more like an old school U.S. Open than a PGA Championship. If you’re not a big hitter, you may struggle to stay in contention, particularly if the forecast plays out and it’s wet.

Looking at the [PGA Championship odds](/go/mybookie-golf-odds), there’s some good value out there on some of the guys and I do think this will be a major where the big names will hover on the front page of the leaderboard much like The Masters. Here’s the guys I will be playing at this year’s Masters and feel there’s good reason to take them:

[Live Page Championship Odds (MyBookie)](/go/mybookie-golf-odds)

### Rory McIlroy 10-1

Okay, so yes, I was off on Rory at The Masters, and I was far from being the only one. I think 99% of golf fans were stunned he didn’t contend. We’re going to chalk that one up as simply a dud performance where perhaps he put too much pressure on himself. Rory still comes in playing the best golf of anyone this year, finishing in the top-8 in 7 of his last 8 stroke play events. He also has won the PGA Championship twice since 2012 and finished T-10 at Bethpage in the 2009 U.S. Open when he was only 20 years old. But what makes me like Rory most is the conditions Bethpage is likely to have in place. A course this is longer and softer plays into Rory’s hands probably more so than any other player in the field. This is already a long golf course, and when a long golf course plays soft, it eliminates around 75% of the field. It gives a big advantage to long hitters and strong ball-strikers which is Rory’s strong suit. I’ll take the 10-1 odds which are better than the 7-1 odds he had at Augusta. 

### Brooks Koepka 12-1

It’s a major championship, which means Koepka has his game face on. He’s the defending champion and is playing on a course that will suit his game. Not to mention, Koepka has been a major champion machine. Take away last year’s Open Championship where Koepka finished T-39, and Koepka has gone 1st, T-6, T-13, 1st, 1st and T-2 in major championships since the 2017 U.S. Open. That is a spectacular run the last couple years in major play. I am fully on board with playing him at the PGA where long and good ball strikers like Brooks will be rewarded. The value is okay. I probably would hedge under 10-1, but at 12-1, I’ll play it.

### Xander Schauffele 25-1

Schauffele has become a big event machine over the past year, and in my eyes, the best player never to win a major championship (sorry Rickie, Bryson and Rahm). The PGA is a major where those best players never to win a major tend to come through. Seven of the last 10 champions were first timers. Schauffele is already a winner on Tour this year and has been a big major championship contender over the last two years. In his last 7 major championships, Schauffele has two runners-up and two top-6 finishes. In two of his last three majors he has two runners-up, The 2018 Open and this year’s Masters. He’s knocking on the door. He’s big enough a hitter to play with the big boys and he’s no doubt got the game to win.


### Adam Scott 50-1

Talk about value. This is value times 10. I’m not saying Adam Scott the favorite or anything, but at 50-1, he is the best value on the board. I’ll take those odds all day and every day. Scott contended just a few weeks ago at The Masters, going into Sunday with a chance to win but faded on the back nine to finish T-18. He finished third a year ago at the PGA Championship and was right in the heart of the duel between champion Brooks Koepka and Tiger Woods. He doesn’t come in to the PGA in bad form. He’s had 3 top-12s in his last 5 events. While ranked 27th in the world, Adam fares much better in the top events as evidenced by his contention at the PGA, Players and Masters the last several months. He also contended at The Barclays in 2016 when it was played at Bethpage, finishing T-4.I’ll take this value and pound it.

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### Thoughts on some other guys:

**Tiger Woods 6-1**: I didn’t hate Tiger at The Masters, I just didn’t like the value. Same goes here. I think Tiger can be there on Sunday, I just find 6-1 way too low. Golf is so hard to pick that when you see guys’ odds at 10-1 or lower, you tend to stay away unless they are putting up top-5s every event (like Rory has been doing). Tiger hasn’t played since The Masters and Bethpage is a tough and demanding test. That being said, he won the U.S. Open here in 2002 and finished To-6 at the 2009 U.S. Open. So yes, I think he can contend. Win? It’s hard to win two majors in a row. Then again, this is Tiger.
Dustin Johnson 9-1: Like Tiger, the odds are just too low for me to take a chance. If you want to go with just favorites, DJ’s a good choice. It’s a course well-suited for his game and I do think he will contend. However, I didn’t like the back 9 at Hilton Head and he hasn’t played since. I like him at the PGA, but I don’t love him, and to be under 10-1, you need to be on that “love” list for me to play you, like Rory.

