The Chicago Bears (5-1) will take on the Los Angeles Rams (4-2) this week on Monday Night Football. The Bears enter this contest on a two-game winning streak after taking down the Carolina Panthers (23-16). The Rams saw their two-game winning streak end last week with a loss on the road against the San Francisco 49ers (24-16).

## Chicago Bears Season Recap

Chicago has been a bit of a surprise this year as they have started their season 5-1. They opened their season with a 27-23 victory over the Detroit Lions thanks to a 21-0 fourth quarter. In Week 2, Chicago took on the New York Giants and managed to win a low-scoring game by a score of 17-13. Then, the Bears managed to win their highest-scoring game of the season in Week 3 against the Atlanta Falcons 30-26.

Nick Foles took over for Mitchell Trubisky in the middle of that Week 3 game against the Falcons. Foles helped lead the Bears offense to a comeback in that game when they were trailing 26-10 in the fourth. Since taking over for Trubisky, the Bears&#39; offense really hasn&#39;t been any better or worse as they still struggle to score most weeks.

After their 3-0 start, the Bears ran into the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4 and suffered their first loss of the season. Chicago only managed to score 11 points, with eight of them coming on a garbage touchdown in the final two minutes of the game. Chicago lost that game 19-11. Chicago rebounded with two big wins against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20-19) and the Carolina Panthers (23-16) the following two weeks thanks to Foles playing just good enough to get his team the win.

### Bears Strengths and Weaknesses

The Bears have a pretty obvious strength in their defense and an even more obvious weakness in their defense. Think of Chicago as being the opposite of the Seattle Seahawks. They can&#39;t rely on their offense to win against high-scoring opponents but their defense gives them a chance to win every week.

**Strengths:**

- 7th Total Defense (352.2 YPG)
- 7th Points Allowed (19.3 PPG)
- 3rd-Down Defense (31.8%)
- Pass Rush
- Secondary

**Weaknesses:**

- 29th Total Offense (329.7 YPG)
- 24th Passing Offense (222.8 YPG)
- 29th Rush Offense (90.0 YPG)
- 27th Points Scored (21.3 PPG)
- 27th 3rd-Down (36.3%)
- Nick Foles Too Inconsistent

## Los Angeles Rams Season Recap

After finishing 9-7 last year, the Rams opened their season with two wins against the NFC East. They took down the Dallas Cowboys 20-17 in Week 1 and then the Philadelphia Eagles 37-19 in Week 2. While holding the Eagles to 19 points may not be the most impressive thing in the world, holding what would become the league&#39;s best offense in Dallas to 17 points is.

However, in Week 3, the Rams&#39; defense was torched by the Buffalo Bills. L.A. allowed 35 points to Buffalo. Almost mounting a 25-point comeback, the Rams ultimately fell 35-32 when Buffalo marched down the field for 80 yards over the final five minutes to score the game winning touchdown with 14 seconds left.

After their first loss of the year, the Rams rebounded with two more wins against the NFC East. They took down the New York Giants in Week 4 by a score of 17-9 and then the Washington Football Team in Week 5 30-10. After their 4-1 start, the Rams lost to their divisional foe San Francisco 24-16.

## Rams Strengths and Weaknesses

The Los Angeles Rams have been a fairly balanced team this season. They have a solid statistical offense and a top tier defense. Aaron Donald alone is a major strength as he himself is the biggest defensive game changer in the NFL. Offensively, the Rams are a good unit, at least statistically, but they also tend to go through droughts.

**Strengths:**

- 10th Total Offense (396.8 YPG)
- 10th Rush Offense (135.2 YPG)
- 9th 3rd Down (46.8%)
- 5th Total Defense (340.3 YPG)
- 4th Pass Defense (209.5 YPG)
- 5th Points Allowed (19.0 PPG)
- 6th 3rd-Down Defense (35.6%)
- Aaron Donald

**Weaknesses:**

- Finishing Drives
- 19th Points Scored (25.3 PPG)
- Takeaways
- Offense Can Stall at Times
- Receiver Depth and Size

## Rams vs Bears Monday Night Free Pick Prediction

A low-scoring game is expected Monday night and that should be just what we get. Between the Bears&#39; terrible offense and both teams possessing Top 10 defenses, points could be at a premium. A lot of people are also quick to point out that all of the Rams&#39; wins have come against the NFC East, which has just six wins of its own (four amongst each other).

That may be true, that the Rams have only won against the NFL&#39;s worst division. However, they managed to hold that Cowboys offense to just 17 points and then they blew out Philadelphia and Washington, who both have somewhat decent defenses. The Rams almost mounted a 25-point comeback in Buffalo against a very good Bills&#39; team, only losing by three. A second loss coming against a tough divisional opponent at San Francisco is nothing to be ashamed of either. When you look at their whole schedule, so far, only the Giants game raises the biggest question mark and they still managed an eight-point victory.

So while everyone may be quick to go against the Rams in this one, that may not be the smart move. Los Angeles is a far better offensive team than Chicago and their defense is statistically better as well. The Rams also have a better offensive line, which should do better stopping the Bears&#39; pass rush compared to the Bears&#39; offensive line stopping Donald and company.

The under isn&#39;t a bad bet in this one but taking the Rams and laying the points may be a better one. Chicago shouldn&#39;t be scoring much in this game but there is a decent change the Rams offense could score enough to push this game over. We could even see a defensive score in this game from either side that could really hurt under bettors.

Instead, the Rams -5.5 should be the safer bet here. While both teams have good defenses, the Bear&#39;s offense is a trainwreck. Foles is too inconsistent for this Bears&#39; team to make a legit Super Bowl run this year. In games like this, against a defense like the Rams, Foles should be in for a long night. The Rams&#39; offense can stall at times but it is also capable of going off any given night. After a subpar performance last week against a divisional foe, look for the Rams to get a statement win on Monday night on national TV and cover in the process.

***Pick: Rams-5.5***

Monday Night Football Free Pick: Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

The Seattle Seahawks (5-0) will take on the Arizona Cardinals (4-2) on Sunday Night Football. Seattle is coming off of a bye week after narrowly escaping the Minnesota Vikings 27-26 the week prior. Arizona has now won its last two games after destroying the Dallas Cowboys 38-10. For both teams, this will be a big game that will not only go a long way in helping decide the NFC West, but also in playoff seeding and whether or not Arizona can find a way into the playoffs this season.

### Seattle Seahawks Season Recap

The Seahawks are the last remaining undefeated team in the NFC. Sitting atop the NFC West, two games ahead of Arizona, Seattle has seen its fair share of close games. After taking down the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 by a score of 38-25, their next four games were all decided by one possession.

Seattle edged out the New England Patriots in Week 2 35-30 thanks to a last minute goal-line stand. In Week 3, trailing by 1 with under two minutes to go, Russell Wilson connected with D.K. Metcalf for the game winning touchdown to take down Dallas 38-31. 

Week 4 turned out to be a tougher than expected contest against the Miami Dolphins. Eventually, Seattle would go on to win that game 31-23, holding off a late rally. Then, in Week 5, the Seahawks had their closest game of the season against the Vikings. After trailing 13-0 at the half, Seattle scored 21 points in the third quarter to help get a 27-26 victory.

## Seahawks Strengths and Weaknesses

If you take a quick look at the Seahawks statistics and box scores, it is pretty easy to see where Seattle is strong and where they struggle. In simple terms, their offense is their strength and their defense is their weakness.

**Strengths:**

* Deep Passing Plays
* Strong WR Group
* Russell Wilson
* 5th Total Offense (415.8 YPG)
* 4th Passing Offense (280.4 YPG)
* Highest-Scoring Team (33.8 PPG)
* 7th Rushing Defense (100.8)
* Turnover Differential (+6)

**Weaknesses:**

* Secondary
* 31st 3rd-Down Offense (32.6%)
* Worst Total Defense (477.4 YPG)
* Worst Passing Defense (370.4 YPG)
* 18th Points Allowed (27.0 PPG)
* 28th 3rd-Down Defense (50.0 %)

### Arizona Cardinals Season Recap

Many expected the Arizona Cardinals to take the next step this year and so far, they are off to a great start. The Cardinals started the season 2-0 after a surprising Week 1 win against the San Francisco 49ers (24-20) and then a follow up win against the Washington Football Team (30-15).

However, the hype-train derailed a bit in back-to-back weeks. In Week 3, the Cardinals handed the Detroit Lions their first win of the season when they blew a fourth-quarter lead. Arizona was leading 23-20 and ended up losing 26-23 when they failed to score at all in the fourth quarter. Their second loss of the year came the following week against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers jumped out to a 14-0 lead and never looked back as they went on to beat the Cardinals 31-21.

After evening their record up at 2-2, the Cardinals went on their second two-game winning streak of the young season. Arizona rebounded with an easy win against the league-worst New York Jets 30-10. Then, they beat the Cowboys the following week by an even bigger score of 38-10.

### Cardinals Strengths and Weaknesses

Unlike Seattle, Arizona is a more even team on both sides of the ball. They have no league-best strengths but they also have no real glaring weaknesses. 

Strengths:

* 8th Total Offense (408.8 YPG)
* 4th Rushing Offense (161 YPG)
* 2nd Points Allowed (18.7 PPG)
* 7th 3rd-Down Defense (36.5%)
* Pass Rush
* Deep WR Group
* Strong 1-2 at Running Back

Weaknesses:

* Secondary Depth
* Inconsistent Play From Kyler Murray
* Special Teams

## Seattle vs Arizona Sunday Night Free Betting Pick

Seattle may be the better team in this matchup but Arizona is the more level team. Seattle is going to give up points all year and will need Russell Wilson to keep playing at an MVP-level all season if they want to keep winning. Arizona can win games because of both their offense and defense.

Divisional games are always more hard-fought games than when non-divisional teams meet. Arizona’s offense is capable of competing with the Seattle offense and their defense is far better than Seattles. Kyler Murray’s ability to make plays with his feet is what could be the difference in this game. Also, his ability to protect the ball.

The total is high in this game (55.5), as expected, and the Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite. This should be a high-scoring contest but part of Arizona’s game plan should also be to control the clock in this game, limiting the number of times Wilson touches the ball. If they are successful in doing so, this game could potentially be lower-scoring than the sportsbooks expect.

While the over may be a very tempting pick, Arizona’s solid defense and rushing attack could keep this game from blowing up. Instead, taking the Cardinals with the points should be a safer pick. Seattle has benefited statistically from playing three of the worst defenses in the NFL (Atlanta, Dallas, and Minnesota). Against a solid defense like Arizona that won’t give Wilson a ton of time, the Seattle offense may not be as explosive as their numbers would suggest. Take the Cardinals at home in what will likely be a close game. Arizona can win both a high-scoring and a low-scoring game while Seattle’s defense can’t carry the load if their offense has an off night.

***Pick: Arizona+3.5***

Sunday Night Football Week 7 Free Pick: Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

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Fear not. We are here to guide your gambling habits through the next 30 days of quarantine.

Traditional sports may be on hold for now. But the gambling world is transforming to get players some actions.

So let's get this series started. For today, here are some of the best online betting alternatives available to you while you're in coronavirus quarantine:

## Online poker is back...

Remember online poker? Well its back and better than ever. Users have been flocking to online poker sites to pass the time...and win some money!

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Stuck in quarantine with no sports? Here's what to bet on...

LA Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Line: LA -1.5
Over/Under: 48.5

For tonight's Raiders vs Chargers Thursday night football, I am playing the OVER. Here is why...

- Both offenses move the football
- LA ranks 8th in yards per pass attempt (YPA)
- Oakland ranks 6th.
- Oakland has been soft on defense. In the last 3 games, they rank last in YPA. s per 
- Raiders have been trending OVER...5-1 in Raiders last 6 games overall
- Recent meetings have been trending UNDER...this forces sportsbooks to drop their total

This game has shootout potential. I would expect a 31-27 game. Oakland on top.

Predicted score: LA 27 - OAK 31

**OVER 48.5**

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Los Angeles Chargers

Oakland Raiders

Raiders vs Chargers Free Pick, Thursday Night Football (11/6/19)

Week 7 Thursday Night Football, the 4-2 Kansas Chiefs travel a mile high to face the 2-4 Denver Broncos.

Thursday, Oct 17th <br />
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos<br />
Spread: KC -3.5<br />
Over/Under: 48.5<br />

Kansas City has been hot, winning their last 7 games versus their AFC West rival. The Chiefs have also cashed in for bettors, winning 6 of these 7 games against the spread (ATS).

<img class="ui image medium bordered" src="https://i.imgur.com/RhUKgqE.png" />

### Who should bettors take in tonight's matchup?

I am leaning towards taking Denver +3.5.

The Chiefs have had some struggles. They lost 2 games in a row at home (vs. Colts and Texans). In their last 3, they are 0-3 against the spread. This trend may continue tonight.

You should look towards the underdog. Denver has been playing better. In their last 2 games, they have limited opponents to an average of 6.5 points! They wont completely shut down the Chiefs, but they should make it competitive.

### Public betting is heavy towards Chiefs

<img class="ui image medium bordered" src="https://i.imgur.com/ZVMB1uW.png" />

There is a heavy gap here. Some sites report over 70% of public wagers are going on Kansas City. This shows a large public consensus on a road favorite.

In this case, you should always bet the other way (take the Broncos).

