#4 Florida vs #8 Tennessee Free Pick and Prediction – March 16
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Florida cover -5.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Today, #8 Tennessee face off against #4 Florida in an NCAAB matchup at 1:00 PM EST. Bovada has Florida as -5.5 favorites with a total of 144 points. Can #8 Tennessee pull off an upset against the red-hot #4 Florida, who hold a 87.9% win rate? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #8 Tennessee @ #4 Florida
- Date/Time: March 16, 2025, 1:00 PM EST
- Venue: Florida Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 5.5 (-105) | O 144 |
| Florida | -5.5 (-115) | U 144 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Tennessee (Away)
- Record: 17-16-0 (51.5% )
- Team Ranking: #256
- Team Rating: -5.4
- ATS: 13-15-2 (46.4% )
- Over/Under: 14-19-0 (42.4% to Over)
- Away PPG: 68.4
- Away Opponents PPG: 75.9
Florida (Home)
- Record: 29-4-0 (87.9% 🟢)
- Team Ranking: #4
- Team Rating: 23.8
- ATS: 25-8-0 (75.8% )
- Over/Under: 16-17-0 (48.5% to Over)
- Home PPG: 86.3
- Home Opponents PPG: 62.5
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Tennessee (Away) | Florida (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 17-16-0 | 29-4-0 |
| Win Rate | 51.5% | 87.9% 🟢 |
| Points Per Game | 71.6 (#205) | 85.4 (#3🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.022 (#211) | 1.177 (#6🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 1.013 (#114) | 0.951 (#18🟢) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 15.3 (#360) | 10.7 (#84) |
| True Shooting % | 105.8% (#242) | 115.5% (#49🟢) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 32.6% (#233) | 35.6% (#83) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 34.2% (#211) | 29.6% (#7🟢) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 66.7 | 96.3 |
| ATS Record | 13-15-2 | 25-8-0 |
| ATS Cover % | 46.4% | 75.8% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Tennessee is 46.4% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Florida has gone Over in 48.5% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Prediction: Florida’s edge at home should shine, but Florida keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.
Free Pick: Florida -5.5 (-110) – ★★★★★
Rationale: Extremely strong indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.
Model Prediction
- Projected Winner: Florida by 22.1 points
- Current Spread: Florida -5.5
- Pick: Florida -5.5
- Confidence: Strong
Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.
Conclusion
The Tennessee-Florida clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Florida -5.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