**Patrick Reed 33-1**: Reed has struggled this year, but signs seem to point he may be turning the corner. He was in contention on the weekend at Wells Fargo last weekend before fading on Sunday. He also won at Bethpage at the 2016 Barclays. At 33-1, it’s good value and worth it if you’re looking for longshot picks. He’s actually one of the guys I’m taking in my fantasy survival pool.

*Other good value plays*: Justin Rose 16-1, Rickie Fowler 20-1, Patrick Cantlay 50-1, Webb Simpson 80-1



2019 PGA Championship Picks and Longshots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (3:30 PM)


Spread: Denver-5.5

O/U: 213.5 


Best Bets: **Denver-5.5 and Over 213.5**




Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors (7:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-6.5

O/U: 209.5


Best Picks: **Toronto-6.5 and Under 209.5**

NBA Premium Game 7 Picks 5/12/19

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+145/St. Louis-161

RL: Pittsburgh-145/St. Louis+125

O/U: O9+100/U9-120


Steven Brault (0-1 7.11 ERA) vs Dakota Hudson (2-3 4.63 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against St. Louis.
- St. Louis is 13-9 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

Neither pitcher is starting their season off well, but at least Hudson has 35 innings under his belt compared to Brault's 12 2/3. Both pitchers have had some trouble with walks as well. When you have a game like this with two pitchers like Brault and Hudson the over should be all but a guarantee. However, the Cardinals offense is superior to the Pirates, and at home, so they should be able to get the bulk of the runs in this one. The Cardinals should get to the Pirates bullpen early in this one, giving them another advantage.


Score:

Pittsburgh 4 - St. Louis 8


Best Bets: St. Louis ML-161, St. Louis RL+125 and Over 9-120

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Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM)


ML: Atlanta-131/Arizona+118

RL: Atlanta+125/Arizona-145

O/U: O9.5-110/U9.5-110


Max Fried (4-2 2.97 ERA) vs Zack Godley (1-2 7.49 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Arizona is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games against Atlanta.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games at home.
- Arizona is 8-9 SU at homes this season.


Prediction:

Godley hasn’t made a start since April 27th and his first one back probably won’t go very well. The Braves are 11th in the league in walks and with Godley’s command issues, they should be able to draw at least three off of him and run his pitch count up, forcing him from this game early. Fried’s making his next scheduled start after taking that hit off of his hand, so it appears everything is fine there. After getting roughed up by the Dodgers, Fried should be able to get back on track and have another quality outing against the Diamondbacks. The Braves should pick up the win in a somewhat low scoring game that covers the 
UNDER.


Score:

Atlanta 5 - Arizona 2


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-131, Atlanta RL+125 and Under 9.5-110

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks, MLB Freebie of the Day 5/12/19

Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM)


ML: Chicago+140/Toronto-155

RL: Chicago-150/Toronto+130

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Ivan Nova (1-3 7.04 ERA) vs Marcus Stroman (1-5 2.96 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chicago is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- Chicago is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.
- Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against Chicago.


Prediction:

Stroman has been the better pitcher of the two so far this season and I think he ends up being the better one in this game as well. Neither offense is going to explode in this one, but Toronto should be able to find a way to get a multi-run win against a pitcher who has one of the highest ERA’s among qualified starters. Toronto gets a few off of Nova early and adds a couple later as the White Sox struggle to get more than a couple of runs throughout the game against a top ten Toronto pitching staff. 


Score:

Chicago 2 - Toronto 5


Best Picks: Toronto ML-155, Toronto RL+130 and Under 8.5-110

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Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros (8:10 PM)


ML: Texas+268/Houston-305

RL: Texas+130/Houston-150

O/U: O8.5-115/U8.5-105


Jesse Chavez (0-1 7.27 ERA) vs Gerrit Cole (3-4 4.17 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas' last 18 games.
- Texas is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games.
- Texas is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 6 games played in May.
- Houston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- Houston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League West division.

Prediction:

The Rangers are going with the "opener" strategy in this one, Chavez will only pitch one inning before giving way to Drew Smyly. Either way, the Rangers odds don't look any better with Smyly pitching, 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA. Jose Altuve is day-to-day but hasn't been doing well as of late anyway, batting 1.62 over his last 20 games. The Astros' bats should light up Smyly and may even get a run or two off of Chavez in the first. Houston should be able to run away with this one and the Rangers will manage a few runs to help push the game OVER.