### Conclusion

I am taking the underdog Broncos in tonight's game. They have been playing solid defense and they should be able to keep this game competitive. A 3.5 point spread will come in handy tonight. Good luck.


Chiefs vs Broncos free pick + betting preview, Thursday Night Football 

Looking for a bet in tonight's Browns vs Jets Monday night football game?

Alright, you have come to the right place...

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Now for tonight's game, our betting system is showing us a winner. Since we did so well this weekend - we will give it away for free.

Here is our betting system's proprietary over/under pick for the Browns vs Jets on Monday night football:

Sports books have set the over/under at 45 1/2. Our custom algorithm is telling us this number is too high. **Bettors should take the UNDER on tonight's game**.

Lets look at some stats that support the UNDER:

- Through week 1, Jets rank 14th in yards per pass attempt allowed (held Bills in check). This should continue tonight...
- Cleveland had trouble getting going in week 1 (vs TEN). They now have to go on the road vs NYJ. This spells trouble for an offense trying to find its identity.
- NYJ had an abmismal offensive outing in week 1. Now Trevor Seimian takes the helm. Enough said...

Take the UNDER in this matchup with Medium confidence. Expect a low scoring affair...that might put you to sleep early...but you will wake up to a winning ticket!

Browns vs Jets Over Under Free Pick, Monday Night Football

Lets get ready for some football!

With the start of the 2019 NFL season only 1 day away, its time to place your bets for week 1.

Now, don't go betting just to bet. That is rule #1 in our NFL betting system. You need to make sure you're betting when you have the "edge". 

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Enough betting theory. Time to place our bet for the opening game of the year - Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears.

For this opening day matchup, we will look at the over/under. Our over [under betting system](/betting-system) is showing us value here...lets take a look:

### Packers vs Bears Free Over Under Pick:

For this matchup, bookmakers opened this over/under at 46. Money flow (bets) on the over have pushed this total to its [current 46.5](http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/).

Analyzing this matchup, the **UNDER 46.5** looks like a solid value play. Here is why...

Before we get into handicapping, *please note* - most of this statistical analysis comes from last season's stats. Teams change from season to season, so there could be some inaccuracy here. But...this is all we have at the moment. And as the year goes on...we will get more accurate.

Both offenses were decent last year. When we look at 2018 yards per pass attempt (our most valuable handicapping stat) both Chicago (ranked #14th) and Green Bay (#22) were in the middle of the pack...

Green Bay now has a completely different coaching staff, so we will give them a slight bump...but both are mid-level scoring offenses...

On the defensive side of the ball, Chicago ran the show. In 2018, the **Bears ranked #1 in yards per pass attempt allowed (5.8 yards)**. They also lead the league in points allowed at 18 per game. Solid.

Green Bay's defense was OK. They rank 23rd in yards per pass attempt allowed. This lead to allowing an average of 25 points per game. Middle of the pack...but, with some key personal moves this offseason, they look to be upgraded defensively in 2019. (see [Packers' Defense Has Been All The Rage This Summer](https://www.forbes.com/sites/robreischel/2019/08/15/packers-defense-beginning-to-look-like-an-elite-unit/#76c26eeb281b))

Our custom betting system is showing us a low scoring Packers/Bears matchup. 4-5 combined touchdowns, max. The total should not top 42.

**Packers/Bears UNDER 46.5** (medium confidence)

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Packers vs Bears, Over Under Free Pick, Week 1

Looking for NFL underdog picks for week 1?

Well, you came to the right place...

Let's get down to business. You can start the NFL season off right with our winning picks and betting advice.

If your new to Wager&Review, you can do some reading here on our overall philosophy towards NFL betting. To keep it short - its all about mindset. And you are about to have a winning one...

So lets take a look at week 1. Should we play some heavy favorites and lay tons of points? No way. Especially early in the season **underdogs** are the where you place your money. (read more here)

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All of our NFL picks are based off our prioritary [NFL betting system](/betting-system). This is no random stuff. We have formulated a system over 20+ years that will help you cash tickets...which is all that matters.

Note - these are medium and low confidence picks. If you want our high confidence plays - [signup now for our NFL betting system](/betting-system). You will receive a preseason discount.

### Houston Texans +7 vs. New Orleans Saints (medium confidence)

Ofcourse, everyone knows about New Orleans is a tough place to play. But don't sleep on the Houston Texans. After a monster pre-season trade, the Texans are feeling good. Lead by DeShaun and JJ...they have a solid team all around. In 2018, under coach Jim O'Brien, they had several quality road wins (shows they can play on the road).

For the 2019 season, we rate the Texans as a "9 win" team. New Orleans is rated as 9 wins as well. When we run these numbers through they system - the line should be NO -2.5. Betting HOU +7, your getting value. Bet it in week 1 (with medium confidence).

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Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals (7:05 PM)


ML: Chicago+220/Washington-245

RL: Chicago+110/Washington-120

O/U: O8.5-107/U8.5-113


Reynaldo Lopez (3-5 6.20 ERA) vs Stephen Strasburg (5-3 3.19 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Chicago is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Washington.
- Chicago is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against the National League.
- Washington is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games against Chicago.
- Washington is 6-3 SU in their last 9 home games.


Prediction:

All of Lopez’s good starts have come against teams ranked in the bottom 10 in offense (Cleveland, Detroit twice, Kansas City, and Toronto). The Nationals offense is ranked 17th in runs per game, but they have scored 59 runs in their last nine games. Strasburg has been the most reliable pitcher for the Nationals over the past four weeks, and against some of the National League’s best teams (Los Angeles, Chicago, New York, and Atlanta). Strasburg goes deep into games and keeps that sketchy Nationals bullpen as little involved as possible. The Nationals are one of the hottest teams in the National League right now and Strasburg is just as hot right now. Look for them to keep their winning ways going after this one. I expect Strasburg to only allow one, maybe two runs in seven-plus innings. The Nationals should put up enough runs to cover the OVER in this, so long as they don’t shut the White Sox out.
 

Score:

Chicago 1 - Washington 8


Best Bets: Washington ML-245, Washington RL-120, and Over 8.5-113

Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals MLB Free Pick Tuesday

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Philadelphia-130/San Diego+115

RL: Philadelphia+102/San Diego-118

O/U: O7.5-109/U7.5-107


Aaron Nola (6-0 4.18 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (4-4 4.45 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 11 games against the National League West.
- San Diego is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games played on a Monday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego’s last 20 games played in June.
- Philadelphia is 28-14 SU as a favorite this season.
- Philadelphia is 16-11 ATS on the road this season.

Prediction:

Both teams are 5-5 in their last ten games, and the Phillies have lost four straight (three of those against the Los Angeles Dodgers). Phillies offense has crashed back to earth after a great start to the season. They now rank 13th in runs per game but are still way ahead of the Padres, who rank 26th. The Padres rank ninth in ERA and the Phillies are right behind them at 10th. Although both pitchers are pitching well at the moment, I expect Nola to have the better outing today. The Phillies offense is a bigger threat to Lauer than the Padres are to Nola. Look for this to be a low-scoring game with the Phillies pulling away in the middle/late innings.
 

Score:

Philadelphia 4 - San Diego 1


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML-130, Philadelphia RL+102, and Under 7.5-107

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Free MLB Monday Picks

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves (4:10 PM)


ML: Detroit+210/Atlanta-240

RL: Detroit-110/Atlanta-120

O/U: O9.5-105/U9.5-115


Daniel Norris (2-3 4.18 ERA) vs Mike Soroka (5-1 1.07 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games.
- Detroit is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit’s last 13 games on the road against Atlanta.
- Detroit is 3-12 SU in their last 15 games against the National League.
- Detroit is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against the National League East.


Prediction:

The Tigers have the second-worst scoring offense in baseball and are fifth-worst in hits. Soroka should be able to hand the Tigers today with relative ease. There is a good chance we can see him go 7+ scoreless innings today. The Braves offense isn’t the best in baseball (16th in runs per game) but should be able to find a way to score some runs off of Norris. The Braves won’t need too many runs in this one in order to win, so the UNDER should be the pick in this one as well. 


Score:

Detroit 1 - Atlanta 5


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-240, Atlanta RL-120, and Under 9.5-115

Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Free Pick Saturday

Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM)


ML: Cleveland-160/Chicago+145

RL: Cleveland+145/Chicago-110

O/U: O9.5-115/U9.5-105


Trevor Bauer (4-4 3.99 ERA) vs Dylan Covey (0-4 5.47 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Cleveland is 13-7 SU in their last 20 games on the road against Chicago.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago’s last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games against Cleveland.
- Chicago is 9-19 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

Bauer had his worst start of the season against the White Sox back on May 6th. He gave up 10 hits and allowed seven earned runs. Covey picked up a loss in his relief appearance against the Indians back on April 1st. Both teams are in the bottom eight of the league in runs per game, so both pitchers should have decent outings. Indians walk the fifth most in baseball, with Covey’s command, they should be able to get some good scoring opportunities. Bauer will look to rebound with a big game after getting torched last time he started against the White Sox. This game should be low scoring and stay UNDER but I think the Indians get the win thanks to a few walks from Covey.
 

Score:

Cleveland 5 - Chicago 2


Best Bets: Cleveland ML-160, Cleveland RL+145, and Under 9.5-105

Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox, MLB Free Pick Friday

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies (3:10 PM)


ML: Arizona+100/Colorado-110

RL: Arizona-195/Colorado+210

O/U: O10-108/U10-112


Zack Greinke (6-2 2.89 ERA) vs Jon Gray (4-4 4.62 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona’s last 12 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games on the road against Colorado.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado’s last 12 home games.
- Colorado is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against the National League.
- Arizona is 31-21 ATS this season.
- Arizona is 18-10 ATS on the road this season.


Prediction:
 
Since his first start of the season, Greinke has only allowed 16 earned runs in 68 innings pitched (2.12 ERA). He has only walked nine batters all year. The Rockies offense doesn’t walk much and strikeouts a lot. Greinke should have the upper hand in this pitching duel. Being at Coors Field we can expect some balls to fly in this one. Arizona is 11th in the Majors in home runs and should add to that total today. Gray has given up 11 home runs so far this season, 18th most in the league. The Diamondbacks should pick up their fourth straight win behind another solid Greinke performance. The OVER should hit despite Greinke’s great pitching.
 
 
Score:

Arizona 8 - Colorado 3


Best Bets: **Arizona ML+100/Arizona RL-195 and Over 10-108**

MLB Memorial Day Free Pick, Arizona vs Colorado

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-7

O/U: 215.5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee-7 and Over 215.5**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 Premium Pick

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels (4:07 PM)


ML: Minnesota-140/Los Angeles+126

RL: Minnesota+110/Los Angeles-130

O/U: O9-110/U9-110


Martin Perez (6-1 2.89 ERA) vs Matt Harvey (2-3 6.35)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
- Minnesota is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
- Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against LA Angels.
- Minnesota is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
- Minnesota is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels.
- LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels' last 5 games played on a Thursday.


Predictions:

The Twins are hot right now and their offense is now second-ranked in baseball in runs per game. Matt Harvey hasn't been a good pitcher since his early days in New York. The Twins should have no problem piling up runs on him today. Perez is one of the Twins best pitcher and against an Angels offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs, I like Perez to have a good day. Certainly good enough to get a win against Matt Harvey. Twins pile up runs early and adds some on the Angels bullpen. The OVER should hit with ease as well.


Score:

Minnesota 8 - Los Angeles 3


Best Bets: Minnesota ML-140, Minnesota RL+110 and Over 9-110

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels, MLB Premium Thursday 5/23/19

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM)


ML: Kansas City+160/St. Louis-178

RL: Kansas City-130/St. Louis+110

O/U: O9.5-109/U9.5-110


Homer Bailey (4-4 5.36 ERA) vs Adam Wainwright (4.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in their last five games
- Kansas City is 12-22 against RHP this season
- Kansas City is 6-16 SU on the road this season
- Kansas City is 10-24 SU as underdogs this season
- St. Louis is 13-10 ATS at home this season
- St. Louis is 14-9 SU at home this season

Prediction:

Homer Bailey has been having an above average year, by his standards, even with a 1.46 ERA. Bailey can give up 10 earned runs on any given start, he is just that bad at most times. He might not give up ten today, but there is a better chance he does give up ten earned runs then he pitches a shutout. Wainwright hasn't been very good either but is certainly the better pitcher of the two. The Cardinals offense should crush Bailey today and their pitching staff should be able to handle the subpar hitting of the Royals. Cardinals pick up a win in a game that sees its fair share of runs.


Score:

Kansas City 3 - St. Louis 8


Best Bets: St. Louis ML-178, St. Louis RL+110 and Over 9.5-109

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals, MLB Premium Wednesday

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM)


ML: Atlanta-151/San Francisco+136

RL: Atlanta-103/San Francisco-117

O/U: O7.5+100/U7.5-120


Max Fried (6-2 2.86 ERA) vs Jeff Samardzija (2-2 3.69 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games.
- Atlanta is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against San Francisco.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 6 games against Atlanta.
- San Francisco is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the National League East.


