#8 Mississippi State vs #9 Baylor Free Pick and Prediction – March 21
🏀 NCAAB Matchup! Can Mississippi State cover -1.5? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!
Today, #9 Baylor face off against #8 Mississippi State in an NCAAB matchup at 12:15 PM EST. Bovada has Mississippi State as -1.5 favorites with a total of 145.5 points. Who will come out on top in this NCAA clash? Let’s break down the stats.
Game Details
- Matchup: #9 Baylor @ #8 Mississippi State
- Date/Time: March 21, 2025, 12:15 PM EST
- Venue: Mississippi State Home Arena
- Broadcast: TBD
Current Betting Lines (Bovada)
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 1.5 (-110) | O 145.5 |
| Mississippi State | -1.5 (-110) | U 145.5 |
Team Comparison and Key Stats
Baylor (Away)
- Record: 19-14-0 (57.6% )
- Team Ranking: #22
- Team Rating: 16.9
- ATS: 12-18-2 (40.0% )
- Over/Under: 17-15-0 (53.1% to Over)
- Away PPG: 70.6
- Away Opponents PPG: 75.2
Mississippi State (Home)
- Record: 19-8-0 (70.4% )
- Team Ranking: #30
- Team Rating: 15.7
- ATS: 12-15-0 (44.4% )
- Over/Under: 15-12-0 (55.6% to Over)
- Home PPG: 83.5
- Home Opponents PPG: 72
Team Statistics Comparison
| Category | Baylor (Away) | Mississippi State (Home) |
|---|---|---|
| Season Record | 19-14-0 | 19-8-0 |
| Win Rate | 57.6% | 70.4% |
| Points Per Game | 75.5 (#105) | 79.3 (#46🟢) |
| Offensive Efficiency | 1.107 (#47🟢) | 1.11 (#49🟢) |
| Defensive Efficiency | 1.021 (#142) | 1.006 (#108) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 10.8 (#83) | 10.7 (#80) |
| True Shooting % | 110.0% (#132) | 109.5% (#147) |
| 3-Point Shooting % | 34.7% (#131) | 31.7% (#287) |
| Opponents 3-Point % | 35.4% (#277) | 36.0% (#297) |
| Recent PPG (Last 3) | 68.3 | 79.3 |
| ATS Record | 12-18-2 | 12-15-0 |
| ATS Cover % | 40.0% | 44.4% |
Betting Trends and Insights
- Baylor is 40.0% ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Mississippi State has gone Over in 55.6% of their last 10 home games.
Prediction and Free Pick
Prediction: Mississippi State’s edge at home should shine, but Mississippi State keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.
Free Pick: Mississippi State -1.5 (-110) – ★★★½☆
Rationale: Strong indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.
Model Prediction
- Projected Winner: Mississippi State by 11.3 points
- Current Spread: Mississippi State -1.5
- Pick: Mississippi State -1.5
- Confidence: Strong
Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.
Conclusion
The Baylor-Mississippi State clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Mississippi State -1.5 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts below—happy wagering!
Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.
AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.