Score:

Texas 3 - Houston 8


Best Bets: Houston ML-305, Houston RL-150 and Over 8.5-110

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City (8:15 PM)


ML: Philadelphia-153/Kansas City+138

RL: Philadelphia+110/Kansas City-130

O/U: O9-113/U9-107


Jake Arrieta (4-2 3.40 ERA) vs Homer Baily (3-3 5.25 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Kansas City is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against Philadelphia.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas City’s last 18 home games.


Prediction:
 
Going up against an offense like the Phillies, Bailey should be in for a rough day. Look for the Phillies to hit a couple of home runs off of him today. Arrieta should be able to have one of his best outings of the season against a Royals offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs per game. Bailey should give up plenty of runs to help this game reach the OVER. Philadelphia should be able to get a big enough lead early that their bullpen should have no problem holding, even with allowing a couple of late-inning runs.

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Score:

Philadelphia 8 - Kansas City 3


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML-153. Philadelphia RL+110 and Over 9-113

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets (7:10 PM)


ML: Miami+166/New York-180

RL: Miami-150/New York+130

O/U: O7-125/U7+105


Pablo Lopez (2-4 4.03 ERA) vs Zach Wheeler (2-2 4.64 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Miami is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Miami is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against NY Mets.
- Miami is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games against Miami.
- NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.


Prediction:

The Mets needed this series badly. After a rough stretch recently the Mets have a chance to get back on course and build momentum against the Marlins. If New York can't take at least 2-out-of-3 in this series (although they should take all three), then trouble in New York is worse than thought. Wheeler has had some really good games this season and this is the type of start that he knows he has to come out and perform. This will be a confidence-boosting game for him and the Mets offense. 


Score:

Miami 3 - New York 6


Best Bets: **New York ML-180, New York RL+130 and Over 7-125**

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets, Premium MLB Picks 5/10/19

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (9:00 PM)


Spread: Houston-7.5

O/U: 214.5


Best Picks: **Houston-7.5 and Under 214.5**

Friday's NBA Premium Picks 5/10/19

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers


Spread: Toronto-2

O/U: 213


Best Picks: **Philadelphia+2 and Over 213**


Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers


Spread: Portland-4

O/U: 215.5


Best Picks: **Portland -4 and Over 215.5**

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+125/St. Louis-138

RL: Pittsburgh-165/St. Louis+130

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Joe Musgrove (1-3 2.63 ERA) vs Michael Wacha (2-0 5.17 ERA)


Key Trends:


- Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against St. Louis.
- Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
- Pittsburgh is 0-8 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.
- St. Louis is 13-4 SU in their last 17 games at home.


Prediction:

The Cardinals were the hottest team in baseball until about a week ago. They have lost six of their last seven but it has been mostly been against the two hottest teams currently in the NL the Cubs and Phillies. The Pirates offense is nowhere near as good as the lineup the Cardinals put out. Wacha is better than his numbers and should be able to pitch closer to his expectations to this one. Musgrove isn't bad himself but has started to regress after his great start to the season. The Cardinals have a great bullpen that can hold onto an early lead.

Score:

Pittsburgh 2 - St. Louis 6


Best Picks: St. Louis ML-138 and St. Louis RL+130

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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians (1:10 PM)


ML: Chicago+192/Cleveland-215

RL: Chicago-125/Cleveland-110

O/U: O9-105/U9-115


Manny Banuelos (2-1 5.96 ERA) vs Carlos Carrasco (2-3 5.60 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- Chi White Sox are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against Cleveland.
- Chi White Sox are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League Central division.


Prediction:

Carrasco is a lot better of a pitcher than he has shown so far this season. Chicago has been out playing Cleveland so far for most of this series, but the Indians won the third game after dropping the first two. The Indians bats aren't very good, but they should be able to pick up about 5 runs against Banuelos and the bullpen tonight. Carrasco will only give up 1-2 runs this game and pitch 6+ and get the win.

Score:

Chicago 2 - Cleveland 5


Best Bets: Cleveland ML-215, Cleveland RL-110 and Under 9-115

Free MLB Picks Thursday 5/9/19

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM)


ML: Arizona+141/Tampa Bay-157

RL: Arizona-152/ Tampa Bay +124

O/U: O7-110/U7-110


Robbie Ray (2-1 3.79 ERA) vs Charlie Morton (3-0 2.52 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
- Arizona is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the American League East division.
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.