Prediction:

Look for the Braves to run up Samardzija’s pitch count early in this one and chase him from the game before the sixth. The Giants have the sixth best bullpen in the league in terms of ERA, so the Braves will be looking to do their damage against Samardzija. I expect Fried to pitch into the seventh in this one, possibly even later, limiting the Braves bullpen innings. The Braves get the early lead and manage to hold on for the win in a lower scoring game.


Score:

Atlanta 4 - San Francisco 1


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-151, Atlanta RL-103, and Under 7.5-120

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants, MLB Freebie 5/22/19

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM)


ML: Cincinnati+127/Milwaukee-140

RL: Cincinnati-160/Milwaukee+140

O/U: O9-101/U9-119


Sonny Gray (0-4 4.30 ERA) vs Gio Gonzalez (2-0 1.69 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
- Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Milwaukee.
- The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cincinnati's last 20 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
- Cincinnati is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the National League Central division.
- Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games.
- Milwaukee is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 7 games against Cincinnati.
- Milwaukee is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games this season.


Prediction:

Gio Gonzalez has been an absolute steal for the Brewers so far this season. He is holding a 1.08 WHIP. The Reds are an improved team, but I think Gio can keep his hot streak going. Sonny Gray hasn't been as good as he can be, but despite his record, he hasn't been that bad either. Gray has a 1.18 WHIP and 48 strikeouts in 44 innings. This should be a lower scoring game but I like Gio to get the better of the Reds. Gray will pitch decent, but not well enough to get a win. 


Score:

Cincinnati 2 - Milwaukee 5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee ML-140, Milwaukee RL+140 and Under 9-119**

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers, MLB Premium Picks 5/21/19

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-3

O/U: 217.5


Best Bets: **Milwaukee-3 and Over 217.5**

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Game 4

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM)


ML: New York-245/Baltimore+218

RL: New York-165/Baltimore+144

O/U: O9.5-101/U9.5-119


Domingo German (8-1 2.50 ERA) vs David Hess (1-5 5.58 ERA)


Key Trends:

- NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- NY Yankees are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against Baltimore.
- NY Yankees are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
- NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games this season.
- Baltimore is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Prediction:

German’s pitching this season has him in early Cy Young talks. With two dominant performances already against Baltimore this year, a third should be all but automatic. Baltimore will have trouble finding more than a couple runs in this one. The Yankees should win this game with ease. Hess gets chased early.


Score:

New York 7 - Baltimore 1


Best Bets: **New York ML-245 and New York RL-165**

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles, Free Pick 5/21/19

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers (8:05 PM)


ML: Seattle+133/Texas-147

RL: Seattle-140/Texas+120

O/U: O11-110/U11-110


Mike Leake (3-4 4.00 ERA) vs Mike Minor (4-3 2.61 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games.
- Seattle is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.
- Seattle is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.
- Seattle is 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.


Prediction:

The last time these two pitchers faced each other was April 27. Minor had one of his best games of the year and Leake his worst. We took the Rangers ML, RL and the OVER in that one and won all three. We're going to do the same today. Minor is having a great season and the Rangers offense is still number one in baseball. They are on a nice little run right now as well and are starting to heat up. If the Rangers happen to fall out of contention in the next two months, look for Minor to be a top trade target at this year's trade deadline.


Score:

Seattle 4 - Texas 9


Best Bets: **Texas ML-147, Texas RL+120, and OVER 11-110**

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers, MLB Free Pick 5/20/19

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM)


ML: Atlanta-135/San Francisco+122

RL: Atlanta+120/San Francisco-140

O/U: O7.5-115/U7.5-105


Mike Soroka (4-1 0.98 ERA) vs Andrew Suarez (2019 Debut)


Key Trends:

- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 14 games.
- San Francisco is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games at home.
- San Francisco is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League East division.


Prediction:

Soroka has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this season. We still got over 100 games to play but he is my early season Cy Young favorite in the NL right now. The Braves bats are heating up right now and with the Giants bringing in a pitcher that wasn't good enough to make their opening day roster, not good for San Fran. Suarez was 7-13 with a 4.49 ERA last season and hasn't done any better in AAA this year, going 2-3 with a 6.33 ERA. I don't care about his 1-1 record with a 2.38 ERA last season against the Braves. That means nothing. Braves hot bats ruin Suarez's start to 2019 and Soroka keeps pitching deGrom-like. I'll take the OVER as well with Atlanta scoring at least seven on their own. I'm sure the Giants can find a way to get one run......


Score:

Atlanta 7 - San Francisco 1


Best Bets: **Atlanta ML-135, Atlanta RL+120, and OVER 7.5-115**

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants, MLB Premium Game 5/20/19

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-3.5

O/U: 219


Best Picks: **Portland+3.5 and Under 219**

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers Game 4 Premium Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals (7:08 PM)


ML: Chicago-135/Washington+122

RL: Chicago+115/Washington-135

O/U: O10-101/U10-119


Kyle Hendricks (3-4 2.86) vs Jeremy Hellickson (2-2 6.00 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs' last 10 games.
- Chi Cubs are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
- Chi Cubs are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
- Chi Cubs are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Washington is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League Central division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 20 games played in May.


Prediction:

Hendricks is having a great season despite his 3-4 record. I think he will come out firing this game and put the National bats away fast. Hendricks will pick up a win today by going seven innings and only allowing one or two runs. The Cubs should be able to handle Hellickson and the subpar Nationals bullpen.


Score:

Chicago 6 - Washington 2


Best Bets: **Chicago ML-135, Chicago RL+115 and Under 10-119**

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals, MLB Premium Picks 5/19/19

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM)


ML: San Francisco+144/Arizona-160

RL: San Francisco-135/Arizona+115

O/U: O8-114/U8-106


Drew Pomeranz (1-4 5.93 ERA) vs Robbie Ray (3-1 3.14 ERA)


Key Trends: 

- The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
- San Francisco is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
- San Francisco is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League West division.
- Arizona is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite.


Prediction:

The Giants offense has improved as the season has progressed, but they still sit 23rd overall with 3.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have one of the more potent offenses in baseball, averaging 5.2 runs per game (5th). Arizona also has the edge in team ERA. They have put together a season that has them ranked 13th in ERA compared to 20th for the Giants. Ray is the better pitcher of the two right now. Add in the fact that Arizona is at home, they should take this game today. I think the Diamondbacks offense comes out firing this one and makes it a short day for Pomeranz. The OVER should hit in this one as well, with the Diamondbacks possibly covering the over on their own.


Score:

Arizona 7 - San Francisco 3


Best Picks: **Arizona ML-160, Arizona RL+115 and Over 8-114**

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks, MLB Freebie 5/19/19

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM)


ML: Minnesota-126/Seattle+114

RL: Minnesota+114/Seattle-134

O/U: O9-120/U9+100


Jose Berrios (6-2 3.05 ERA) vs Wade LeBlanc (2-0 4.50 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 4-0 SU in their last five games.
- Minnesota is 5-0 SU in their last five 5 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games on Saturday.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Seattle’s last 18 games. 
- Seattle is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games.
- Seattle is 4-12 SU in their last 16 home games.


Prediction:

The Twins have been one of the most surprising teams this season. They have one of the best records in baseball and the Mariners have had one of the worst records since April 12. Berrios is the Twins top pitcher and should have another solid outing tonight. The Twins second-ranked offense shouldn’t have much trouble scoring on LeBlanc. Once the Mariners pen comes in, the Twins should widen their lead. Look for the Twins to pick up a win in semi-blowout fashion while also hitting the OVER. Berrios has a bounce-back game and the Twins continue their winning streak while the Mariners are left trying to figure out how they can turn their season around.


Score:

Minnesota 7 - Seattle 3


Best Bets: **Minnesota ML-126, Minnesota RL+114 and Over 9-120**

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners, MLB Free Pick Saturday 5/18/19

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers (9:00 PM)


Spread: Portland-2.5

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: **Golden State+2.5 and Under 220.5**

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers Game 3 Premium Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals (7:15 PM)


ML: Chicago+125/Washington-138

RL: Chicago-175/Washington+151

O/U: O8.5+100/U8.5-120


Jon Lester (3-1 1.16 ERA) vs Stephen Strasburg (3-3 3.63 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chi Cubs are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games.
- Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Washington.
- Chi Cubs are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington.
- Washington is 6-12 SU in their last 18 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Chi Cubs.


Prediction:

Lester off of to one of the best starts to a season in his career. The Nationals have been struggling since Trea Turner went down earlier this season. Strasburg has been up and down this year. All signs point to the Cubs as the more consistent team with the better pitcher on the mound today. I think the Cubs offense helps get this game over. The Nationals bullpen is terrible and is prone to giving up a lot of runs. Cubs should take this one with ease.


Score:

Chicago 8 - Washington 3


Best Picks: **Chicago ML+125, Chicago RL-175 and Over 8.5+100**

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals, MLB Premium Picks

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors (7:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-2

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: Toronto-2 and Under 220.5

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Game 3

St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers (8:05 PM)


ML: St. Louis-157/Texas+141

RL: St. Louis-115/Texas-105

O/U: O11.5-113/U11.5-107


Miles Mikolas (4-3 3.83 ERA) vs Jose Leclerc (1-1 6.32 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
- Texas is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games at home.
- Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.


Prediction:

Both the Cardinals and the Rangers are in a bit of a slump right now, but someone will break out of it today. The Rangers have the #1 offense in baseball in terms of runs per game. The Cardinals have a top five bullpen and Mikolas has pitched well this season, holding a WHIP of 1.06. Leclerc can't be trusted to win games and his 1.79 WHIP shows that he isn't just having bad luck, he just isn't a good pitcher. The Cardinals offense is capable of being a top-five offense when the season is over. I think this will be a high scoring game, but the Cardinals will get more runs against Leclerc then the Rangers will Mikolas. Once it comes to bullpens, the advantage is even more in the Cardinals favor. Look for them to run away late in this one.


Score:

St. Louis 8 - Texas 5


Best Bets: **St. Louis ML-157, St. Louis RL-115 and Over 11.5-113**

St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers, MLB Premium Pick Friday 5/17/19

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves (7:20 PM)


ML: Milwaukee+113/Atlanta-124

RL: Milwaukee-164/Atlanta+144

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Jhoulys Chacin (3-4 4.57 ERA) vs Max Fried (5-2 3.25 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games.
- Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games played on Friday.
- Atlanta is 10-13 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

This will be a battle of two different pitching styles. Chacin likes to work the zone while Fried likes to attack hitters. The Brewers pitching staff has been incredible the past two weeks, holding a team ERA of 1.81 in their last 13 games. The Brewers are 8-6 against LHP this season. Chacin is on a hot streak and Fried is on the decline. The Brewers offense scored 22 runs in their last three games (all wins). I think the Brewers get the win in this one. If the game is tied in the late innings, the Brewers have a huge advantage as Atlanta has one of the worst bullpens in the National League. If they run into Josh Hader of the Brewers, it will be lights out for the Atlanta offense. This should be a low scoring game with the Brewers pulling the “upset”.


Score:

Milwaukee 4 - Atlanta 2


Best Bets: **Milwaukee ML+113, Milwaukee RL-164 and Under 9.5-117**

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves, MLB Free Pick Friday

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-6.5

O/U: 217


Best Bets: **Toronto+6.5 and Under 217**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 2 Premium Pick 5/17/19

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+117/San Diego-129

RL: Pittsburgh-190/San Diego+163

O/U: O7.5-113/U7.5-107


Trevor Williams (2-1 3.40 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (2-4 5.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
- San Diego is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.


Prediction:

Neither team features a great, or even really a good offense (Pirates 26th in runs per game, Padres 25th). However, Lauer is the type of pitcher that the Pirates can break out against. The Pirates are traveling in from Arizona, so they have been out on the west coast the past few days, so that shouldn’t be much of an issue for them. The Pirates offense has a better chance to break out in this one. Williams has had some really good outings so far this year and against the Padres offense, he should be able to have another quality outing. The OVER should hit in this one as well, with Pittsburgh getting the majority of the runs.


Score:

Pittsburgh 5 - San Diego 3


Best Picks: **Pittsburgh ML+117, Pittsburgh RL-190 and Over 7.5-113**

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres, Free MLB Game of the Day

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM)


ML: Chicago+126/Cincinnati-140

RL: Chicago-180/Cincinnati+155

O/U: O8.5-115/U8.5-105


Jose Quintana (4-2 3.50 ERA) vs Luis Castillo (4-1 1.76 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games.
- Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against Chi Cubs.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs.


Predictions:

Castillo has been a gem for a top-tier Reds pitching staff this season. The offense is finally starting to click after a rough start and the Reds are 18-16 since there rough 1-8 start to the season. Before the season began, many thought this team would be much improved compared to recent years, and they are starting to show that they indeed are. Last night's walk-off-win was just what this team needed to keep its momentum going in the right direction. Quintana is certainly hittable, so I think the Reds rollover that momentum into this one and get a few runs early. Castillo is the guy they want on the mound every game, and he will protect their lead in this one. The Reds win the game and take the series from the Cubs, showing that they are no longer the "easy" win that the NL has been getting from them for years.


