#1 Auburn vs #16 Alabama State Free Pick and Prediction – March 20

#1 Auburn vs #16 Alabama State Free Pick and Prediction – March 20

πŸ€ NCAAB Matchup! Can Auburn cover -32.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!

Today, #16 Alabama State face off against #1 Auburn in an NCAAB matchup at 2:50 PM EST. Bovada has Auburn as -32.5 favorites with a total of 148.5 points. Can #16 Alabama State pull off an upset against the red-hot #1 Auburn, who hold a 84.9% win rate? Let’s break down the stats.

Game Details

  • Matchup: #16 Alabama State @ #1 Auburn
  • Date/Time: March 20, 2025, 2:50 PM EST
  • Venue: Auburn Home Arena
  • Broadcast: TBD

Current Betting Lines (Bovada)

TeamSpreadTotal
Alabama State32.5 (-115)O 148.5
Auburn-32.5 (-105)U 148.5

Team Comparison and Key Stats

Alabama State (Away)

  • Record: 20-15-0 (57.1% )
  • Team Ranking: #279
  • Team Rating: -6.7
  • ATS: 15-18-1 (45.5% )
  • Over/Under: 14-20-0 (41.2% to Over)
  • Away PPG: 69.4
  • Away Opponents PPG: 72.5

Auburn (Home)

  • Record: 28-5-0 (84.9% )
  • Team Ranking: #2
  • Team Rating: 25.5
  • ATS: 17-15-1 (53.1% )
  • Over/Under: 20-13-0 (60.6% to Over)
  • Home PPG: 87.3
  • Home Opponents PPG: 65.5

Team Statistics Comparison

CategoryAlabama State (Away)Auburn (Home)
Season Record20-15-028-5-0
Win Rate57.1%84.9%
Points Per Game72.1 (#191)83.8 (#8🟒)
Offensive Efficiency1.014 (#231)1.182 (#3🟒)
Defensive Efficiency1.017 (#127)0.981 (#53🟒)
Turnovers Per Game9.1 (#5🟒)9.2 (#6🟒)
True Shooting %100.6% (#330)117.5% (#25🟒)
3-Point Shooting %32.8% (#223)36.8% (#40🟒)
Opponents 3-Point %33.8% (#177)29.2% (#5🟒)
Recent PPG (Last 3)64.772.7
ATS Record15-18-117-15-1
ATS Cover %45.5%53.1%

Betting Trends and Insights

  • Alabama State is 45.5% ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Auburn has gone Over in 60.6% of their last 10 home games.

Prediction and Free Pick

Prediction: Auburn’s edge at home should shine, but Alabama State keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.

Free Pick: Alabama State 32.5 (-110) – β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
Rationale: Extremely strong indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.

Model Prediction

  • Projected Winner: Alabama State by 18.2 points
  • Current Spread: Auburn -32.5
  • Pick: Alabama State 32.5
  • Confidence: Strong

Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.

Conclusion

The Alabama State-Auburn clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Alabama State 32.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts belowβ€”happy wagering!

Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.

Author - OWR Analytics
Written by OWR Analytics

AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.