Prediction:

After losing 3-0 to the Baltimore Orioles, the Rays will be looking for a sweep today of the Diamondbacks, and I think they get it. Charlie Morton is pitching well and should be able to keep doing so after this one. Robbie Ray isn't having a bad year either, but I think he gets into trouble early with walks in this one and the Rays hitting will take advantage. Once Ray is gone, the Rays will pull away. Morton goes 7+ in this one and gets the win.
 
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Score:

Arizona 2 - Tampa Bay 5


Best Bets: Tampa Bay ML-157 and Tampa Bay RL+124

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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees (6:35 PM)


ML: Seattle+122/New York-135

RL: Seattle-160/New York+120

O/U: O9-115/U9-105


Yusei Kikuchi (1-1 3.98 ERA) vs Jonathan Loaisiga (1-0 2.70 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Seattle is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games.
- Seattle is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against NY Yankees.
- Seattle is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
- Seattle is 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
- NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.


Prediction:

The Yankees have been on a tear recently, winning 15 of their last 20 games. Yet half of their team is still on the IL. This team is going to be scary once back at full health. Seattle is on the decline and with the way the Yankees are playing, this should be another easy win for the Yankees. Two decent pitchers in this one, but the Yankees offense is more dangerous right now than Seattle. Loaisiga should be able to outlast Kikuchi in this one and help the Yankee's put up yet another win. 


Score:

Seattle 3 - New York 6


Best Picks: New York ML-135 and New York RL+120

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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks


Spread: Milwaukee -9

O/U: 218


Best Bets: Bucks-9 and Over 218


Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors


Spread: Golden State-6

O/U: 219.5


Best Bets: Golden State-6 and Over 219.5

Wednesday's Premium NBA Picks 5/8/19

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM)


ML: Texas+123/Pittsburgh-136

RL: Texas-180/Pittsburgh+155

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Adrian Sampson (0-1 3.58 ERA) vs Steven Brault (0-1 8.31 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas' last 11 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 6 games on the road.
- Texas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games against Texas.
- Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home.


Prediction:

Two pitchers who started the season in the bullpen are starting in this one. This is Brault's first start and Sampson's fourth. Sampson has shown the better stuff of the two and the better results as well. The Pirates offense is a shadow of Texas' at best. The Rangers should be able to score early and often in this one. Sampson may not have a Cy Young type performance today, but as long as he doesn't completely implode in this one the Rangers should pick up an easy "upset", along with scoring enough to hit the OVER.

Score:

Texas 7 - Pittsburgh 3


Best Picks: Texas ML+123, Texas RL-180 and Over 8.5-110

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Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors (8:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-6

O/U:212


Best Bets: Toronto-6 and Under 212



Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (10:30 PM)


Spread: Denver-4.5

O/U: 213.5


Best Bet: Denver-4.5 and Over 213.5

NBA Premium Playoff Picks Tuesday 5/7/19

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM)


ML: Minnesota-155/Toronto-140

RL: Minnesota-105/Toronto-115

O/U: O9-104/U9-116


Jose Berrios (5-1 2.91 ERA) vs Aaron Sanchez (3-2 3.09 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Minnesota is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 12 road games.
- Toronto is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Toronto is 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games against Minnesota


Prediction:

Berrios is pitching against the 25th ranked offense in the Blue Jays and he should be able to put together another strong outing today. If he goes six or seven innings and only allows two runs, which seems to be the norm for him, the Twins should have no problem getting the win against a pitcher like Sanchez who throws a lot of pitches and may be out of this one early. The Twins produce the fifth most runs in baseball and should score more than their average of 5.3 runs in this one. Look for Minnesota to take advantage of walks from Sanchez and turn them into runs.

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Score: 

Minnesota 6 - Toronto 3


Best Bets: Minnesota ML-155 and Minnesota RL-105

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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians (6:10 PM)


ML: Chicago+222/Cleveland-250

RL: Chicago+105/Cleveland-125

O/U: O9-105/U9-115


Ivan Nova (0-3 8.33 ERA) vs Trevor Bauer (4-1 2.45 ERA)


Key Trends:


- Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- Chi White Sox are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games against Cleveland.
- Chi White Sox are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
- Cleveland is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.


Prediction:

Trevor Bauer has been one of the best pitchers in the A.L. this year and could find himself in the CY Young talk by the end of the year. The Cleveland offense is terrible, but Bauer gives even the worst offense a chance to win any game he starts. The White Sox pitching is as bad as the Indians offense (both second-to-last in the Majors). If Cleveland is going to break out of their offense slump, this would be the team to do it against.