Score:

Chicago 2 - Cincinnati 5


Best Picks: **Cincinnati ML-140, Cincinnati RL+155 and Under 8.5-105**

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds, MLB Premium Game 5/16/19

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-7

O/U: 219


Best Picks: **Portland+7 and Over 219**

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Game 2 Premium Picks

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals (8:15 PM)


ML: Texas-133/Kansas City+120

RL: Texas+115/Kansas City-135

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Mike Minor (3-3 2.68 ERA) vs Jorge Lopez (0-4 6.07 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Texas is 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against Kansas City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas' last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Texas.
- Kansas City are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Kansas City are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the American League West division.


Prediction:

Mike Minor has had a really solid season. Mix in his pitching with an offense as potent as the Rangers and you got a good recipe. The Royals are sending out Lopez who has had some rough outings this season. Minor will certainly outduel Lopez and the Rangers offense will thrive over a Royals offense that has some major struggles at times. 


Score:

Texas 6 - Kansas City 2


Best Picks: **Texas ML-133, Texas RL+115 and Under 9.5-117**

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals, MLB Premium Picks 5/15/19

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (7:10 PM)


ML: Houston-330/Detroit+300

RL: Houston-230/Detroit+192

O/U: O10-105/U10-115


Justin Verlander (6-1 2.51 ERA) vs Gregory Soto (0-1 15.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Houston is 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
- Houston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Detroit.
- Detroit is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.


Prediction:

The Astros started the season 2-5 and now have a record of 28-15. They are the hottest team in baseball right now and have outscored the Tigers 19-5 in the two previous games of the series. The Astros are now first in the league in runs, hits, hits allowed, batting average, OBP, SLG, OPS, WHIP, and BAA. Aside from stolen bases (17th), the Astros are top five in baseball in virtually every major category.

A Tigers’ offense that ranks second-to-last in runs per game is going to struggle against a hot Verlander. The Astros are currently the most dominant team in baseball and will have no trouble handling the Tigers today. I think the Under hits today due to the Tigers having trouble scoring more than one or two runs.


Score:

Houston 7 - Detroit 1


Best Picks: **Houston ML-330, Houston RL-230, and Under 10-115**

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers, MLB Free Pick Wednesday 5/15/19

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks (8:30 PM)


Spread: Milwaukee-6.5

O/U: 218


Best Picks: **Milwaukee-6.5 and Over 218**

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 1 Pick

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM)


ML: San Diego+140/Los Angeles-155

RL: San Diego-160/Los Angeles+140

O/U: O7-110/U7-110


Chris Paddack (3-1 1.55 ERA) vs Clayton Kershaw (2-0 3.31 ERA)


Prediction:

Clayton Kershaw has been good this year, Chris Paddack has been great. 0.98 WHIP and 31 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings in very good, but those are Kershaw's numbers. Paddack's numbers, 0.69 WHIP and 46 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings are better. Yes, the Dodgers offense is way better than the Padres, but when Paddack is pitching, they only need a few runs to win. I think Paddack gets the better of Kershaw in this one and we see a sort of "passing of the baton" in the NL West for the top pitcher. Kershaw has been one of the best pitchers to ever play the game, but I think he will start to decline in the next year due to injuries and age, so this will be the rookie Paddack's first chance to take the leap to the top, and I think he will take that leap tonight. I know he is only a rookie, but I think he has a chance to be an elite pitcher in the near future.

Score:

San Diego 4 - Los Angeles 2


Best Picks: **San Diego ML+140 and San Diego RL-160**

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers, MLB Premium Pick 5/14/19

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors (9:00 PM)


Spread: Golden State-7.5

O/U: 220.5


Best Picks: Portland+7.5 and Under 220.5

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Game 1, Premium NBA Pick

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 PM)


ML: Milwaukee-114/Philadelphia+104

RL: Milwaukee+148/Philadelphia-170

O/U: O8-115/U8-105


Brandon Woodruff (5-1 4.25 ERA) vs Jerad Eickhoff (2-1 1.50 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.


Prediction:

Both teams are 7-3 in their last ten games, but the Brewers have lost their last three and the Phillies have won their last three. In their last four wins, the Phillies are outscoring their opponents 29-1. Both teams have had bullpen issues in the past, so despite these two pitchers doing as well as they have been their last few starts, I think this game will see north of 8.5 runs. The Phillies offense is scoring even with Bryce Harper struggling, which is scary. I think the Phillies offense is in a better place right now than the Brewers, so they should get to Woodruff better than the Brewers get to Eickhoff, who I think is the better pitcher of the two. 


Score:

Milwaukee 3 - Phillies 6


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML+104 and Philadelphia RL-170

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies, Free MLB Pick of the Day 5/14/19

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (7:10 PM)


ML: Houston-148/Detroit+134

RL: Houston-135/Detroit+115

O/U: O8-119/U8-101


Brad Peacock (3-2 4.30 ERA) vs Matthew Boyd (4-2 2.86 ERA)


Prediction:

If you've never watched of Matthew Boyd, it's time that you start. Boyd is a great pitcher on a bad team. He's gone at least six innings in every start this season but one and has never allowed more than three earned runs in any of his appearances. His 0.93 WHIP is one of the best in baseball and he has 63 strikeouts and 11 walks in 50 1/3 innings. There is a reason a hot Houston team is only a -148 favorite, and its Boyd. He will have a tough test tonight but if he can shut down the red hot Astros right now (who are good against lefties), he will get himself into some early season Cy Young talks. I'm trusting the man to do his thing tonight, put your money on Detroit, let's just hope his offense can get him a couple runs, but Peacock should give them plenty of opportunities to do so.


Score:

Houston 1 - Detroit 3


Best Bets: **Detroit ML+134, Detroit RL+115 and Under 8-101**

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers, MLB Free Pick Monday 5/13/19

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins (7:40 PM)


ML: Los Angeles+131/Minnesota-145

RL: Los Angeles-125/Minnesota+130

O/U: O9+100/U9-120


Tyler Skaggs (3-3 4.70 ERA) vs Jose Berrios (6-1 2.53 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Minnesota is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home.
- Minnesota is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.


Prediction:

Berrios has been the best pitcher for the Twins so far this year with his 0.92 WHIP and 51 strikeouts to his eight walks. The Angels were on a bit of a three-game high scoring streak before their loss yesterday to the Orioles where they only scored one run. Berrios should be able to keep the Angels at bay today as well. The Twins are a great hitting team and Skaggs is a vulnerable pitcher, so they should be able to take this game with moderate ease.


Score: Los Angeles 2 - Minnesota 6


Best Bets: **Minnesota ML-145 and Minnesota RL+130**

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins MLB Premium Picks Monday 5/12/19

The PGA Championship will embark on one of the country’s top golf courses, Bethpage Black, in a new slot in May. Early indications are the course will play long and soft as cool and wet conditions are invading Long Island the next couple weeks. Those conditions will play into the hands of some of the longer hitters as Bethpage is playing as a par-70 at over 7,400 yards. Three par-4s are playing over 500 yards, including the monster par-4 7th which maxes out at 524. This is likely to play more like an old school U.S. Open than a PGA Championship. If you’re not a big hitter, you may struggle to stay in contention, particularly if the forecast plays out and it’s wet.

Looking at the [PGA Championship odds](/go/mybookie-golf-odds), there’s some good value out there on some of the guys and I do think this will be a major where the big names will hover on the front page of the leaderboard much like The Masters. Here’s the guys I will be playing at this year’s Masters and feel there’s good reason to take them:

[Live Page Championship Odds (MyBookie)](/go/mybookie-golf-odds)

### Rory McIlroy 10-1

Okay, so yes, I was off on Rory at The Masters, and I was far from being the only one. I think 99% of golf fans were stunned he didn’t contend. We’re going to chalk that one up as simply a dud performance where perhaps he put too much pressure on himself. Rory still comes in playing the best golf of anyone this year, finishing in the top-8 in 7 of his last 8 stroke play events. He also has won the PGA Championship twice since 2012 and finished T-10 at Bethpage in the 2009 U.S. Open when he was only 20 years old. But what makes me like Rory most is the conditions Bethpage is likely to have in place. A course this is longer and softer plays into Rory’s hands probably more so than any other player in the field. This is already a long golf course, and when a long golf course plays soft, it eliminates around 75% of the field. It gives a big advantage to long hitters and strong ball-strikers which is Rory’s strong suit. I’ll take the 10-1 odds which are better than the 7-1 odds he had at Augusta. 

### Brooks Koepka 12-1

It’s a major championship, which means Koepka has his game face on. He’s the defending champion and is playing on a course that will suit his game. Not to mention, Koepka has been a major champion machine. Take away last year’s Open Championship where Koepka finished T-39, and Koepka has gone 1st, T-6, T-13, 1st, 1st and T-2 in major championships since the 2017 U.S. Open. That is a spectacular run the last couple years in major play. I am fully on board with playing him at the PGA where long and good ball strikers like Brooks will be rewarded. The value is okay. I probably would hedge under 10-1, but at 12-1, I’ll play it.

### Xander Schauffele 25-1

Schauffele has become a big event machine over the past year, and in my eyes, the best player never to win a major championship (sorry Rickie, Bryson and Rahm). The PGA is a major where those best players never to win a major tend to come through. Seven of the last 10 champions were first timers. Schauffele is already a winner on Tour this year and has been a big major championship contender over the last two years. In his last 7 major championships, Schauffele has two runners-up and two top-6 finishes. In two of his last three majors he has two runners-up, The 2018 Open and this year’s Masters. He’s knocking on the door. He’s big enough a hitter to play with the big boys and he’s no doubt got the game to win.


### Adam Scott 50-1

Talk about value. This is value times 10. I’m not saying Adam Scott the favorite or anything, but at 50-1, he is the best value on the board. I’ll take those odds all day and every day. Scott contended just a few weeks ago at The Masters, going into Sunday with a chance to win but faded on the back nine to finish T-18. He finished third a year ago at the PGA Championship and was right in the heart of the duel between champion Brooks Koepka and Tiger Woods. He doesn’t come in to the PGA in bad form. He’s had 3 top-12s in his last 5 events. While ranked 27th in the world, Adam fares much better in the top events as evidenced by his contention at the PGA, Players and Masters the last several months. He also contended at The Barclays in 2016 when it was played at Bethpage, finishing T-4.I’ll take this value and pound it.

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### Thoughts on some other guys:

**Tiger Woods 6-1**: I didn’t hate Tiger at The Masters, I just didn’t like the value. Same goes here. I think Tiger can be there on Sunday, I just find 6-1 way too low. Golf is so hard to pick that when you see guys’ odds at 10-1 or lower, you tend to stay away unless they are putting up top-5s every event (like Rory has been doing). Tiger hasn’t played since The Masters and Bethpage is a tough and demanding test. That being said, he won the U.S. Open here in 2002 and finished To-6 at the 2009 U.S. Open. So yes, I think he can contend. Win? It’s hard to win two majors in a row. Then again, this is Tiger.
Dustin Johnson 9-1: Like Tiger, the odds are just too low for me to take a chance. If you want to go with just favorites, DJ’s a good choice. It’s a course well-suited for his game and I do think he will contend. However, I didn’t like the back 9 at Hilton Head and he hasn’t played since. I like him at the PGA, but I don’t love him, and to be under 10-1, you need to be on that “love” list for me to play you, like Rory.

**Patrick Reed 33-1**: Reed has struggled this year, but signs seem to point he may be turning the corner. He was in contention on the weekend at Wells Fargo last weekend before fading on Sunday. He also won at Bethpage at the 2016 Barclays. At 33-1, it’s good value and worth it if you’re looking for longshot picks. He’s actually one of the guys I’m taking in my fantasy survival pool.

*Other good value plays*: Justin Rose 16-1, Rickie Fowler 20-1, Patrick Cantlay 50-1, Webb Simpson 80-1



2019 PGA Championship Picks and Longshots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (3:30 PM)


Spread: Denver-5.5

O/U: 213.5 


Best Bets: **Denver-5.5 and Over 213.5**




Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors (7:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-6.5

O/U: 209.5


Best Picks: **Toronto-6.5 and Under 209.5**

NBA Premium Game 7 Picks 5/12/19

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+145/St. Louis-161

RL: Pittsburgh-145/St. Louis+125

O/U: O9+100/U9-120


Steven Brault (0-1 7.11 ERA) vs Dakota Hudson (2-3 4.63 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against St. Louis.
- St. Louis is 13-9 ATS at home this season.


Prediction:

Neither pitcher is starting their season off well, but at least Hudson has 35 innings under his belt compared to Brault's 12 2/3. Both pitchers have had some trouble with walks as well. When you have a game like this with two pitchers like Brault and Hudson the over should be all but a guarantee. However, the Cardinals offense is superior to the Pirates, and at home, so they should be able to get the bulk of the runs in this one. The Cardinals should get to the Pirates bullpen early in this one, giving them another advantage.


Score:

Pittsburgh 4 - St. Louis 8


Best Bets: St. Louis ML-161, St. Louis RL+125 and Over 9-120

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals, Premium MLB Pick 5/12/19

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 PM)


ML: Atlanta-131/Arizona+118

RL: Atlanta+125/Arizona-145

O/U: O9.5-110/U9.5-110


Max Fried (4-2 2.97 ERA) vs Zack Godley (1-2 7.49 ERA) 


Key Trends:

- Arizona is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games against Atlanta.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games at home.
- Arizona is 8-9 SU at homes this season.


