Mississippi State vs LSU Free Pick and Prediction – March 12

Mississippi State vs LSU Free Pick and Prediction – March 12

πŸ€ NCAAB Matchup! Can Mississippi State cover -9? Our AI model breaks down the stats and trends for this exciting matchup! 🎯 Pick inside!

Tonight, LSU face off against Mississippi State in an NCAAB matchup at 7:00 PM EST. Bovada has Mississippi State as -9 favorites with a total of 146 points. Who will come out on top in this NCAA clash? Let’s break down the stats.

Game Details

  • Matchup: LSU @ Mississippi State
  • Date/Time: March 12, 2025, 7:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Mississippi State Home Arena
  • Broadcast: TBD

Current Betting Lines (Bovada)

TeamSpreadTotal
LSU9 (-110)O 146
Mississippi State-9 (-110)U 146

Team Comparison and Key Stats

LSU (Away)

  • Record: 14-17-0 (45.2% )
  • Team Ranking: #293
  • Team Rating: -7.6
  • ATS: 13-17-1 (43.3% )
  • Over/Under: 12-19-0 (38.7% to Over)
  • Away PPG: 66.1
  • Away Opponents PPG: 79.2

Mississippi State (Home)

  • Record: 19-8-0 (70.4% )
  • Team Ranking: #30
  • Team Rating: 15.7
  • ATS: 12-15-0 (44.4% )
  • Over/Under: 15-12-0 (55.6% to Over)
  • Home PPG: 83.5
  • Home Opponents PPG: 72

Team Statistics Comparison

CategoryLSU (Away)Mississippi State (Home)
Season Record14-17-019-8-0
Win Rate45.2%70.4%
Points Per Game65.5 (#337)79.3 (#46🟒)
Offensive Efficiency0.964 (#319)1.11 (#49🟒)
Defensive Efficiency1.011 (#108)1.006 (#108)
Turnovers Per Game13.3 (#311)10.7 (#80)
True Shooting %102.1% (#319)109.5% (#147)
3-Point Shooting %30.3% (#337)31.7% (#287)
Opponents 3-Point %33.4% (#150)36.0% (#297)
Recent PPG (Last 3)7079.3
ATS Record13-17-112-15-0
ATS Cover %43.3%44.4%

Betting Trends and Insights

  • LSU is 43.3% ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Mississippi State has gone Over in 55.6% of their last 10 home games.

Prediction and Free Pick

Prediction: Mississippi State’s edge at home should shine, but Mississippi State keeps it competitive. Our model sees value in this matchup.

Free Pick: Mississippi State -9 (-110) – β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†
Rationale: Solid indicators from home court and efficiency drive this pick.

Model Prediction

  • Projected Winner: Mississippi State by 15.8 points
  • Current Spread: Mississippi State -9
  • Pick: Mississippi State -9
  • Confidence: Strong

Note: This pick shows significant value based on our model.

Conclusion

The LSU-Mississippi State clash is set to deliver, and we’re backing Mississippi State -9 as our free pick. Visit onlinewagerreview.com for more analysis and premium picks, or bet now at Bovada. Share your thoughts belowβ€”happy wagering!

Disclaimer: All predictions are based on statistical analysis and historical data. While we strive for accuracy, please bet responsibly and within your means.

Author - OWR Analytics
Written by OWR Analytics

AI-powered sports betting analysis and picks. Specialized in NCAA basketball statistical modeling and predictions.