Score:

Chicago 2 - Cleveland 6


Best Picks: Cleveland ML-250 and Cleveland RL+105


Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians, MLB Premium Picks 5/6/19

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM)


ML: Washington-106/Milwaukee-104

RL: Washington+151/Milwaukee-175

O/U: O8-105/U8-115


Max Scherzer (1-4 4.08 ERA) vs Jhoulys Chacin (3-3 5.24 ERA)


Prediction:

Scherzer is off to a rough start this season. His one win and four losses mixed with an inflamed ERA looks worse than it is though. Despite those poor stats, Scherzer has actually been better than you would think. By FIP, Scherzer leads the National League. He has a strikeout rate of 32.8% and a walk rate of only 3.7%, the best ratio in baseball. I expect Scherzer to continue to pitch well, except this time he gets the win and cuts down his ERA. The Nationals should be able to get some runs on this Brewers pitching staff (except against Josh Hader).

Score:

Washington 6 - Milwaukee 2


Best Picks: Washington ML-106 and Washington RL+151

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers, MLB Premium Picks 5/6/19

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (7:00 PM)


Spread: Boston-1.5

O/U: 221


Best Bets: Boston-1.5 and Under 221




Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (9:30 PM)


Spread: Houston-1.5

O/U: 221


Best Bet: Golden State+1.5

NBA Premium Picks Monday 5/6/19

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: New York-117/San Diego+107

RL: New York+148/San Diego-170

O/U: O6.5-115/U6.5-105


Jacob deGrom (2-3 3.82 ERA) vs Chris Paddack (2-1 1.91 ERA).


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Mets’ last 6 games.
- The Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 road games.
- The Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego’s last 19 home games.
- San Diego is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games as an underdog.


Prediction:

The Mets have only scored 7 runs in the last five games and have been just as bad in the field (five errors) as at the plate in that span. The Mets are in a bad spot right now in a number of areas and the offense has crashed back to earth, hard, after a hot start to the season. deGrom is still one of the best pitchers in baseball and I think he will have a good game today, as will Paddack. However, once deGrom is out, the Mets bullpen will come in and start giving up runs. deGrom has never gotten much run support in his career and that unfortunate trend will probably continue today. The Padres pick up a low scoring win with some late-game runs, courtesy of the New York bullpen.

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Score:

New York 1 - San Diego 4


Best Bets: San Diego ML+107, San Diego-170 and Under 6.5-105

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres, Monday's Can't Miss MLB Freebie

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers (3:30 PM)

Spread: Philadelphia-2

O/U: 214.5

Best Pick: Toronto+2


Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers (7:00 PM)

Spread: Portland-3

O/U:210

Best Picks: Denver+3 and Under 210

NBA Premium Playoff Picks Sunday 5/5/19

Houston Astros vs LA Angels (4:10 PM)


ML: Houston-217/Los Angeles+194

RL: Houston+105/Los Angeles-115

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Justin Verlander (4-1 2.45 ERA) vs Matt Harvey (1-2 6.54 ERA).


Key Trends:

- Houston is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against Los Angeles.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 road games.
- Houston is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road against Los Angeles.
- Houston is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against the American League West Division.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles’ last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles’ last 6 games against Houston.


Prediction: 

Verlander has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this season and has a WHIP of 0.86 (T2nd in the MLB) to go along with his 53 strikeouts in 44 innings. Verlander has gone at least six innings in every start this year but one, and Harvey has only managed to pitch more than six innings once this season. Verlander should be able to carve up an Angels lineup that ranks 22nd in hits per game. Look for Harvey to be bounced from this game before the end of the 6th inning, while Verlander flirts with the possibility of pitching into the eighth. After letting Verlander down in his last start, the Astros will be looking to pile on the run support in this one.

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Score:

Houston 9 - Los Angeles 2


Best Picks: Houston ML-217, Houston RL+105 and Over 9.5-103

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San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds (4:10 PM)


ML: San Francisco+148/Cincinnati-164

RL: San Francisco-150/Cincinnati+135

O/U: O8-110/U8-110


Jeff Samardzija (2-1 2.53 ERA) vs Luis Castillo (3-1 1.45 ERA)


Key Trends:

- San Francisco is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Cincinnati.
- San Francisco is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games against an opponent in the National League conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 19 games.
- Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.