Prediction:

Godley hasn’t made a start since April 27th and his first one back probably won’t go very well. The Braves are 11th in the league in walks and with Godley’s command issues, they should be able to draw at least three off of him and run his pitch count up, forcing him from this game early. Fried’s making his next scheduled start after taking that hit off of his hand, so it appears everything is fine there. After getting roughed up by the Dodgers, Fried should be able to get back on track and have another quality outing against the Diamondbacks. The Braves should pick up the win in a somewhat low scoring game that covers the 
UNDER.


Score:

Atlanta 5 - Arizona 2


Best Bets: Atlanta ML-131, Atlanta RL+125 and Under 9.5-110

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks, MLB Freebie of the Day 5/12/19

Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM)


ML: Chicago+140/Toronto-155

RL: Chicago-150/Toronto+130

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Ivan Nova (1-3 7.04 ERA) vs Marcus Stroman (1-5 2.96 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chicago is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- Chicago is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.
- Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against Chicago.


Prediction:

Stroman has been the better pitcher of the two so far this season and I think he ends up being the better one in this game as well. Neither offense is going to explode in this one, but Toronto should be able to find a way to get a multi-run win against a pitcher who has one of the highest ERA’s among qualified starters. Toronto gets a few off of Nova early and adds a couple later as the White Sox struggle to get more than a couple of runs throughout the game against a top ten Toronto pitching staff. 


Score:

Chicago 2 - Toronto 5


Best Picks: Toronto ML-155, Toronto RL+130 and Under 8.5-110

Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays, MLB Free Pick 5/11/19

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros (8:10 PM)


ML: Texas+268/Houston-305

RL: Texas+130/Houston-150

O/U: O8.5-115/U8.5-105


Jesse Chavez (0-1 7.27 ERA) vs Gerrit Cole (3-4 4.17 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas' last 18 games.
- Texas is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games.
- Texas is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 6 games played in May.
- Houston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- Houston is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League West division.

Prediction:

The Rangers are going with the "opener" strategy in this one, Chavez will only pitch one inning before giving way to Drew Smyly. Either way, the Rangers odds don't look any better with Smyly pitching, 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA. Jose Altuve is day-to-day but hasn't been doing well as of late anyway, batting 1.62 over his last 20 games. The Astros' bats should light up Smyly and may even get a run or two off of Chavez in the first. Houston should be able to run away with this one and the Rangers will manage a few runs to help push the game OVER.


Score:

Texas 3 - Houston 8


Best Bets: Houston ML-305, Houston RL-150 and Over 8.5-110

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros, MLB Premium Pick 5/11/19

Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City (8:15 PM)


ML: Philadelphia-153/Kansas City+138

RL: Philadelphia+110/Kansas City-130

O/U: O9-113/U9-107


Jake Arrieta (4-2 3.40 ERA) vs Homer Baily (3-3 5.25 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Kansas City is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against Philadelphia.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas City’s last 18 home games.


Prediction:
 
Going up against an offense like the Phillies, Bailey should be in for a rough day. Look for the Phillies to hit a couple of home runs off of him today. Arrieta should be able to have one of his best outings of the season against a Royals offense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs per game. Bailey should give up plenty of runs to help this game reach the OVER. Philadelphia should be able to get a big enough lead early that their bullpen should have no problem holding, even with allowing a couple of late-inning runs.

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Score:

Philadelphia 8 - Kansas City 3


Best Bets: Philadelphia ML-153. Philadelphia RL+110 and Over 9-113

Philadelphia vs Kansas City, MLB Free Pick of the Day 5/10/19

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets (7:10 PM)


ML: Miami+166/New York-180

RL: Miami-150/New York+130

O/U: O7-125/U7+105


Pablo Lopez (2-4 4.03 ERA) vs Zach Wheeler (2-2 4.64 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Miami is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Miami is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against NY Mets.
- Miami is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games against Miami.
- NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.


Prediction:

The Mets needed this series badly. After a rough stretch recently the Mets have a chance to get back on course and build momentum against the Marlins. If New York can't take at least 2-out-of-3 in this series (although they should take all three), then trouble in New York is worse than thought. Wheeler has had some really good games this season and this is the type of start that he knows he has to come out and perform. This will be a confidence-boosting game for him and the Mets offense. 


Score:

Miami 3 - New York 6


Best Bets: **New York ML-180, New York RL+130 and Over 7-125**

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets, Premium MLB Picks 5/10/19

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (9:00 PM)


Spread: Houston-7.5

O/U: 214.5


Best Picks: **Houston-7.5 and Under 214.5**

Friday's NBA Premium Picks 5/10/19

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers


Spread: Toronto-2

O/U: 213


Best Picks: **Philadelphia+2 and Over 213**


Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers


Spread: Portland-4

O/U: 215.5


Best Picks: **Portland -4 and Over 215.5**

NBA Premium Picks 5/9/19 (Get The Big Money Out!)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM)


ML: Pittsburgh+125/St. Louis-138

RL: Pittsburgh-165/St. Louis+130

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Joe Musgrove (1-3 2.63 ERA) vs Michael Wacha (2-0 5.17 ERA)


Key Trends:


- Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against St. Louis.
- Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
- Pittsburgh is 0-8 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.
- St. Louis is 13-4 SU in their last 17 games at home.


Prediction:

The Cardinals were the hottest team in baseball until about a week ago. They have lost six of their last seven but it has been mostly been against the two hottest teams currently in the NL the Cubs and Phillies. The Pirates offense is nowhere near as good as the lineup the Cardinals put out. Wacha is better than his numbers and should be able to pitch closer to his expectations to this one. Musgrove isn't bad himself but has started to regress after his great start to the season. The Cardinals have a great bullpen that can hold onto an early lead.

Score:

Pittsburgh 2 - St. Louis 6


Best Picks: St. Louis ML-138 and St. Louis RL+130

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals, Premium MLB Pick 5/9/19 (I'm Betting HUGE on BOTH of These Picks)

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians (1:10 PM)


ML: Chicago+192/Cleveland-215

RL: Chicago-125/Cleveland-110

O/U: O9-105/U9-115


Manny Banuelos (2-1 5.96 ERA) vs Carlos Carrasco (2-3 5.60 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- Chi White Sox are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against Cleveland.
- Chi White Sox are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League Central division.


Prediction:

Carrasco is a lot better of a pitcher than he has shown so far this season. Chicago has been out playing Cleveland so far for most of this series, but the Indians won the third game after dropping the first two. The Indians bats aren't very good, but they should be able to pick up about 5 runs against Banuelos and the bullpen tonight. Carrasco will only give up 1-2 runs this game and pitch 6+ and get the win.

Score:

Chicago 2 - Cleveland 5


Best Bets: Cleveland ML-215, Cleveland RL-110 and Under 9-115

Free MLB Picks Thursday 5/9/19

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM)


ML: Arizona+141/Tampa Bay-157

RL: Arizona-152/ Tampa Bay +124

O/U: O7-110/U7-110


Robbie Ray (2-1 3.79 ERA) vs Charlie Morton (3-0 2.52 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
- Arizona is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the American League East division.
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.


Prediction:

After losing 3-0 to the Baltimore Orioles, the Rays will be looking for a sweep today of the Diamondbacks, and I think they get it. Charlie Morton is pitching well and should be able to keep doing so after this one. Robbie Ray isn't having a bad year either, but I think he gets into trouble early with walks in this one and the Rays hitting will take advantage. Once Ray is gone, the Rays will pull away. Morton goes 7+ in this one and gets the win.
 
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Score:

Arizona 2 - Tampa Bay 5


Best Bets: Tampa Bay ML-157 and Tampa Bay RL+124

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays, Free  MLB Picks For Wednesday 5/9/18

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees (6:35 PM)


ML: Seattle+122/New York-135

RL: Seattle-160/New York+120

O/U: O9-115/U9-105


Yusei Kikuchi (1-1 3.98 ERA) vs Jonathan Loaisiga (1-0 2.70 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Seattle is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games.
- Seattle is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against NY Yankees.
- Seattle is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
- Seattle is 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
- NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.


Prediction:

The Yankees have been on a tear recently, winning 15 of their last 20 games. Yet half of their team is still on the IL. This team is going to be scary once back at full health. Seattle is on the decline and with the way the Yankees are playing, this should be another easy win for the Yankees. Two decent pitchers in this one, but the Yankees offense is more dangerous right now than Seattle. Loaisiga should be able to outlast Kikuchi in this one and help the Yankee's put up yet another win. 


Score:

Seattle 3 - New York 6


Best Picks: New York ML-135 and New York RL+120

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Premium Pick of The Day!

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks


Spread: Milwaukee -9

O/U: 218


Best Bets: Bucks-9 and Over 218


Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors


Spread: Golden State-6

O/U: 219.5


Best Bets: Golden State-6 and Over 219.5

Wednesday's Premium NBA Picks 5/8/19

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM)


ML: Texas+123/Pittsburgh-136

RL: Texas-180/Pittsburgh+155

O/U: O8.5-110/U8.5-110


Adrian Sampson (0-1 3.58 ERA) vs Steven Brault (0-1 8.31 ERA)


Key Trends:

- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas' last 11 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas' last 6 games on the road.
- Texas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games against Texas.
- Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home.


Prediction:

Two pitchers who started the season in the bullpen are starting in this one. This is Brault's first start and Sampson's fourth. Sampson has shown the better stuff of the two and the better results as well. The Pirates offense is a shadow of Texas' at best. The Rangers should be able to score early and often in this one. Sampson may not have a Cy Young type performance today, but as long as he doesn't completely implode in this one the Rangers should pick up an easy "upset", along with scoring enough to hit the OVER.

Score:

Texas 7 - Pittsburgh 3


Best Picks: Texas ML+123, Texas RL-180 and Over 8.5-110

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates, MLB Premium Bets of The Day! 5/7/19

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors (8:00 PM)


Spread: Toronto-6

O/U:212


Best Bets: Toronto-6 and Under 212



Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (10:30 PM)


Spread: Denver-4.5

O/U: 213.5


Best Bet: Denver-4.5 and Over 213.5

NBA Premium Playoff Picks Tuesday 5/7/19

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM)


ML: Minnesota-155/Toronto-140

RL: Minnesota-105/Toronto-115

O/U: O9-104/U9-116


Jose Berrios (5-1 2.91 ERA) vs Aaron Sanchez (3-2 3.09 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Minnesota is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
- Minnesota is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 12 road games.
- Toronto is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
- Toronto is 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games against Minnesota


Prediction:

Berrios is pitching against the 25th ranked offense in the Blue Jays and he should be able to put together another strong outing today. If he goes six or seven innings and only allows two runs, which seems to be the norm for him, the Twins should have no problem getting the win against a pitcher like Sanchez who throws a lot of pitches and may be out of this one early. The Twins produce the fifth most runs in baseball and should score more than their average of 5.3 runs in this one. Look for Minnesota to take advantage of walks from Sanchez and turn them into runs.

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Score: 

Minnesota 6 - Toronto 3


Best Bets: Minnesota ML-155 and Minnesota RL-105

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday Free Pick of The Day!

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians (6:10 PM)


ML: Chicago+222/Cleveland-250

RL: Chicago+105/Cleveland-125

O/U: O9-105/U9-115


Ivan Nova (0-3 8.33 ERA) vs Trevor Bauer (4-1 2.45 ERA)


Key Trends:


- Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- Chi White Sox are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games against Cleveland.
- Chi White Sox are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.
- Cleveland is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.


Prediction:

Trevor Bauer has been one of the best pitchers in the A.L. this year and could find himself in the CY Young talk by the end of the year. The Cleveland offense is terrible, but Bauer gives even the worst offense a chance to win any game he starts. The White Sox pitching is as bad as the Indians offense (both second-to-last in the Majors). If Cleveland is going to break out of their offense slump, this would be the team to do it against.


Score:

Chicago 2 - Cleveland 6


Best Picks: Cleveland ML-250 and Cleveland RL+105


Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians, MLB Premium Picks 5/6/19

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM)


ML: Washington-106/Milwaukee-104

RL: Washington+151/Milwaukee-175

O/U: O8-105/U8-115


Max Scherzer (1-4 4.08 ERA) vs Jhoulys Chacin (3-3 5.24 ERA)


Prediction:

Scherzer is off to a rough start this season. His one win and four losses mixed with an inflamed ERA looks worse than it is though. Despite those poor stats, Scherzer has actually been better than you would think. By FIP, Scherzer leads the National League. He has a strikeout rate of 32.8% and a walk rate of only 3.7%, the best ratio in baseball. I expect Scherzer to continue to pitch well, except this time he gets the win and cuts down his ERA. The Nationals should be able to get some runs on this Brewers pitching staff (except against Josh Hader).

Score:

Washington 6 - Milwaukee 2


Best Picks: Washington ML-106 and Washington RL+151

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers, MLB Premium Picks 5/6/19

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (7:00 PM)


Spread: Boston-1.5

O/U: 221


Best Bets: Boston-1.5 and Under 221




Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (9:30 PM)


Spread: Houston-1.5

O/U: 221


Best Bet: Golden State+1.5

NBA Premium Picks Monday 5/6/19

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: New York-117/San Diego+107

RL: New York+148/San Diego-170

O/U: O6.5-115/U6.5-105


Jacob deGrom (2-3 3.82 ERA) vs Chris Paddack (2-1 1.91 ERA).


