#6 Illinois vs #11 Xavier Free Pick and Prediction – March 21
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Illinois cover -4.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Tonight, #11 Xavier face off against #6 Illinois in an NCAAB matchup at 9:45 PM EST. Bovada has Illinois as -4.5 favorites with a total of 162 points. Who will come out on top in this NCAA clash? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #11 Xavier @ #6 Illinois
- Date/Time: March 21, 2025, 9:45 PM EST
- Venue: Illinois Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier | 4.5 (-110) | O 162 |
| Illinois | -4.5 (-110) | U 162 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Xavier (Away)
- Record: 22-11-0 (66.7% )
- Team Ranking: #36
- Team Rating: 14.0
- ATS: 19-14-0 (57.6% )
- Over/Under: 16-17-0 (48.5% to Over)
- Away PPG: 74.8
- Away Opponents PPG: 75.7
Illinois (Home)
- Record: 21-12-0 (63.6% )
- Team Ranking: #17
- Team Rating: 17.8
- ATS: 16-17-0 (48.5% )
- Over/Under: 20-13-0 (60.6% to Over)
- Home PPG: 84.4
- Home Opponents PPG: 67
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Xavier (Away) | Illinois (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 22-11-0 | 21-12-0 |
| Win Rate | 66.7% | 63.6% |
| Points Per Game | 78.3 (#56🟢) | 83.8 (#8🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.096 (#63) | 1.125 (#31🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 0.997 (#79) | 1.001 (#86) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 11.1 (#117) | 11.5 (#157) |
| True Shooting % | 117.2% (#27🟢) | 112.4% (#83) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 39.1% (#6🟢) | 31.1% (#316) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 34.2% (#206) | 33.3% (#142) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 83 | 86.3 |
| ATS Record | 19-14-0 | 16-17-0 |
| ATS Cover % | 57.6% | 48.5% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Xavier is 57.6% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Illinois has gone Over in 60.6% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Spread Pick: Illinois -4.5
Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
Our model suggests the favorite is likely to cover, winning by around 9.8 points.
Over/Under Pick: Under 162
Confidence: ☆☆☆☆☆
We anticipate fewer points, leaning under around 161.9 total.
Projected Final Score: ~161.9 total points.
Conclusion
The Xavier-Illinois clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Illinois -4.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