Prediction:

Luis Castillo is one of the best pitchers in the league and will be the ace in Cincinnati for the foreseeable future. He mixes his pitches well and really knows how to locate the corners of the strike zone. Samardzija is having a great season as well, so this should certainly be a low-scoring game that makes the UNDER somewhat of a breeze. The Reds are a better team than most people think and should be able to put up a few runs on Samardzija and company. Castillo and the Reds bullpen should be able to keep the 29th ranked Giants offense to two runs or fewer.


Score:

San Francisco 1 - Cincinnati 5


Best Picks: Cincinnati ML-164, Cincinnati RL+135, Under 8-110

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds, MLB Premium Picks For Sunday 5/5/19 (I'm Betting These Ones HEAVY!)

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (6:10 PM)

ML: Atlanta-166/Miami+149

RL: Atlanta-110/Miami-110

O/U: O7.5-105/U7.5-115


Mike Soroka (2-1 1.62 ERA) vs Trevor Richards (0-4 4.64 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Atlanta is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Miami.
- Miami is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
- Miami is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Prediction:

Soroka might even lower his 1.62 ERA after this game. The heated battle between the Braves and Marlins continued over from last season into this series, with the Braves starter getting thrown out yesterday after throwing behind Urena of the Marlins. Look for the Braves to keep their foot on the gas this series and keep sticking it to Miami. They won't be overlooking the Marlins at all this season and will be out for blood each game.


Score:

Atlanta 6 - Miami 1


Best Picks: Atlanta ML-166 and Atlanta RL-110


Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins, MLB Premium Pick Saturday 5/4/19

Oakland A's vs Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM)


ML: Oakland+100/Pittsburgh-110

RL: Oakland-215/Pittsburgh+180

O/U: O7.5-115/U7.5-105


Chris Bassitt (1-0 0.75 ERA) vs Trevor Williams (3.38 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Oakland is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games.
- Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Prediction:

Both teams are on rough streaks right now, but the A's obliterated the Pirates last night 14-1. I don't see them winning by that much again today, but I do see them winning again. The Pirates bullpen won't be at full force today and the A's should be able to add some more late-game runs in this one. Bassitt is off to a great start this season in his two starts, including a five-inning two-hit shutout against baseball's number one offense, Texas Rangers. He should be able to continue his good pitching against a weak Pirates offense.


Score:

Oakland 5 - Pittsburgh 2


Best Picks: Oakland ML+100 and Oakland RL-110

Oakland A's vs Pittsburgh Pirates, MLB Premium Pick Saturday 5/4/19

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (8:30 PM)

Spread: Houston-3

O/U: 220.5

Best Picks: Golden State+3 and Over 220.5

Saturday Premium NBA Playoff Picks

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Indians (4:10 PM)


ML: Seattle+177/Cleveland-198

RL: Seattle-127/Cleveland+107

O/U: O8.5-105/U8.5-115


Mike Leake (2-3 4.98 ERA) vs Carlos Carrasco (2-3 5.86 ERA).


Key Notes:

- Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.
- Seattle is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games.
- Seattle is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.
- Cleveland is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against the American League.
- Cleveland is 14-8 against RHP this season.


Prediction:

Despite his low walk count, Leake has a WHIP of 1.51, (45 hits in 34 ⅓ innings), so the opportunity will be there for the Indians to get some hits. Carrasco has started to turn his season around, and if he had been pulled after six innings in his last start he would still have his 17 innings scoreless streak and we would be talking about him as one of baseball’s hottest pitchers at the moment. I think he continues to pitch well, and going up against a Mariners offense that can’t seem to find many runs. The Indians should take this one with ease. I'm hitting this one hard!

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Score: Seattle 1 - Cleveland 5


Best Picks: Cleveland ML-198 and Cleveland RL+107

Saturday's Free MLB Pick (BIG MONEY BET)!

Do you know why horse bettors love the Kentucky Derby? Simple. Large payout potential.

The first leg of the Triple Crown always draws a large field. This field of top 3 year old presents the best 15-20 horses about to reach their prime. The Kentucky Derby 1 1/4 mile track presents the longest race many of these horse have faced in their career. Throw in enormous stakes. What do you get...?

Unpredictable results.

When results are unpredictable bettors get one thing - large payouts! Beautiful formula. I'm sold.

