#4 Florida vs #21 Missouri Free Pick and Prediction – March 14
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Florida cover -8? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Tonight, #21 Missouri face off against #4 Florida in an NCAAB matchup at 7:00 PM EST. Bovada has Florida as -8 favorites with a total of 161 points. Can #21 Missouri pull off an upset against the red-hot #4 Florida, who hold a 87.1% win rate? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #21 Missouri @ #4 Florida
- Date/Time: March 14, 2025, 7:00 PM EST
- Venue: Florida Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | 8 (-105) | O 161 |
| Florida | -8 (-115) | U 161 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Missouri (Away)
- Record: 22-10-0 (68.8% )
- Team Ranking: #25
- Team Rating: 16.7
- ATS: 18-14-0 (56.3% )
- Over/Under: 19-13-0 (59.4% to Over)
- Away PPG: 79.9
- Away Opponents PPG: 80.7
Florida (Home)
- Record: 27-4-0 (87.1% 🟢)
- Team Ranking: #4
- Team Rating: 23.0
- ATS: 23-8-0 (74.2% )
- Over/Under: 14-17-0 (45.2% to Over)
- Home PPG: 86.3
- Home Opponents PPG: 62.5
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Missouri (Away) | Florida (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 22-10-0 | 27-4-0 |
| Win Rate | 68.8% | 87.1% 🟢 |
| Points Per Game | 84.6 (#5🟢) | 84.5 (#6🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.182 (#4🟢) | 1.169 (#8🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 1.023 (#148) | 0.943 (#16🟢) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 10.8 (#84) | 10.7 (#76) |
| True Shooting % | 120.5% (#5🟢) | 114.5% (#60🟢) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 37.2% (#32🟢) | 35.2% (#98) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 33.2% (#136) | 29.6% (#7🟢) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 84 | 92.7 |
| ATS Record | 18-14-0 | 23-8-0 |
| ATS Cover % | 56.3% | 74.2% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Missouri is 56.3% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Florida has gone Over in 45.2% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Prediction: Florida’s edge at home should shine, but Florida keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.
Free Pick: Florida -8 (-110) – ★★★☆☆
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.
Model Prediction
- Projected Winner: Florida by 14.9 points
- Current Spread: Florida -8
- Pick: Florida -8
- Confidence: Strong
Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.
Conclusion
The Missouri-Florida clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Florida -8 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