Key Trends:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Mets’ last 6 games.
- The Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 road games.
- The Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego’s last 19 home games.
- San Diego is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games as an underdog.


Prediction:

The Mets have only scored 7 runs in the last five games and have been just as bad in the field (five errors) as at the plate in that span. The Mets are in a bad spot right now in a number of areas and the offense has crashed back to earth, hard, after a hot start to the season. deGrom is still one of the best pitchers in baseball and I think he will have a good game today, as will Paddack. However, once deGrom is out, the Mets bullpen will come in and start giving up runs. deGrom has never gotten much run support in his career and that unfortunate trend will probably continue today. The Padres pick up a low scoring win with some late-game runs, courtesy of the New York bullpen.

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Score:

New York 1 - San Diego 4


Best Bets: San Diego ML+107, San Diego-170 and Under 6.5-105

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres, Monday's Can't Miss MLB Freebie

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers (3:30 PM)

Spread: Philadelphia-2

O/U: 214.5

Best Pick: Toronto+2


Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers (7:00 PM)

Spread: Portland-3

O/U:210

Best Picks: Denver+3 and Under 210

NBA Premium Playoff Picks Sunday 5/5/19

Houston Astros vs LA Angels (4:10 PM)


ML: Houston-217/Los Angeles+194

RL: Houston+105/Los Angeles-115

O/U: O9.5-103/U9.5-117


Justin Verlander (4-1 2.45 ERA) vs Matt Harvey (1-2 6.54 ERA).


Key Trends:

- Houston is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against Los Angeles.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 road games.
- Houston is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road against Los Angeles.
- Houston is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against the American League West Division.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles’ last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles’ last 6 games against Houston.


Prediction: 

Verlander has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this season and has a WHIP of 0.86 (T2nd in the MLB) to go along with his 53 strikeouts in 44 innings. Verlander has gone at least six innings in every start this year but one, and Harvey has only managed to pitch more than six innings once this season. Verlander should be able to carve up an Angels lineup that ranks 22nd in hits per game. Look for Harvey to be bounced from this game before the end of the 6th inning, while Verlander flirts with the possibility of pitching into the eighth. After letting Verlander down in his last start, the Astros will be looking to pile on the run support in this one.

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Score:

Houston 9 - Los Angeles 2


Best Picks: Houston ML-217, Houston RL+105 and Over 9.5-103

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San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds (4:10 PM)


ML: San Francisco+148/Cincinnati-164

RL: San Francisco-150/Cincinnati+135

O/U: O8-110/U8-110


Jeff Samardzija (2-1 2.53 ERA) vs Luis Castillo (3-1 1.45 ERA)


Key Trends:

- San Francisco is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Cincinnati.
- San Francisco is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games against an opponent in the National League conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 19 games.
- Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.


Prediction:

Luis Castillo is one of the best pitchers in the league and will be the ace in Cincinnati for the foreseeable future. He mixes his pitches well and really knows how to locate the corners of the strike zone. Samardzija is having a great season as well, so this should certainly be a low-scoring game that makes the UNDER somewhat of a breeze. The Reds are a better team than most people think and should be able to put up a few runs on Samardzija and company. Castillo and the Reds bullpen should be able to keep the 29th ranked Giants offense to two runs or fewer.


Score:

San Francisco 1 - Cincinnati 5


Best Picks: Cincinnati ML-164, Cincinnati RL+135, Under 8-110

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds, MLB Premium Picks For Sunday 5/5/19 (I'm Betting These Ones HEAVY!)

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (6:10 PM)

ML: Atlanta-166/Miami+149

RL: Atlanta-110/Miami-110

O/U: O7.5-105/U7.5-115


Mike Soroka (2-1 1.62 ERA) vs Trevor Richards (0-4 4.64 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Atlanta is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Miami.
- Miami is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
- Miami is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Prediction:

Soroka might even lower his 1.62 ERA after this game. The heated battle between the Braves and Marlins continued over from last season into this series, with the Braves starter getting thrown out yesterday after throwing behind Urena of the Marlins. Look for the Braves to keep their foot on the gas this series and keep sticking it to Miami. They won't be overlooking the Marlins at all this season and will be out for blood each game.


Score:

Atlanta 6 - Miami 1


Best Picks: Atlanta ML-166 and Atlanta RL-110


Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins, MLB Premium Pick Saturday 5/4/19

Oakland A's vs Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM)


ML: Oakland+100/Pittsburgh-110

RL: Oakland-215/Pittsburgh+180

O/U: O7.5-115/U7.5-105


Chris Bassitt (1-0 0.75 ERA) vs Trevor Williams (3.38 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Oakland is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games.
- Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU in their last 6 games at home.


Prediction:

Both teams are on rough streaks right now, but the A's obliterated the Pirates last night 14-1. I don't see them winning by that much again today, but I do see them winning again. The Pirates bullpen won't be at full force today and the A's should be able to add some more late-game runs in this one. Bassitt is off to a great start this season in his two starts, including a five-inning two-hit shutout against baseball's number one offense, Texas Rangers. He should be able to continue his good pitching against a weak Pirates offense.


Score:

Oakland 5 - Pittsburgh 2


Best Picks: Oakland ML+100 and Oakland RL-110

Oakland A's vs Pittsburgh Pirates, MLB Premium Pick Saturday 5/4/19

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets (8:30 PM)

Spread: Houston-3

O/U: 220.5

Best Picks: Golden State+3 and Over 220.5

Saturday Premium NBA Playoff Picks

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Indians (4:10 PM)


ML: Seattle+177/Cleveland-198

RL: Seattle-127/Cleveland+107

O/U: O8.5-105/U8.5-115


Mike Leake (2-3 4.98 ERA) vs Carlos Carrasco (2-3 5.86 ERA).


Key Notes:

- Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.
- Seattle is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games.
- Seattle is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.
- Cleveland is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against the American League.
- Cleveland is 14-8 against RHP this season.


Prediction:

Despite his low walk count, Leake has a WHIP of 1.51, (45 hits in 34 ⅓ innings), so the opportunity will be there for the Indians to get some hits. Carrasco has started to turn his season around, and if he had been pulled after six innings in his last start he would still have his 17 innings scoreless streak and we would be talking about him as one of baseball’s hottest pitchers at the moment. I think he continues to pitch well, and going up against a Mariners offense that can’t seem to find many runs. The Indians should take this one with ease. I'm hitting this one hard!

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Score: Seattle 1 - Cleveland 5


Best Picks: Cleveland ML-198 and Cleveland RL+107

Saturday's Free MLB Pick (BIG MONEY BET)!

Do you know why horse bettors love the Kentucky Derby? Simple. Large payout potential.

The first leg of the Triple Crown always draws a large field. This field of top 3 year old presents the best 15-20 horses about to reach their prime. The Kentucky Derby 1 1/4 mile track presents the longest race many of these horse have faced in their career. Throw in enormous stakes. What do you get...?

Unpredictable results.

When results are unpredictable bettors get one thing - large payouts! Beautiful formula. I'm sold.

And as always, a good craftsman needs the proper tools. Here are the tools need to succesfully handicap the 2019 Derby:

- **[Live Kentucky Odds](/go/mybookie-horse-odds)**
- [2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performances](/blog/oCRm0cz/2019-kentucky-derby-past-performances-download-)
- [Derby Track Bias, Why it Matters?](/blog/Cpb0B78/kentucky-derby-2019--what-is-track-bias-and-why-it-matters-)

Now that we have established the large payout potential, lets look at some of the must play long shots in the 2019 Kentucky Derby:

**Maximum Security** - currently listed at 8-1, Maximum Security is my favorite play at this year's Derby. Coming off 4 straight wins, last going away at the Florida Derby, this horse knows how to run from the front and close out a race. From the 8 post and rated as a "speed" horse, Maximum Security is in great position to finishing in the money. 8 to 1 aren't the biggest odds in the world, but he has a great shot to win the race and pay you 8x your money! 

**By My Standards** - [winner of the Louisiana Derby](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLuwQzD5erE), By My Standards is in nice position for a large payout. Currently at 16 to 1, this 3 year old might surprise the Derby field. By My Standards has shown outstanding workout times and the ability to close and win races. Nice horse to add to your trifecta's this year.

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**Vekoma** - currently at 18 to 1, Vekoma can win this race. Runstyle of "speed" performances historically well at Churchill Downs. 2nd Highest average speed the last 3 races. Look for Vekoma to jump out to lead the pack. Highest prime power. Nice ticket at 18 to 1!

These are the best longshots I have found for this years Derby. And remmeber...don't be bashful with playing longshots at the 2019 Kentucky Derby. The "Running for the Roses" as been know to payout longshots in a big way. Good luck!

2019 Kentucky Derby Long Shots to Play

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (10:10 PM)


ML: Los Angeles-155/San Diego+140  
RL: Los Angeles+123/San Diego-130  
O/U: O7-118/U7-102  

Clayton Kershaw (1-0 2.25 ERA) vs Eric Lauer (2-3 4.41 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against San Diego.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 home games.
- San Diego is 5-10 ATS at home this season. 


Prediction:

Kershaw has only been back for a few weeks, but it seems like he hasn’t missed a step. Lauer has walked five batters in his last 10 innings and the Dodgers draw the third most walks in baseball. Between Lauer’s command issues and the Dodgers high powered offense, Los Angeles should have no trouble scoring in this game. As good as Kershaw is, even an average outing today should easily get the win for the Dodgers. Los Angeles should be able to hit close to the Over on their own in this one.

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Score:

Los Angeles 7 - San Diego 2


Best Picks: **Los Angeles ML-155, Los Angeles RL+123 and Over 7-118**

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres, Friday's MLB Free Pick 5/3/19

### Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM)


ML: Tampa Bay-235/Baltimore+209  
RL: Tampa Bay-148/Baltimore+128  
O/U: O9.5-105/U9.5-115  


Tyler Glasnow (5-0 1.75 ERA) vs Dan Straily (1-1 6.75 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
- Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Baltimore.
- Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
- Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.


Prediction:

The potential Cy Young Winner (my spring training AL pick) Tyler Glasnow is doing as well as I expected so far this season. While you can never sleep on any team on any given night in baseball, Glasnow knows that and should come out and pitch like it is a playoff game. Glasnow should make it six or more innings no problem and keep the Orioles to two runs at the most, although probably less. Dan Straily wasn't even good enough to make the Miami Marlins team this season and probably won't even see the fifth inning in this one. Rays take this one with ease, O/U scares me with the possibility of a Glasnow shutout. 


Score: 

Tampa Bay 8 - Baltimore 2


Best Picks: **Tampa Bay ML-235 and Tampa Bay RL-148**



Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles, Friday's Premium MLB Picks 5/3/19

### Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 PM)


ML: Washington+153/Philadelphia-170  
RL: Washington-135/Philadelphia+115  
O/U: O9-115/U9-105  


Jeremy Hellickson (2-0 5.82 ERA) vs Jerad Eickhoff (1-1 2.12 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Washington is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- Washington is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
- Washington is 11-12 vs RHP this season, Philadelphia is 14-9


Prediction:

The Nationals continue to have their struggles in this one and the Phillies offense has a good game against Hellickson and the Nationals bullpen. Eickhoff has pitched well this season and should be able to keep it going against a Nationals team that has seen better days.


Score: 

Washington 3 - Philadelphia 6


Best Picks: **Philadelphia ML-170 and Philadelphia RL+115**

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies, Premium MLB Pick (5/3/19)

Ah, the elusive "Track Bias Stats". There is sits on virtually every racing and past performance sheet. Do you use it?

If you have never dared tried to demystify the track bias stats, here is a quick overview. We will talk about why its important and some key horses it identifies in the 2019 Kentucky Derby.

(Go here for the [2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performances PDF Download](//blog/oCRm0cz/2019-kentucky-derby-past-performances-download-))

### Track Bias, what does it mean?

Great question. Glad I asked it. When we talk about "track bias" we are referring to which styles (or post positions) do well at a particular track. The majority of past performance sheets have this information. 

For the 2019 Derby, the track bias stats has a very small sample size. Only 3 races are sampled. But why don't we look at some past track bias stats? Good idea. Lets do that.

The 2017 Derby track bias gives us excellent stats to analyze. As you can see below, 111 Churchill Downs races are provided. Here are the results:

<div class="my-4">
<img src="https://i.imgur.com/5Qpk7Zx.png" class="ui image large" />
</div>


Wow, great info here. So what are we looking at?

Very simply, the image above shows us the style and post positions that have won races (on dirt) at Churchill Downs.

Example: In the 111 races sampled above, 29% of the races have been one by horses graded as runstyle of "Speed" (or E/P).

Another interesting stat: Of the 111 races sampled, 22% have gone wire to wire. That means the early leader held on to win the race. Interesting. Note taken.

Nothing to sneeze at here. Often disregarded, but this is the type of information that will help us nail our 2019 Derby wagers!

### Which horses to bet using track bias?

Alright. Now that we have established the importance of track bias stats, lets look at how this applies to the 2019 field of ponies.

Taking into consideration "speed" and "early" styles have done well, plus rail and inside post positions...who are the horses that fit this profile? Here are some...