And as always, a good craftsman needs the proper tools. Here are the tools need to succesfully handicap the 2019 Derby:

- **[Live Kentucky Odds](/go/mybookie-horse-odds)**
- [2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performances](/blog/oCRm0cz/2019-kentucky-derby-past-performances-download-)
- [Derby Track Bias, Why it Matters?](/blog/Cpb0B78/kentucky-derby-2019--what-is-track-bias-and-why-it-matters-)

Now that we have established the large payout potential, lets look at some of the must play long shots in the 2019 Kentucky Derby:

**Maximum Security** - currently listed at 8-1, Maximum Security is my favorite play at this year's Derby. Coming off 4 straight wins, last going away at the Florida Derby, this horse knows how to run from the front and close out a race. From the 8 post and rated as a "speed" horse, Maximum Security is in great position to finishing in the money. 8 to 1 aren't the biggest odds in the world, but he has a great shot to win the race and pay you 8x your money! 

**By My Standards** - [winner of the Louisiana Derby](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLuwQzD5erE), By My Standards is in nice position for a large payout. Currently at 16 to 1, this 3 year old might surprise the Derby field. By My Standards has shown outstanding workout times and the ability to close and win races. Nice horse to add to your trifecta's this year.

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**Vekoma** - currently at 18 to 1, Vekoma can win this race. Runstyle of "speed" performances historically well at Churchill Downs. 2nd Highest average speed the last 3 races. Look for Vekoma to jump out to lead the pack. Highest prime power. Nice ticket at 18 to 1!

These are the best longshots I have found for this years Derby. And remmeber...don't be bashful with playing longshots at the 2019 Kentucky Derby. The "Running for the Roses" as been know to payout longshots in a big way. Good luck!

2019 Kentucky Derby Long Shots to Play

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Los Angeles-155/San Diego+140  
RL: Los Angeles+123/San Diego-130  
O/U: O7-118/U7-102  

Clayton Kershaw (1-0 2.25 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (2-3 4.41 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against San Diego.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 home games.
- San Diego is 5-10 ATS at home this season. 


Prediction:

Kershaw has only been back for a few weeks, but it seems like he hasn’t missed a step. Lauer has walked five batters in his last 10 innings and the Dodgers draw the third most walks in baseball. Between Lauer’s command issues and the Dodgers high powered offense, Los Angeles should have no trouble scoring in this game. As good as Kershaw is, even an average outing today should easily get the win for the Dodgers. Los Angeles should be able to hit close to the Over on their own in this one.

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Score:

Los Angeles 7 - San Diego 2


Best Picks: **Los Angeles ML-155, Los Angeles RL+123 and Over 7-118**

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres, Friday's MLB Free Pick 5/3/19

### Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM)


ML: Tampa Bay-235/Baltimore+209  
RL: Tampa Bay-148/Baltimore+128  
O/U: O9.5-105/U9.5-115  


Tyler Glasnow (5-0 1.75 ERA) vs Dan Straily (1-1 6.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
- Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Baltimore.
- Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
- Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.


Prediction:

The potential Cy Young Winner (my spring training AL pick) Tyler Glasnow is doing as well as I expected so far this season. While you can never sleep on any team on any given night in baseball, Glasnow knows that and should come out and pitch like it is a playoff game. Glasnow should make it six or more innings no problem and keep the Orioles to two runs at the most, although probably less. Dan Straily wasn't even good enough to make the Miami Marlins team this season and probably won't even see the fifth inning in this one. Rays take this one with ease, O/U scares me with the possibility of a Glasnow shutout. 


Score: 

Tampa Bay 8 - Baltimore 2


Best Picks: **Tampa Bay ML-235 and Tampa Bay RL-148**



Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles, Friday's Premium MLB Picks 5/3/19

### Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 PM)


ML: Washington+153/Philadelphia-170  
RL: Washington-135/Philadelphia+115  
O/U: O9-115/U9-105  


Jeremy Hellickson (2-0 5.82 ERA) vs Jerad Eickhoff (1-1 2.12 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Washington is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- Washington is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
- Washington is 11-12 vs RHP this season, Philadelphia is 14-9


Prediction:

The Nationals continue to have their struggles in this one and the Phillies offense has a good game against Hellickson and the Nationals bullpen. Eickhoff has pitched well this season and should be able to keep it going against a Nationals team that has seen better days.


Score: 

Washington 3 - Philadelphia 6


Best Picks: **Philadelphia ML-170 and Philadelphia RL+115**

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies, Premium MLB Pick (5/3/19)

Ah, the elusive "Track Bias Stats". There is sits on virtually every racing and past performance sheet. Do you use it?

If you have never dared tried to demystify the track bias stats, here is a quick overview. We will talk about why its important and some key horses it identifies in the 2019 Kentucky Derby.

(Go here for the [2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performances PDF Download](//blog/oCRm0cz/2019-kentucky-derby-past-performances-download-))

### Track Bias, what does it mean?

Great question. Glad I asked it. When we talk about "track bias" we are referring to which styles (or post positions) do well at a particular track. The majority of past performance sheets have this information. 

For the 2019 Derby, the track bias stats has a very small sample size. Only 3 races are sampled. But why don't we look at some past track bias stats? Good idea. Lets do that.

The 2017 Derby track bias gives us excellent stats to analyze. As you can see below, 111 Churchill Downs races are provided. Here are the results:

<div class="my-4">
<img src="https://i.imgur.com/5Qpk7Zx.png" class="ui image large" />
</div>


Wow, great info here. So what are we looking at?

Very simply, the image above shows us the style and post positions that have won races (on dirt) at Churchill Downs.

Example: In the 111 races sampled above, 29% of the races have been one by horses graded as runstyle of "Speed" (or E/P).

Another interesting stat: Of the 111 races sampled, 22% have gone wire to wire. That means the early leader held on to win the race. Interesting. Note taken.

Nothing to sneeze at here. Often disregarded, but this is the type of information that will help us nail our 2019 Derby wagers!

### Which horses to bet using track bias?

Alright. Now that we have established the importance of track bias stats, lets look at how this applies to the 2019 field of ponies.

Taking into consideration "speed" and "early" styles have done well, plus rail and inside post positions...who are the horses that fit this profile? Here are some...

**[Live 2019 Kentucky Derby Odds](https://record.webpartners.co/_HPQ8ZJQbWP4rJaFjCs_SG2Nd7ZgqdRLk/1/)**

**Maximum Security** looks to be the highest graded "speed" horse in the field. Winner of the Florida Derby. (Note: Winner of FLA Derby usually performs well at Derby) Currently sitting at 8 to 1 and at running from 7 post...Maximum Security looks like a nice play.

**Tax** is the next highest ranked "speed" (E/P) horse in this years field. Its running from a difficult 14 post. But sportsbooks currently have this horse at 20 to 1. Hmmm...not a bad long shot play.

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**Tacitus** starts on the rail, but grades as a "Late" (P) runstyle. Can it jump out and possible be in good position to make a run? Its very possible. Not sure if I love the 6 to 1 odds. Tacitus might get cut off early and have trouble making up ground.

**Vekoma** - long shot alert here. Currently at 18-1 Vekoma is rated as the 4th best "speed" horse. Last time out won the Bluegrass G2 going away. Running from the 3 post, look for Vekoma to be there at the wire.

### Summary

As we learned, the track bias matters. Be sure to use this important tool when handicapping the 2019 Kentucky Derby. Find the styles that have success. If looking to bet the race straight or build the ultimate super-fecta, the Track Bias stats is a key tool in winning!

Kentucky Derby 2019, What is Track Bias and Why it Matters?

#### Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (8:00 PM)

Spread: Boston-2

O/U: 220

Best Picks: **Boston-2 and Under**



#### Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers (10:30 PM)

Spread: Portland-4

O/U: 215.5

Best Picks: **Denver +4 and Over 215.5**

NBA Premium Picks Friday 5/3/19

Spring time. The flowers are in bloom. The weather warms. And bettors welcome the most anticipated horse racing event of the season - the Kentucky Derby!

Why do pony bettors rejoice with the coming of the derby? Great question...simple answer. The Derby brings a large field of high potential 3 year old thoroughbreds. With this large field, anything becomes possible. Long odds entice bettors to play long-shots, which hit frequently!

When handicapping the derby we always start with the Kentucky Derby Past Performances (PPS). This 3-4 page PDF tells us all the information we need to make educated best bets on the Derby.

To download the 2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performance PDF - click the link below:

**[2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performance PDF Download](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/firebase-owr.appspot.com/o/pdfs%2F2019-Kentucky-Derby-Past-performances.pdf?alt=media&token=cae4246e-8c79-422f-8f53-1784756f0bce)**

The above doc has all the info you need to successfully handicap the 2019 Derby.

Stay tuned to Wager&Review for more 2019 Derby handicapping. Tomorrow, we will release our Long shots and best bets to win you some money!

If you have any questions, never hesitate to [contact us](/contactUs).

Good luck!

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