**[Live 2019 Kentucky Derby Odds](https://record.webpartners.co/_HPQ8ZJQbWP4rJaFjCs_SG2Nd7ZgqdRLk/1/)**

**Maximum Security** looks to be the highest graded "speed" horse in the field. Winner of the Florida Derby. (Note: Winner of FLA Derby usually performs well at Derby) Currently sitting at 8 to 1 and at running from 7 post...Maximum Security looks like a nice play.

**Tax** is the next highest ranked "speed" (E/P) horse in this years field. Its running from a difficult 14 post. But sportsbooks currently have this horse at 20 to 1. Hmmm...not a bad long shot play.

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**Tacitus** starts on the rail, but grades as a "Late" (P) runstyle. Can it jump out and possible be in good position to make a run? Its very possible. Not sure if I love the 6 to 1 odds. Tacitus might get cut off early and have trouble making up ground.

**Vekoma** - long shot alert here. Currently at 18-1 Vekoma is rated as the 4th best "speed" horse. Last time out won the Bluegrass G2 going away. Running from the 3 post, look for Vekoma to be there at the wire.

### Summary

As we learned, the track bias matters. Be sure to use this important tool when handicapping the 2019 Kentucky Derby. Find the styles that have success. If looking to bet the race straight or build the ultimate super-fecta, the Track Bias stats is a key tool in winning!

Kentucky Derby 2019, What is Track Bias and Why it Matters?

#### Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (8:00 PM)

Spread: Boston-2

O/U: 220

Best Picks: **Boston-2 and Under**



#### Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers (10:30 PM)

Spread: Portland-4

O/U: 215.5

Best Picks: **Denver +4 and Over 215.5**

NBA Premium Picks Friday 5/3/19

Spring time. The flowers are in bloom. The weather warms. And bettors welcome the most anticipated horse racing event of the season - the Kentucky Derby!

Why do pony bettors rejoice with the coming of the derby? Great question...simple answer. The Derby brings a large field of high potential 3 year old thoroughbreds. With this large field, anything becomes possible. Long odds entice bettors to play long-shots, which hit frequently!

When handicapping the derby we always start with the Kentucky Derby Past Performances (PPS). This 3-4 page PDF tells us all the information we need to make educated best bets on the Derby.

To download the 2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performance PDF - click the link below:

**[2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performance PDF Download](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/firebase-owr.appspot.com/o/pdfs%2F2019-Kentucky-Derby-Past-performances.pdf?alt=media&token=cae4246e-8c79-422f-8f53-1784756f0bce)**

The above doc has all the info you need to successfully handicap the 2019 Derby.

Stay tuned to Wager&Review for more 2019 Derby handicapping. Tomorrow, we will release our Long shots and best bets to win you some money!

If you have any questions, never hesitate to [contact us](/contactUs).

Good luck!

2019 Kentucky Derby Past Performances Download 

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets (12:10 PM)  

ML: Cincinnati+162/New York-180  
RL: Cincinnati-130/New York+110  
O/U: O7.5-117/U7.5-103  


Tyler Mahle (0-3 4.50 ERA) vs Noah Syndergaard (1-3 6.35 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National League East division.
- NY Mets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- NY Mets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home.
- NY Mets are 6-8 ATS at home this season.
- Cincinnati is 10-7 ATS on the road this season.

Prediction:

Thor has been getting torched lately and if you have watched him as much as I have you can tell something just isn't right this season with him. Don't be surprised to see him get rocked today and end up on the IL as Familia did. Thor's velocity has been a little lower than usual and his command is just not there. The Reds are playing better than most realize (8-5 last 13 games) and their pitching is one of the best in baseball. The Mets offense has been struggling the past week (20 runs last 7 games including two shutouts) and Pete Alonso isn't in the starting lineup today. The Reds take 3-of-4 in this series with another win today.


Score: Cincinnati 5 - New York 3


Best Picks: **Cincinnati ML+162 and Cincinnati RL-130**

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets, Premium MLB Picks For Thursday 5/2/19

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM)

ML: Boston-208/Chicago+186  
RL: Boston-130/Chicago+110  
O/U: 8.5


David Price (1-2 3.60 ERA) vs Lucas Giolito (2-1 5.30 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Boston is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against Chicago.
- Boston is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Chicago is 4-10 ATS at home this season.
- Chicago is 6-10 SU as an underdog this season.


Prediction:

With the Red Sox on the rise and Giolito making his first start in two weeks, that should spell trouble for the White Sox. An extended period between starts seems to always throw pitchers off of their routine and causes problems come game time. Price is on the rise as well and I think he continues that trend today and pitches another good game to get the win.

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Score: Boston 6 - Chicago 2


Best Picks: **Boston ML-208 and Boston RL-130**

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox, Thursday's MLB FREEBIE!

**Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers (8:00 PM)**

Spread: Toronto-1

O/U: 217

**Best Pick: Toronto-1**

NBA Premium Playoff Picks Thursday 5/2/19 (14-6 (70%) In Last 7 Days!) 

Tonight, the New York Islanders hope to cut into the Carolina Hurricanes 2-0 series lead and try to make a contest of it. A win tonight by the Hurricanes gives them a commanding 3-0 series lead and pretty much sets them on their way to the Eastern Conference Finals. The Hurricanes won the first two games of this series on the road, 1-0 and 2-1 (OT) and are winners of their last four in the playoffs, two of those coming in overtime.

**[Real-time NHL Odds](/go/bovada-nhl-odds)**

There is some value on the Islanders tonight to win at +110. They are the more desperate team and also go on the road where they have won their last 5 contests and 7 of their last 8. The **road team has also won the last 3 in this matchup and 4 of the last 5**. Carolina was also hit with the injury bug in the last game. They will be without Trevor Van Riemsdyk and likely without their goalie Petr Mrazek who suffered a lower-body injury. This means Curtis McElhinney will likely get the start making him the oldest goalie to ever make his first Stanley Cup Playoffs start. Saku Manelaenen will also miss tonight’s game after sustaining a hand injury in Sunday’s game. 

Another angle to take tonight is the under, even though the value isn’t as good as it usually is. Usually over/unders in the NHL playoffs are set at 5.5 or higher. The over/under tonight is set at 5, unusually low for a playoff game. But then again, I always believe in riding a trend until she bucks you or not riding her at all. The Islanders last 5 contests have all been unders in the total. If you go back to the regular season, 8 out of 9 contests have been under the total, and **5 of those 9 have had 3 goals or less in the game**. Carolina has had more overs in their games, but seem to be content in playing the Islanders slow style and playing to a low-scoring game as it has earned them success the last two nights. 

**Note:** Bovada is offering an exclusive signup bonus. **[Get $250 free bet + 50% signup bonus](/go/bovada-mlb-bonus)** (click to claim). Limited time, signup now! 

Best Bets: **Islanders +110** and **Under 5.0 goals**


NY Islanders (+110) at Carolina Hurricanes, NHL Playoffs Free Pick (5/1/19)

**Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals (1:15 PM)**

ML: Tampa Bay-143/Kansas City+129

RL: Tampa Bay+110/Kansas City-130

O/U: O8.5-113/U8.5-107


Ryne Stanek (0-0 1.20 ERA) vs Jakob Junis (2-2 5.57 ERA)


Key Trends:

- Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- Tampa Bay is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against Kansas City.
- Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
- Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- Kansas City is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.


Prediction:

Tampa Bay will continue their "opener" approach and it will once again work out against a struggling Royals team. The Rays bats are better than most people give them credit for, so scoring on Junis shouldn't be a problem. The Rays pick up an easy win in the first game of the double-header.

Score:

Tampa Bay 6 - Kansas City 2


Best Picks: **Tampa Bay ML-143 and Tampa Bay RL+110**

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals, MLB Premium Picks 5/1/19 (16-5 Last Five Days!)

We've spent hours a day for weeks here at W&R tweaking an MLB formula to our liking, and we believe we have found the perfect formula for O/U picks. We started testing it out two days ago and it is 7-0 right now! (Would probably be 9-0 but two games got postponed yesterday).

Without getting into too many details, our formula predicts the final score based on over 20 calculations and we then get a percentage difference between our projected score and the total on the O/U. We then take all of the picks that fall into our "perfect range" and those are the picks we roll with. So far all seven picks that have fallen in that range have won! Here at today's picks that fall in that range, and there are eight of them!

CIN/NYM Over 6.5

STL/WAS Over 8

LAD/SF Over 7

NYY/ARI Over 8

TOR/LAA Under 8.5

CLE/MIA Over 6.5

DET/PHI Over 8

BAL/CWS Over 9

Let's keep the wins coming!

Premium MLB Formula O/U Picks (7-0 RECORD!!!!)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers (2:05 PM)

ML: Pittsburgh-134/Texas+121  
RL: Pittsburgh+105/Texas-125  
O/U: O10.5-115/U10.5-105  

Jameson Taillon (1-3 4.06 ERA) vs  Shelby Miller (1-1 7.52 ERA) 

Key Trends:

- Texas is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- Texas is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Texas


Prediction:

The Pirates offense has been terrible the past ten days, but yesterday’s extra-innings win should be a morale boost. Going up against Shelby Miller is something every struggling offense would like to do to help them get back on track. The Pirates have some power in their lineup and I think that Miller helps them display that today. The Pirates should be able to get out of their offensive funk and Taillon should be able to contain a good hitting Rangers offense enough to help Pittsburgh get the win.

Score: Pittsburgh 6 - Texas 3

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Best Picks: **Pirates ML-134 and Pirates RL+105**

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers, Wednesday's Free MLB Pick (5/1/19)

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets (9:00 PM)

Spread: Denver-4

O/U: 219.5

Best Picks: Portland+4 and Under 219.5

NBA Premiums 5/1/19 (12-6 Record last six days!)

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM)


ML: Chicago-140/Seattle+126  
RL: Chicago+110/Seattle-130  
O/U: O8.5+101/U8.5-121


Cole Hamels (3-0 3.16 ERA) vs Felix Hernandez (1-2 3.91 ERA).


Key Trends:

- Chicago is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games.
- Chicago is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home against Chicago.
- Seattle is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- Seattle is 0-7 in their last 7 games against the National League.


Prediction:

The Chicago bats are starting to click and the Seattle bats are crashing back to earth after a historic start to the season. Hamels continues his nice start to the season and the Cubs make it a tough day for Hernandez. The Cubs pick up another win today in a game that sees some late-inning runs to hit the Over.

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Score: Chicago 7 - Seattle 3

Best Picks: **Chicago ML-140, Chicago RL+110 and Over 8.5+101**


Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners, Tuesday's Free MLB Pick (4/30/19)

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM)

- ML: Baltimore+117/Chicago-129
- RL: Baltimore-175/Chicago+151
- O/U: O8.5-120/Under8.5+100
- John Means (3-2 1.74 ERA) vs Manny Banuelos (1-0 2.51 ERA)

#### Prediction:

Both pitchers should do pretty well against these less than stellar offenses. However, look for Means to have the better day and last an extra inning or so in this one. The Orioles should be able to pick up the win a close one.

*Note:* Looking for the best MLB sportsbook? [Signup at Bookmaker and receive a 25% deposit bonus!](/go/bookmaker-c) (click to claim). Use promo code **BASEBALL19**

Score: Baltimore 5 - Chicago 4

Best Picks: **Baltimore ML+117 and Baltimore RL-175**

Monday MLB Freebie! Plus BookMaker Bonus Code!

**Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox (1:05 PM)**

ML: Tampa Bay+118/Boston-172

RL: Tampa Bay-172/Boston+149

O/U: O8-101/U8-119

Tyler Glasnow (4-0 1.53 ERA) vs Chris Sale (0-4 7.43 ERA)

Key Trends:

- Tampa Bay is 5-2 vs LHP this season.
- Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 road games in Boston.
- Tampa Bay is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games against the American League.
- Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 home games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 games that Boston has played against the American League East.

Prediction:

Tyler Glasnow continues his strong start towards a Cy Young award while Chris Sale continues to trend in the right direction, but can't pitch well enough to keep up with Glasnow. Once we hit the bullpens the Rays will pull away for good.

Score: Tampa Bay 5 - Boston 2


**Best Picks: Tampa Bay ML+118, Tampa Bay RL-172 and UNDER 8-119**

Sunday Funday Free MLB Pick

**Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets (7:10 PM)**

ML: Milwaukee+163/New York-182  
RL: Milwaukee-135/New York+115  
O/U: O7.5-103/U7.5-117  
Chase Anderson (2-0 3.00 ERA) vs Jacob deGrom (2-2 3.68 ERA)

Key Trends:

- Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games.
- Milwaukee is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
- Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games this season.
- Milwaukee is 4-8 ATS on the road this season.
- New York is 14-10 ATS this season.

Prediction:

deGrom gets back on track today and starts pitching like the Cy Young winner he is. The Mets offense continues to score runs and should get a few runs off of Anderson no problem, and maybe a couple runs off of the Brewers pen. The Brewers score one on deGrom and add one more against the Mets bullpen, but not enough to win the game.

**Note:** Bovada is offering an exclusive signup bonus. [Get $250 free bet + 50% signup bonus](/go/bovada-mlb-bonus) (click to claim). Limited time, signup now! 

Score:

Milwaukee 2 - New York 5

Best Picks: **New York ML-182 and New York RL+115**

MLB Free Pick! Friday 4/26/19

Last night began to see some normalcy set in with both favorites winning their games to take a 1-0 edge in the series. My hunch is the two teams tonight should follow suit.

**[Real-time NHL Odds](/go/bovada-nhl-odds)**

The Islanders-Hurricanes are in two different modes right now. The Islanders breezed through the first round with Pittsburgh and have had more than 10 days of rest. On the other hand, the Hurricanes just completed an exhausting and intense series with the Stanley Cup champions, winning in seven games which included a double-overtime thriller on Wednesday night. While there’s some concern with the Islanders rust, there’s bigger concern with Carolina and their energy level for game 1. They’ve traveled back home after their win and now have to travel back on the road for tonight’s game. Conventional wisdom says there should be a letdown factor.

Also going against the Hurricanes are the numbers. The Islanders have fared well against Carolina this year, going 3-1 against them. They’ve beaten them 2-1, 2-1 and 4-1, two of those being on the road. Carolina won the last meeting of the season, winning 4-3 in New York. The road team has had more success in this series, which will play into Carolina’s hands, winning five of the last six match-ups going back to 2018. 

The Islanders come in red hot overall, though. They are **8-1 in their last 9 games and 10-2 in their last 12**. Carolina is 7-3 in their last 10 games, so they also come in playing well. No big trends coming in on the Over/Under for this game between the two teams as they have split those in the last couple years. However, three of the meetings this year have been **under the total of 5.5 goals**. Also, six of the Islanders last seven games have been under the 5.5 goals for tonight. So there is a lean there, especially considering one team is potentially tired and another rusty.

Overall, the numbers do lean in the Islanders favor for tonight and the series overall, with a lean also on the under. I wouldn’t advise going huge on them as this is the NHL where anything goes, but I do think there’s some value on their side. Given the potential letdown factor for the Hurricanes tonight, I do like the Islanders for game 1. I also think they will prevail in the series. 

**Note:** Bovada is offering an exclusive signup bonus. [Get $250 free bet + 50% signup bonus](/go/bovada-mlb-bonus) (click to claim). Limited time, signup now! 

Prediction for tonight: **Islanders 3, Hurricanes 1**  
Series prediction: **Islanders in 6**


NY Islanders vs Carolina Hurricanes Free Pick, Game 1 + Series

**Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM)**

ML: Miami+162/Philadelphia-180

RL: Miami-130/Philadelphia+110

O/U: O8-115/U8-105

Trevor Richards (0-3 3.72 ERA) vs Jake Arrieta (3-2 2.65 ERA)

**Key Trends:**

- Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games at home.
- Miami is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games.
- Miami is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 12-3 in their last 15 home games against Miami

**Prediction:**

Jake Arrieta will continue his great start to the season and only allow one or two runs to the Marlins across six-plus innings. Richards command will give him trouble and the Phillies will pile up the walks and as a result the runs. 

**Note:** Bovada is offering an exclusive signup bonus. [Get $250 free bet + 50% signup bonus](/go/bovada-mlb-bonus) (click to claim). Limited time, signup now! 

Score: Miami 2 - Philadelphia 6

**Best Picks: Philadelphia ML-180 and Philadelphia RL+110**

Saturday's Free MLB Pick (MUST BET)!

One word to describe the first round of the 2019 NHL Playoffs? Unprecedented. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning, who tied for the most regular season wins in NHL history, were swept. The team with the second best record in the league, Calgary, was defeated with ease. All four division winners were defeated. Lastly, a record 7 of the 8 lower seeds all prevailed, and the one high seed that was victorious could be seen as an upset as the Islanders swept the Penguins, a team that had won two of the last three Stanley Cups. 

So with all that being said, how the heck do you predict round 2? There is no such thing as having a magic ball that can foresee the future and all these possible upsets. It’s no secret the NHL playoffs are the most difficult postseason of the four major sports to predict. Eventually, however, the belief is some normalcy will have to set in. At least you would think. I believe that starts with the Bruins series tonight against Columbus. 

The worst thing that may have happened to Columbus is they finished the Lightning too early. The Jackets have had over a week break and there are questions of whether they are too rusty. The Bruins, on the other hand, just finished a difficult seven game series with the Maple Leafs in which they rallied from a 3-2 deficit. The question surrounding Boston is whether they are tired or are they in rhythm winning three of their last 4 games?

**[Real-time NHL Odds](/go/bovada-nhl-odds)**

Instead of looking at tonight’s game, I’m looking more at the series value and I think getting **Boston at a -160 price is a good value**. Columbus matched up very well with Tampa Bay. They don’t match up quite as well with a bigger and  more physical team in Boston who are bigger and play a different style of hockey. While the regular season has proven to not have much stock in the playoffs so far, we still need to go by it when trying to forecast these games. We also have to look at past history.

What’s unusual is these two teams have actually played a lot of games against each other in the last month. All three of their meetings took place in March and Boston won the season series 2-1. Columbus won the first meeting at home 7-4, but Boston edged out Columbus at home 2-1 and then blew out the Jackets 6-2 on their home ice during the last week of the regular season. The two teams have split the last 10 meetings. As far as playoffs go, Columbus is 1-2 overall in their team’s history in the postseason. The Bruins, as you would expect, have a lot more experience and a lot more recent success. The Bruins are accustomed to playing late in the season and are 9-6 in postseason appearances over the last 10 years, including two Stanley Cup appearances. Some of those same players from the Stanley Cup seasons are still on this Bruins team.

Another side bet to look at tonight and throughout the series is the over. You always want to ride a trend until she bucks you, and the over has been a major trend in these two teams’ games in their last 10 meetings. **Nine of the last 10 games have resulted in an OVER**. Also, **nine of the last 10 games have resulted in at least seven total goals in the game**. With the over/under 5.5 tonight, you might as well ride trend. I would be cautious, however, in that you have a rusty team in Columbus against a potentially tired team in Boston, so there is some letdown potential tonight in the scoring. You still can’t ignore that trend.

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Best Bets:

- **Boston Over Columbus Series in the series (-160)**
- **Over 5.5 goals Game 1**

Boston vs. Columbus Free Pick, Game 1 and Series

#### Cleveland Cavs @ Sacramento Kings (10:00 PM ET Tipoff)

SAC -9.5 <br />
Over/Under 229.5

NBA has a light docket of games tonight...but that doesn't mean we can find some betting value.

When running tonight's 3 games through our NBA betting system, one game clearly stood out - Sacramento Kings vs the Cleveland Cavs.

The UNDER looks like a solid play for this matchup. Let's review some of the betting notes and handicapping points to why...

- Cleveland is a bad team. Their offense...not good 
- On the season they rank 2nd-to-last (29th) in points per game (104.6)
- The Cavs also play a slow style of offense...
- They are last in the league in possessions per game (100.1)
- This leads to low scoring game totals...
- During their last 3 games (of 5 game West Coast trip), they have played better offensively...but I will wager (obviously!) they revert back to the mean tonight.
- Sacramento, on the other hand, has been a top offense all season...
- They currently rank 10th in points scores, 1st in fast break points and 5th in possessions per game...
- But recently, their offensive game has slowed...
- In their last 3, the Kings are last in the league in possessions per game, 21st in points scored (113.9 per game)
- Sacramento is be playing tomorrow night in Utah...so be prepared for a lack luster performance / uninspired style of play on the offensive end.

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Overall, this should be a slow paced, poorly played game. Expect shooting percentages to be in the low 40's. Mix together week motivation and a week offense...the outcome should be low points. Take the UNDER.

Predicted score: CLE 107 - SAC 112

Best Bet: **UNDER 229**



Sacramento vs Cleveland, Thursday Free NBA Pick

Monday morning. After a long (and beautiful) betting weekend, we are right back to the grind of picking winners.

For today's free MLB over / under pick, we ran all matchups through our MLB betting system and have identified our "value". What does it mean to show value? This is bets that possibly give the bettor (you) and edge. And edges are what matters. This is what give us a long term, positive betting track record. Speaking of track records...the MLB betting system is picking around 69%. Profitability! Got love it.

OK, now that my rant is over...lets get to today's free MLB over under picks. Today, we turn our attention to the Anaheim Angels vs New York Yankees. The betting system is show this to be a high scoring matchup. Should we go with the OVER? I think so. Lets look at stats impacting the outcome of this game.

#### Match-up details:

- New York Yankees @ Anaheim Angels
- Start time: 10:07 PM ET
- Money line: NYY -110, ANA -110
- Run line: NYY -1.5 (+145), ANA +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 8.5
- [Live MLB Odds](/go/bovada-mlb-odds)

#### Starting pitchers:

-  J.A. Happ (LHP, 0-2, 7.23 ERA) 
- Matt Harvey (RHP, 0-2, 9.64 ERA) 

#### Yankees key stats:

- J.A. Happ has not pitched well this season. In 4 starts this season, he has averaged 4 innings and 4.5 runs per start
- Not surprisingly, 3 of the 4 starts have played to the over...
- Yankees bats again look as potent as ever. They are currently towards teh top of the league in most offensive stats. Here are some to note...
- On Base + Slugging % 0.806 (#6)
- Isolated Power 0.208 (#6)
- Home Run % 4.7% (#3)
- Walk %	10.4% (#6)
- What this tells us? Yankees score runs in bunches...
- The Yankees lineup has limited experience vs Harvey...but look for Gardner and DJ LeMahieu to have continued success.

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#### Angels key stats:

- As with Happ, Matt Harvey has not looked sharp...
- In 4 starts in 2019, he is averaging 5.25 in 4 2/3 innings! Ouch...
- Offensively, the Angels have left much to be desired. They rank around 20th in total offensive stats. They have a decent lineup, but it hasn't show in the box score.
- Anaheim's bullpen has been terrible. They currently have limited availability, and have allowed a 5.24 ERA in their last 3 games...

Sub-average starts + bad bullpens + solid offenses. This usually equals runs scored. With the total set at 8.5, I will take this OVER all day long. So should you. Good luck.

Predicted final score: NYY 7 - ANA 5

Best Bet: **OVER 8.5**

Yankees vs Angels Free MLB Over / Under Pick (4/22/19)

Tonight's Milwaukee at Detroit (8:00 PM ET) game 3 is showing nice value for a NBA over / under play. Lets look deeper into this matchup and see which stats are tipping the scales.

#### Odds/Line:

- MIL -9.5
- Over / Under 216
- [Live NBA Odds](/go/bovada-nba-odds)

#### Milwaukee key stats:

- The Bucks have a potent offense. No doubt about it. Statistically, they post gaudy numbers...
- Points/Game	118.2 (ranks #1 in NBA)
- Fastbreak Pts/Gm	17.9 (#6)
- Total Rebounds/Gm 57.5 (#1)
- In their last 9 games, Milwaukee has scored 120+ per game...
- Expect a similar output tonight..some where in the 120-125 range...

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#### Detroit key stats:

- With Milwaukee looking at 120+...Detroit needs to score 97 points. Can they do it? I think so...
- Detroit's offense leaves much to be desired. They want a slower paced game, that forces a grind it out type of flow...
- Will that be possible tonight? No way...
- On the season they average 106.7 (#25) per night.
- They are solid on the glass (rank 13 in total rebounding) and will look to capitalize on the boards tonight...

Look for Milwaukee to control this game. Detroit will be forced to play keep up and be forced to push the offensive end. This will create a game flow that will breach the 216 total set by the books. Take the OVER in this one. It looks like the solid play.

Predicted Score: MIL 121 - DET 107

Best Bet: **OVER 216**


Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistions, Free Over Under Pick (4/20/19)

Dare we go to well twice? I think so...

Last night we nailed the [free MLB Friday Over/Under pick on the Phillies vs. Rockies](/blog/osnII0V/phillies-vs-rockies--free-mlb-over-under-friday) game. Today, we are again seeing value in taking the UNDER. Here is the current game setup and some of the key stats that we think will affect the outcome of this game (and your UNDER wager).

#### Odds/Line:

- PHI -120
- COL +100
- ML: PHI -1.5 (+135), COL +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under: 10.5
- [Live MLB Odds](/go/bovada-mlb-odds)

#### Starting pitchers:

- Aaron Nola (RHP, 1-0, 7.45) 
- Antonio Senzatela (RHP, 1-0, 1.35)

#### Phillies key stats:

- Again, the Phillies have shown to be an offensive juggernaut. But what has happened to their bats on this recent road trip...
- In their last 3 games, the Phillies haven't cracked 3 runs. Will this trend continue? I think so...
- Aaron Nola has not been great so far this season. In his 4 starts, all have played to the over...
- But Nola has been lights out in his career vs Colorado...
- In 2 career starts, Nola holds a 1.98 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. That's shutdown city.


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#### Rockies key stats:

- As we highlighted yesterday, the Rockies bats have been just OK through the 2019 season...they rank as follows:
- Runs/Game 3.42 (#27)
- On base % 0.275 (#28)
- On base + slugging (OPS) 0.629 (#26)
- Opponents batting Avg 0.236 (#12)
- Antonio Senzatela has one game started this season...and it was a good one.
- He shut down a potent San Diego lineup only allowing 6 hits over 6 2/3 innings.
- Expect him to be on point again today vs. Philly

This game looks to flow very similar to last night. Pitching will dominate this matchup and expect Phillies bats to stay asleep while away from Citizens Bank Ball park. Take the UNDER tonight and watch another low scoring affair.

Predicted score: PHI 4 - COL 3

Best Bet: **UNDER 10.5**

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